Not exact matches
[11] Few attribute the decline in fog, and moreover, climate change, to the
Pacific Decadal Oscillation, however, as the
Pacific Decadal Oscillation is an oscillation moving heat through the climate system but neither creating nor retaining heat, it is not a cause of warming
trends or declines in fog.
# 8220; This multi-year
Pacific Decadal Oscillation «cool»
trend can intensify La Niña or diminish El Niño impacts around the
Pacific basin,» said Bill Patzert, an oceanographer and climatologist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, Calif. «The persistence of this large - scale pattern [in 2008] tells us there is much more than an isolated La Niña occurring in the
Pacific Ocean.»
While that is possible, the so - called
Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) index that is used to characterize decadal and multi-decadal variability of the Pacific Ocean has not shown a significant increasing or decreasing three - decade trend from the 1980's to the 2000's (it's dominated by quasi-decadal fluctuation since
Decadal Oscillation (PDO) index that is used to characterize
decadal and multi-decadal variability of the Pacific Ocean has not shown a significant increasing or decreasing three - decade trend from the 1980's to the 2000's (it's dominated by quasi-decadal fluctuation since
decadal and multi-
decadal variability of the Pacific Ocean has not shown a significant increasing or decreasing three - decade trend from the 1980's to the 2000's (it's dominated by quasi-decadal fluctuation since
decadal variability of the
Pacific Ocean has not shown a significant increasing or decreasing three - decade
trend from the 1980's to the 2000's (it's dominated by quasi-
decadal fluctuation since
decadal fluctuation since 1980).
No mention is made of ENSO or
Pacific decadal variations that dominate interannual and
decadal variability in the real world, and which are a key to understanding the recent hiatus, and recent
trends that are not representative of longer - term
trends, although frequently interpreted as such.
Seems that the most recent warming
trend that begins just past the max trough of the Atlantic Multi-
decadal lines up with the warming of the
Pacific Decadal Oscillation during two of the main multi-centenial warm surges, the first one from about 1910 - 1940 and the 2nd stronger one from about 1970 - 2000.
So for multi-
decadal trend, the tropical
Pacific Decadal Oscillation accounts for only 0.1 C for the longer period of 1950 - 2012.
Mr. Steele points out how natural cycles, such as the
Pacific Decadal Oscillation among many others, better fits the current climatological
trend.
ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation) and PDO (
Pacific Decadal Oscillation) help to explain short - term variations, but have no long - term
trend, warming or otherwise.
Climatologies of Rocky Mountain snowpack are shown to be seasonally and regionally complex, with
Pacific decadal variability positively reinforcing the anthropogenic warming
trend.
Increasing abundances of Florisphaera profunda and Umbilicosphaera sibogae after 1970 reflect a warming
trend and increased stratification within the basin associated with the warm phase of the
Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO).
However the temperature
trend correlates much better with the heat ventilating cycles of
Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation.
It is highly likely that due to its effect on storm tracks and competing air masses, the AMO can explain most of the east coast's temperature
trends in a manner similar to how the
Pacific Decadal Oscillation controls the USA's west coast
trends as published by Johnstone 2014.
Any natural change - points caused by cycles like the
Pacific Decadal Oscillation looked like deviations relative to steadily rising
trends of an increasingly populated region like Columbia, Maryland or Tahoe City.
There is
decadal variability to ENSO and the
Pacific more generally and they are associated with the
trends of cooling and warming seen in the 20th century.
The method is a straight - forward application of the first law of thermodynamics and uses only the time - integral of sunspot count and 32 - year long up
trends and down
trends that have an amplitude of 0.45 C and are probably related to the
Pacific Decadal Oscillation.
John Philips (13:43:35) «Trends» have become virtually meaningless lately, since the word has been so variably used, but try this: Eyeball the temperature curve as correlated to the
Pacific Decadal Oscillation and you will see an excellent relationship with the cyclic cooling and warming phase of the PDO overlaid on a gradual warming
trend emerging from the Little Ice Age.
The fact that the long - term
trends in rainfall and
Pacific SSTs are both positive, the opposite of their interannual relationship (Power et al., 1998), explains only a portion of why the correlation is reduced at
decadal time scales.
I have already provided examples of observed real world shifts in global temperature
trend going back to 1960 that match very well with shifts in the balance between solar variation and the net global effect of all the separate oceanic oscillations (especially the
Pacific Decadal Oscillation which is by far the largest).
Can long - term cycles in ocean temperature such as the
Pacific Decadal Oscillation explain the centennial
trend?
The recent acceleration of ocean heat content is exaggerated due to the negative phase of the
Pacific Decadal Oscillation happening on top of the long - term ocean warming
trend.
[Short response: The
Pacific Decadal Oscillation has not
trended with temperature, and in addition, may simply be an artifact of past El Ninos.]
However, one analysis that has attempted to explain both the very large winter extents of 2012, 2013, and 2014, and the subsequent lower and near - average winter maximums in 2015 and 2016 has suggested that the El Niño Southern Oscillation and a
Pacific trend called the
Pacific Decadal Oscillation (a residual tendency toward El Niño or La Niña in the
Pacific that shifts on multi-
decadal timescales) may be linked to the change.