Not exact matches
I'm still going to bet that the film with the Best
Picture nomination is the best bet to win (13/15 out of the past winners have had BP nominations — and no film since they expanded Best
Picture has won the Eddie
without a Best Pic
nod), although honestly Star Wars: The Force Awakens could totally take it (and then take the Oscar too).
The biggest question mark will be for the acting
nods, since we all know that
without a SAG nomination, your «Best
Picture» prospects are pretty much dead in the water.
Interstellar's five nominations weren't quite enough for it to take the honour previously held by Christopher Nolan's The Dark Knight for the most
nods without a shot at best
picture.
A24, the youngest company of the bunch and one
without a major studio's backing, also strongly followed up its 2017 success (the best -
picture winning «Moonlight») with seven
nods.
And it's true that only one film ever in Globe / Oscar history has won Best
Picture from the Musical / Comedy section
without that
nod (Driving Miss Daisy again).
It's rare for a movie to win best
picture without a directing
nod, although «Argo» pulled off that feat in 2013.
Doubts seemed to be confirmed when David O. Russell failed to get a Globe
nod for director (only Driving Miss Daisy has ever won Best
Picture in the musical / comedy category
without a nomination for director), and more importantly, a DGA nomination.
In all of their history, only one film has won Oscar's Best
Picture without a direction
nod at the BAFTAS and that was Clint Eastwood for Million Dollar Baby.
Only one movie has won the Best
Picture Oscar
without previous recognition from SAG — 1995's «Braveheart» — and only one SAG ensemble winner — 1996's «The Birdcage» — went home
without a subsequent Oscar
nod.