Precipitation anomaly for winter, spring, summer and autumn 2017 relative to the respective seasonal average for the period 1981 - 2010.
Bottom row: Annual
precipitation anomaly for 2017 relative to the annual average for the period 1981 - 2010.
Figure 2, at right: Spatial extent and magnitude of
precipitation anomalies for 1932 - 1939.
Figure 3, above: Regional time series of boreal summer (JJA) irrigation, ensemble - mean temperature anomalies, and ensemble - mean
precipitation anomalies for Western North America (130 ° W - 100 ° W, 30 ° N - 50 ° N), India (68 ° E-88 ° E, 8 ° N -36 ° N), and China (98 ° E-122 ° E, 22 ° N - 42 ° N).
Not exact matches
After controlling
for fluctuations in temperature and
precipitation, the team found that 2014 was not an
anomaly: The shrub appeared to be consistently entering its weeklong pollination phase on the night of the full moon in July.
Dr Vladimir Djurdjevic, from the South East European Virtual Climate Change Center (SEEVCCC, Serbia), presented the main activities and products developed by the SEEVCCC, which include the development of a Climate Monitoring Node with monthly and daily data used to prepare monthly analyses of
precipitation and temperature
anomalies of the previous months, a climate monitoring specific
for the region.
The authors also acknowledge NOAA / OAR / ESRL PSD, Boulder, Colorado, USA,
for providing NOAA Merged Air Land and SST
Anomalies data and GPCC
precipitation data from their website at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd.
If they did they would show more than two small (1/8 page) graphs of simulated and observed values
for temperature and
precipitation anomalies (figures 9.5 a in TAR4
for temperature and 9.18 a
for precipitation.
Something of bigger concern locally is the
precipitation anomaly chart
for the next 6 months.
a Ensemble - mean of scaled - interannual regressions of winter SLP (contours) and SAT (color shading)
anomalies upon the normalized leading PC of winter SLP
anomalies during 1920 — 2012; b SLP and SAT trend regressions upon the normalized leading PC of winter SLP 30 - year trends based on 2016 — 2045; c as in (a) but
for precipitation in place of SAT; d as in (b) but
for precipitation in place of SAT.
Anomalies in
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air and the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil
for March 2017 to February 2018 with respect to 1981 - 2010.
Anomalies are shown in a globally complete Robinson projection, and in polar stereographic projections for the northern and southern hemispheres that do not encompass the regions of the deep tropics where precipitation anomalies are most u
Anomalies are shown in a globally complete Robinson projection, and in polar stereographic projections
for the northern and southern hemispheres that do not encompass the regions of the deep tropics where
precipitation anomalies are most u
anomalies are most uncertain.
Anomalies relative to 1981 - 2010 in
precipitation rate (mm / day) from ERA - Interim, JRA - 55 and GPCC, two - metre relative humidity (%) from ERA - Interim and JRA - 55, and the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil from ERA - Interim,
for December 2016.
Running four - month averages of
anomalies over land areas
for SW Europe with respect to 1981 - 2010
for precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to March 2018.
The four months to March 2018
for SW Europe showed a large positive
anomaly in
precipitation.
The averages
for the last 12 months show relatively small negative or positive
anomalies for precipitation in most areas of the globe.
Over ocean stretches with a positive SST
anomaly air convection is higher (as the temperature difference between the warm sea surface and the cool air higher up in the troposphere is greater), so a higher likelihood
for the formation of depressions exists and more
precipitation is to be expected.
Anomalies in
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature
for February 2018 with respect to February averages
for the period 1981 - 2010.
Running four - month averages of
anomalies over land areas
for NE Europe with respect to 1981 - 2010
for precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to March 2018.
Anomalies in
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air and the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil
for April 2017 to March 2018 with respect to 1981 - 2010.
Running four - month averages of
anomalies over land areas
for SW Europe with respect to 1981 - 2010
for precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to February 2018.
Anomalies in
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature
for April 2017 to March 2018 with respect to 1981 - 2010.
Anomalies in
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature
for March 2018 with respect to March averages
for the period 1981 - 2010.
Running four - month averages of
anomalies over land areas
for NW Europe with respect to 1981 - 2010
for precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to February 2018.
Anomalies in
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature
for March 2017 to February 2018 with respect to 1981 - 2010.
With regard to
precipitation anomalies in summer, ERA - Interim shows above average rainfall
for Greece and the west of Turkey, whereas E-OBS indicates that these areas are below average.
Mean difference between ERA - Interim and GPCC
precipitation rates (mm / day)
for the period from 1979 to 2017, and the standard deviation (mm / day) and
anomaly correlation (%) of the sequence of monthly values from the two datasets.
Top row: Annual European
precipitation anomalies from 1979 to 2017, relative to the annual average
for the period 1981 - 2010.
Global solar irradiance reconstruction [48 — 50] and ice - core based sulfate (SO4) influx in the Northern Hemisphere [51] from volcanic activity (a); mean annual temperature (MAT) reconstructions
for the Northern Hemisphere [52], North America [29], and the American Southwest * expressed as
anomalies based on 1961 — 1990 temperature averages (b); changes in ENSO - related variability based on El Junco diatom record [41], oxygen isotopes records from Palmyra [42], and the unified ENSO proxy [UEP; 23](c); changes in PDSI variability
for the American Southwest (d), and changes in winter
precipitation variability as simulated by CESM model ensembles 2 to 5 [43].
The higher resolution of E-OBS shows a large positive
precipitation anomaly over the Alps and the satellite soil moisture product shows above average soil moisture
for a larger region than ERA - Interim.
Mean difference between ERA - Interim and TMPA
precipitation rates (mm / day)
for the period from 1998 to 2017, and the standard deviation (mm / day) and
anomaly correlation (%) of the sequence of monthly values from the two datasets.
The
anomalies have units of mm / day
for precipitation and %
for relative humidity and volumetric soil moisture.
We will introduce and familiarize users with the development of a repository
for station - based climate data in the province, the production of high resolution maps of temperature and
precipitation climatology, and additional projects describing extreme
precipitation and regional climate
anomalies.
This report discusses our current understanding of the mechanisms that link declines in Arctic sea ice cover, loss of high - latitude snow cover, changes in Arctic - region energy fluxes, atmospheric circulation patterns, and the occurrence of extreme weather events; possible implications of more severe loss of summer Arctic sea ice upon weather patterns at lower latitudes; major gaps in our understanding, and observational and / or modeling efforts that are needed to fill those gaps; and current opportunities and limitations
for using Arctic sea ice predictions to assess the risk of temperature /
precipitation anomalies and extreme weather events over northern continents.
(D) The unconditional probability of a — 1.5 SD seasonal
precipitation anomaly (blue curve) and the conditional probability that a — 1.5 SD seasonal
precipitation anomaly occurs in conjunction with a 1.5 SD seasonal temperature
anomaly (red curve),
for each of the four 3 - mo seasons.
(C) The probability that a negative
precipitation anomaly and a positive temperature
anomaly equal to or exceeding a given magnitude occur in the same 12 - mo period,
for all possible 12 - mo periods (using a 12 - mo running mean; see Materials and Methods),
for varying severity of
anomalies.
P values are shown
for the difference in occurrence of — 1.5 SD
precipitation anomalies between the Historical period (1920 — 2005) and the RCP8.5 period (2006 — 2080).
The same should be true
for climate change we should evaluate the changes in temperature (not
anomalies) over time at the same stations and present the data as a spaghetti graph showing any differing trends and not assume that regional or climates in gridded areas are the same — which they are not as is obvious from the climate zones that exist or microclimates due to changes in
precipitation, land use etc..
All 20 August — July 12 - mo periods that exhibited a — 1.0 SD PMDI
anomaly also exhibited a — 0.5 SD
precipitation anomaly (Fig. 1B and 2E), suggesting that moderately low
precipitation is prerequisite
for a 1 - SD drought year.
For example, during 1896 — 2014, 1 - SD drought occurred in 15 of the 28 years (54 %) that exhibited both a — 0.5 SD
precipitation anomaly and a positive temperature
anomaly, but in only 5 of the 20 years (25 %) that exhibited a — 0.5 SD
precipitation anomaly and a negative temperature
anomaly (Fig. 2A).
Wang and Schubert (2014) find that the North Pacific SST warm
anomalies during early 2013 created a «predilection»
for dry conditions during the second half of the 2013 - 2013 «rainy season» in California, and Funk et al. (2014) also report that the observed Pacific SST
anomalies during 2013 - 2014 contributed to the extremely low
precipitation that was observed during 2013 - 2014.
But the big
anomaly here is the delay in the onset of
precipitation for the southland that has kept the vegetation dry and fire - prone.»
But given what is known, he said «there is every reason to believe that the trend toward greater variability, larger
anomalies, is true
for precipitation as well as temperature.»
Running four - month averages of
anomalies over land areas
for NE Europe with respect to 1981 - 2010
for precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to April 2018.
Anomalies in
precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature
for April 2018 with respect to April averages
for the period 1981 - 2010.
At the very least, potential exists
for unusually far southward extent of some wintry
precipitation for late March... given cold sector temperature
anomalies of 10 - 25 degrees Fahrenheit below normal.
Running four - month averages of
anomalies over land areas
for NW Europe with respect to 1981 - 2010
for precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to April 2018.
At the meeting we will introduce and familiarize users with the development of a repository
for station - based climate data in the province, the production of high resolution maps of temperature and
precipitation climatology, and additional projects describing extreme
precipitation and regional climate
anomalies.
The four months to April 2018
for SW Europe showed a large positive
anomaly in
precipitation.
Running four - month averages of
anomalies over land areas
for SE Europe with respect to 1981 - 2010
for precipitation, the relative humidity of surface air, the volumetric moisture content of the top 7 cm of soil and surface air temperature, based on monthly values from January 1979 to April 2018.