In any event, the seasonal predictability of ENSO starting in June provides some regional
predictability of sea ice variations.
As a follow - on to the current Sea Ice Prediction Network project, a collaborative proposal called «Collaborative Research: Advancing
Predictability of Sea Ice: Phase 2 of the Sea Ice Prediction Network (SIPN2)» has been funded by NSF - Arctic System Science Program.
Not exact matches
The findings suggest the latitude
of the Atlantic jet stream in summer is influenced by several factors including
sea surface temperatures, solar variability, and the extent
of Arctic
sea - ice, indicating a potential long - term memory and
predictability in the climate system.
Garcia - Serrano, J., Frankignoul, C., Gastineau, G. & de la Camara, A. On the
predictability of the winter Euro - Atlantic climate: lagged influence
of autumn Arctic
sea ice.
Using the adjoint
of an ocean general circulation model, I try to understand the local and remote processes that generate temperature anomalies in the Nordic
Seas on different timescales and their potential contribution to decadal climate
predictability.
Summary for Policymakers Chapter 1: Introduction Chapter 2: Observations: Atmosphere and Surface Chapter 3: Observations: Ocean Chapter 4: Observations: Cryosphere Chapter 5: Information from Paleoclimate Archives Chapter 6: Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles Chapter 7: Clouds and Aerosols Chapter 8: Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing Chapter 8 Supplement Chapter 9: Evaluation
of Climate Models Chapter 10: Detection and Attribution
of Climate Change: from Global to Regional Chapter 11: Near - term Climate Change: Projections and
Predictability Chapter 12: Long - term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility Chapter 13:
Sea Level Change Chapter 14: Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change Chapter 14 Supplement Technical Summary
Maue discussed how «two camps»
of researchers claim to have increased
predictability of such weather events over periods
of a month or more by using clues either in the Arctic, related to the extent
of sea ice and snow cover, or in the temperature
of surface waters across the Pacific Ocean.
Variability, trends, and
predictability of seasonal
sea ice retreat and advance in the Chukchi S
sea ice retreat and advance in the Chukchi
SeaSea.
The overarching goal
of this WCRP research effort, led by WCRP's Core Project «Climate and Ocean Variability,
Predictability and Change» (CLIVAR) as a Research Focus, is to establish a quantitative understanding
of the natural and anthropogenic mechanisms
of regional to local
sea level variability; to promote advances in observing systems required for an integrated
sea level monitoring; and to foster the development
of sea level predictions and projections that are
of increasing benefit for coastal zone management.
Rodríguez - Fonseca, B., E. Mohino, C.R. Mechoso, C. Caminade, M. Biasutti, M. Gaetani, J. Garcia - Serrano, E.K. Vizy, K. Cook, Y. Xue, I. Polo, T. Losada, L. Druyan, B. Fontaine, J. Bader, F.J. Doblas - Reyes, L. Goddard, S. Janicot, A. Arribas, W. Lau, A. Colman, M. Vellinga, D.P. Rowell, F. Kucharski, and A. Voldoire, 2015: Variability and
predictability of West African droughts: A review
of the role
of sea surface temperature anomalies.
Many
of the early regional forecasts looked to winter or early season
sea surface temperature (SST) as the source
of predictability.
6th Symposium on the Impacts
of an Ice - Diminishing Arctic on Naval and Maritime Operations Wiggins, H., Stroeve, J., Turner - Bogren, B. July 2015 «Arctic
Sea Ice
Predictability and the
Sea Ice Prediction Network (SIPN)» (http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/star/Ice2015Posters.php)
CAS = Commission for Atmospheric Sciences CMDP = Climate Metrics and Diagnostic Panel CMIP = Coupled Model Intercomparison Project DAOS = Working Group on Data Assimilation and Observing Systems GASS = Global Atmospheric System Studies panel GEWEX = Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment GLASS = Global Land - Atmosphere System Studies panel GOV = Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment (GODAE) Ocean View JWGFVR = Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research MJO - TF = Madden - Julian Oscillation Task Force PDEF = Working Group on
Predictability, Dynamics and Ensemble Forecasting PPP = Polar Prediction Project QPF = Quantitative precipitation forecast S2S = Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project SPARC = Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate TC = Tropical cyclone WCRP = World Climate Research Programme WCRP Grand Science Challenges • Climate Extremes • Clouds, Circulation and Climate Sensitivity • Melting Ice and Global Consequences • Regional
Sea - Ice Change and Coastal Impacts • Water Availability WCRP JSC = Joint Scientific Committee WGCM = Working Group on Coupled Modelling WGSIP = Working Group on Subseasonal to Interdecadal Prediction WWRP = World Weather Research Programme YOPP = Year
of Polar Prediction
-------- http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/1/014013
Predictability of twentieth century
sea - level rise from past data However, in combination, the use
of proxy and tide gauge
sea - level data up to 1900 AD allows a good prediction
of twentieth century
sea - level rise, despite this rise being well outside the rates experienced in previous centuries during the calibration period
of the model.
Newman M. and P. D. Sardeshmukh (August 2017): Are we near the
predictability limit
of tropical Indo - Pacific
sea surface temperatures?
The FLOR model has been used extensively to understand
predictability, change and mechanisms
of tropical cyclones (Vecchi et al. 2014), Arctic
sea ice (Msadek et al. 2014), precipitation and temperature over land (Jia et al. 2015), drought (Delworth et al., 2015), extratropical storms (Yang et al. 2015), the Great Plains Low Level Jet (Krishnamurthy et al. 2015), and the global response to increasing greenhouse gases (Winton et al. 2014).