The most recent report from the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
projected a global average sea level rise of between about one to three feet, although that report did not take the new findings on Antarctic ice melt into account.
Not exact matches
The report finds that the U.S. is particularly vulnerable to
projected sea level rise; areas such as the Northeast and western Gulf of Mexico could face rates that exceed
global average sea level rise.
For example, the latest (fifth) assessment report from the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
projects that the
global average sea level rise over the course of the 21st century would be in the range of 10 to 32 inches, with a mean value of about 19 inches.
Each base's exposure is calculated based on the National Climate Assessment's midrange or «intermediate - high»
sea level rise scenario (referred to in this analysis as «intermediate»), which
projects a
global average increase of 3.7 feet above 2012
levels, by 2100; and a «highest» scenario based on a more rapid rate of increase, which
projects a
global average increase of 6.3 feet.
Although the IPCC climate models have performed remarkably well in
projecting average global surface temperature warming thus far, Rahmstorf et al. (2012) found that the IPCC underestimated
global average sea level rise since 1993 by 60 %.
Global average sea level is
projected to
rise by 18 to 59 cm by the end of the 21st century (2090 - 2099), depending on the scenario (Table 3).
If we do nothing to reduce our carbon emissions, scientists
project that
global sea level could
rise as much as nearly two feet (59 centimeters) over recent
average levels by the end of this century.14, 15 If, on the other hand, we make significant efforts to reduce heat - trapping emissions,
sea -
level rise between now and the end of the century could be limited to at most 1.25 feet (38 centimeters).14, 15
By the late 21st century, climate models
project that
sea level will
rise up to a foot higher than the
global average along the northeast US coastline, resulting in a dramatic increase in regional coastal flood risk.
Sea level is projected to rise by another 1 to 4 feet in this century, although the rise in sea level in specific regions is expected to vary from this global average for a number of reaso
Sea level is
projected to
rise by another 1 to 4 feet in this century, although the
rise in
sea level in specific regions is expected to vary from this global average for a number of reaso
sea level in specific regions is expected to vary from this
global average for a number of reasons.
Different approaches have been used to compute the mean rate of 20th century
global mean
sea level (GMSL)
rise from the available tide gauge data: computing
average rates from only very long, nearly continuous records; using more numerous but shorter records and filters to separate nonlinear trends from decadal - scale quasi-periodic variability; neural network methods; computing regional
sea level for specific basins then
averaging; or
projecting tide gauge records onto empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) computed from modern altimetry or EOFs from ocean models.
If this rate were maintained, the ice sheets would make a measurable but minor contribution to the
global sea level rise from other sources, which has been 1 - 2 mm / yr
averaged over the past century and 3mm / yr for 1993 - 2003, and is
projected to
average 1 - 9 mm / yr for the coming century (see IPCC Third Assessment Report).
Sea levels in New York City are rising at almost twice the global average rate, and the NPCC projects that sea levels will continue to rise in the coming decades, which will put more residents, buildings and infrastructure at ri
Sea levels in New York City are
rising at almost twice the
global average rate, and the NPCC
projects that
sea levels will continue to rise in the coming decades, which will put more residents, buildings and infrastructure at ri
sea levels will continue to
rise in the coming decades, which will put more residents, buildings and infrastructure at risk.