Sentences with phrase «projected precipitation extremes»

Murdock, T.Q., Cannon, A.J., Sobie, S.R., Veerman, B., Anslow, F. and Zwiers, F.W. (2014) Workshop Primer: Projected precipitation extremes for Coastal British Columbia.

Not exact matches

Extremely heavy precipitation was projected to become even more extreme in a warmer world.

Researchers charge global warming with projected significant increases in the frequency of both extreme precipitation and landfalling atmospheric rivers

What goes up must eventually come down, so climate science projects that extreme precipitation should increase.

He is a principal investigator for research projects related to extreme weather, global water and energy cycle, and high latitude precipitation.

In the second real - time extreme weather attribution study in the context of the World Weather Attribution project the team found a 5 - 80 % increase in the likelihood of heavy precipitation like those associated with storm Desmond to occur due to anthropogenic climate change.

More extreme precipitation near the centers of tropical cyclones making landfall is projected in North and Central America, East Africa, West, East, South and Southeast Asia as well as in Australia and many Pacific islands (medium confidence).»

Changes in extreme precipitation projected by models, and thus the impacts of future changes in extreme precipitation, may be underestimated because models seem to underestimate the observed increase in heavy precipitation with warming.

Extremely heavy precipitation was projected to become even more extreme in a warmer world.

Warming temperatures, changes in precipitation, and more extreme weather are projected to increase populations of disease - carrying vectors like mosquitoes with West Nile Virus and of the types of bacteria and toxic algae that contaminate shellfish and recreational waters for activities like swimming and boating.

Increases in the frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events are projected for all U.S. regions.

Large - scale flooding can also occur due to extreme precipitation in the absence of snowmelt (for example, Rush Creek and the Root River, Minnesota, in August 2007 and multiple rivers in southern Minnesota in September 2010).84 These warm - season events are projected to increase in magnitude.

Given projected increases in the frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events in the Midwest (Chapter 2: Our Changing Climate, Key Message 6), 57 it appears that sewer overflow will continue to constitute a significant current health threat and a critical source of climate change vulnerability for major urban areas within the Midwest.

2: Our Changing Climate, Key Message 5).2 Regional climate models (RCMs) using the same emissions scenario also project increased spring precipitation (9 % in 2041 - 2062 relative to 1979 - 2000) and decreased summer precipitation (by an average of about 8 % in 2041 - 2062 relative to 1979 - 2000) particularly in the southern portions of the Midwest.12 Increases in the frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation are projected across the entire region in both GCM and RCM simulations (Figure 18.6), and these increases are generally larger than the projected changes in average precipitation.12, 2

Precipitation extremes and their potential future changes were predicted using six - member ensembles of general circulation models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5).

Evidence that extreme precipitation is increasing is based primarily on analysis1, 2,3 of hourly and daily precipitation observations from the U.S. Cooperative Observer Network, and is supported by observed increases in atmospheric water vapor.4 Recent publications have projected an increase in extreme precipitation events, 1,5 with some areas getting larger increases6 and some getting decreases.7, 2

In the second real - time extreme weather attribution study in the context of the World Weather Attribution project the team found a 5 - 80 % increase in the likelihood of heavy precipitation like those associated with storm Desmond to occur due to anthropogenic climate change.

Yearly maxima of the daily precipitation and wadi flow for varying return periods were compared for observed and projected data by fitting the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution function.

Overall, however, scientists project an increase in precipitation in the Great Lakes region (with extreme events projected to contribute to this increase), which will contribute to maintenance of or an increase in Great Lakes water levels.

The US CLIVAR Extremes Working Group was formed to evaluate whether current climate models produce extremes for the right reasons and whether they can be used for predicting and projecting short - term extremes in temperature and precipitation over North Extremes Working Group was formed to evaluate whether current climate models produce extremes for the right reasons and whether they can be used for predicting and projecting short - term extremes in temperature and precipitation over North extremes for the right reasons and whether they can be used for predicting and projecting short - term extremes in temperature and precipitation over North extremes in temperature and precipitation over North America.

These scaling relationships do not appear to provide a reliable basis for projecting future precipitation extremes.

More extreme precipitation events (with 3 - hour duration) so intense than in the past they would be exceeded on average only once every 10 years are projected to occur on average three times as often in future in Metro Vancouver and about three and a half times as often in future in CRD.

In the Northeast US extreme precipitation has increased by more than 70 % in the last 50 years and is projected to continue to increase.

CAS = Commission for Atmospheric Sciences CMDP = Climate Metrics and Diagnostic Panel CMIP = Coupled Model Intercomparison Project DAOS = Working Group on Data Assimilation and Observing Systems GASS = Global Atmospheric System Studies panel GEWEX = Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment GLASS = Global Land - Atmosphere System Studies panel GOV = Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment (GODAE) Ocean View JWGFVR = Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research MJO - TF = Madden - Julian Oscillation Task Force PDEF = Working Group on Predictability, Dynamics and Ensemble Forecasting PPP = Polar Prediction Project QPF = Quantitative precipitation forecast S2S = Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project SPARC = Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate TC = Tropical cyclone WCRP = World Climate Research Programme WCRP Grand Science Challenges • Climate Extremes • Clouds, Circulation and Climate Sensitivity • Melting Ice and Global Consequences • Regional Sea - Ice Change and Coastal Impacts • Water Availability WCRP JSC = Joint Scientific Committee WGCM = Working Group on Coupled Modelling WGSIP = Working Group on Subseasonal to Interdecadal Prediction WWRP = World Weather Research Programme YOPP = Year of Polar Prediction

We will introduce and familiarize users with the development of a repository for station - based climate data in the province, the production of high resolution maps of temperature and precipitation climatology, and additional projects describing extreme precipitation and regional climate anomalies.

Another aspect of these projected changes is that wet extremes are projected to become more severe in many areas where mean precipitation is expected to increase, and dry extremes are projected to become more severe in areas where mean precipitation is projected to decrease.

Impacts harmful to society, including increased extremes of heat, precipitation, and coastal high water are currently being experienced, and are projected to increase.

Topics include observations of precipitation extremes, detection and attribution work on precipitation extremes and projected changes to precipitation extremes.

The recurring theme, though, is difficulties in conducting agriculture: drought in Central America, Pakistan, the western US or Australia, more monsoonal precipitation extremes in India, and strengthening cyclonic storms add up to a projected net global food deficit at 2.5 C.

Nature paper As a consequence, a 25 % to 100 % increase in extreme dry - to - wet precipitation events is projected, despite only modest changes in mean precipitation.

At the meeting we will introduce and familiarize users with the development of a repository for station - based climate data in the province, the production of high resolution maps of temperature and precipitation climatology, and additional projects describing extreme precipitation and regional climate anomalies.

In Central America, the projected time - averaged precipitation decrease is accompanied by more frequent dry extremes in all seasons.

In addition, both precipitation and evaporation are projected to increase, and occurrences of unusual warmth and extreme wet and dry conditions are expected to become more frequent.»