Cleveland was the worst NBA team ATS during the first half of the season, but public bettors don't seem to mind.
Public bettors do like the Over at each contributing book, but we haven't seen any increase in the total.
Public bettors do seem to be getting cold feet betting on the underdog in this one, as Nunes has gone from a pick»em to +110.
«In general,
public bettors do side with the team that is trailing, and it becomes an overwhelming majority if the trailing team was favored to begin with,» said Cooley.
Public bettors don't care if Golden State is -13 or -14, but these inflated lines can create value on the other side.
Public bettors did not make out well in
Public bettors did not make out well in the matchups we highlighted Thursday, easily losing with Gonzaga and St. Bonaventure while likely losing with South Dakota State as well, considering the number was +7.5 at the time our article posted.
Not exact matches
Oddsmakers
do not attempt to balance their book by attracting 50 percent of the action on each side but rather shade their opening lines to capitalize on
public perception and then allow their sharpest
bettors to shape the line.
Even though the
public doesn't like the Cowboys» chances, sharp
bettors jumped on the opportunity to get Dallas +3.5, as we've tracked three bet signals on them and none on Philly.
It isn't often that
public and sharper
bettors are both on an underdog like this during the regular season, but trendy dogs
do seem to pop up more often in the NCAA Tournament.
We
do not recommend betting against every single ranked team, but knowing that these rankings can artificially inflate the line based on
public perception can help add value for sharp
bettors.
Fans love high - scoring games, and our
public betting information tells us that
bettors do too.
A sharp player, or wiseguy, is a
bettor that doesn't follow the
public money.
With
public bettors now able to cash in on Notre Dame if they win by two touchdowns, I don't expect many squares leaning towards Wake Forest unless the line moves back to 14 or higher.
They can't
do this to an extreme because sharp
bettors, and eventually the
public, would catch on.
Despite the win and cover,
public bettors still don't have faith in LSU this weekend as they're getting just 13 % of spread bets at home against Auburn.
Public bettors are loading up on Notre Dame to cover -3 on the road on Saturday night, but is smart money
doing the same?
Essentially, this research confirmed that double - digit underdogs have offered tremendous value for college basketball
bettors but it didn't really improve our betting against the
public strategies.
Although I
do like Middlesbrough to stay in the Premier League this season and avoid relegation,
public bettors have created value on the draw here at +225.
Public bettors seem to be
done backing the Seminoles this year as they're getting just 33 % of spread tickets as a road underdog.
Betting against the
public didn't work out the Michigan backers, and overall there were mixed results for contrarian
bettors.
Road teams, double digit underdogs and betting against the
public have all been profitable trends over the past decade, so the Titans
do appear to be offering some value to
bettors this weekend.
Juventus at that price
does seem like good value, but with
public bettors flocking to them, I think that the value is actually on Barcelona right now.
Bettors should know there's roughly three times more money bet on the spread as opposed to the total, which is why we don't typically advocate betting against the
public on the total.
Public bettors cashed, as 70 % of tickets took the Crimson Tide -LRB--7) to cover on the road which they
did, winning 10 - 0.
These results aren't meant to deter
bettors from utilizing
public betting trends to find value in the sports betting marketplace, but it
does indicate that purely betting against the
public is not always a winning strategy.
While the betting
public historically
does not perform well ATS (against the spread) in the NFL, this season has been historically bad for
bettors consistently backing popular teams.
Contrarian
bettors can realize added value by exploiting moneylines that have been artificially inflated based on
public betting, however, most sportsbooks don't take enough
public money on totals to justify any line movement.
They are okay if the
public loads up on one side as long as sharps don't join in because they are able to predict who
bettors will like for each game, and set the lines accordingly.
What
does that mean to a
public bettor?
Rain has already knocked two MLB games off of today's board, but thankfully
public bettors can look elsewhere for action tonight, and that's just what they've
done.
It doesn't get much more attractive than that for a
public bettor.