A key problem for
reducing the uncertainty in climate projections is historical records of change are often too short to test the skill of climate models, raising concerns over our ability to successfully plan for the future.
Not exact matches
An important goal of
climate research is to
reduce and characterize
uncertainty in the
climate change
projections so that they can be more useful for assessing
climate change impacts and developing adaptation and mitigation strategies.
Understanding how well
climate models represent these processes will help
reduce uncertainties in the model
projections of the effects of global warming on the world's water cycle.
In the end the improvement of
climate projections depends upon
reducing both sources of
uncertainty and arriving at joint probability profiles.
Scientists are using airborne observations of atmospheric trace gases, aerosols, and cloud properties from the North Slopes of Alaska to improve their understanding of global
climate, with the goal of
reducing the
uncertainty in global and regional
climate simulations and
projections.
If we can get
climate models to more credibly simulate current cloud patterns and observed cloud changes, this might
reduce the
uncertainty in future
projections
In the end the improvement of
climate projections depends upon
reducing both sources of
uncertainty and arriving at joint probability profiles.
To
reduce uncertainties in climate - change
projections, it is essential to prioritize the improvement of the most important uncertain physical processes
in climate models.
Data from our «eyes»
in space allow us to verify our simulations of past and current
climate, which,
in turn, helps us
reduce uncertainties in projections of future
climate,» said Josh Fisher, a co-author on the study who works at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory
in a release.
Based on our inferred close relationship between past and future temperature evolution, our study suggests that paleo - climatic data can help to
reduce uncertainty in future
climate projections.
•
Reduce uncertainties in climate change
projections by applying experimental design to make more efficient use of computational resources.
The Process Study and Model Improvement (PSMI) Panel's mission is to
reduce uncertainties in the general circulation models used for
climate variability prediction and
climate change
projections through an improved understanding and representation of the physical processes governing
climate and its variation.
And beyond the post-facto model evaluation, it will be interesting to see whether new
climate models will take advantage of emergent constraints to improve their simulation of present - day
climate and to
reduce uncertainties in future
projections.
Through NGEE - Tropics, we plan to dramatically
reduce this
uncertainty to improve future
climate projections,» says Jeff Chambers, an ecologist
in Berkeley Lab's Earth Sciences Division and the Principal Investigator and Project Director of NGEE - Tropics.
«Finally, Lorenz's theory of the atmosphere (and ocean) as a chaotic system raises fundamental, but unanswered questions about how much the
uncertainties in climate - change
projections can be
reduced.
And we are
in discussions with colleagues at several other institutions to scale up and broaden this effort into a larger initiative that has as its objective the development of an automatically learning ESM — with the ultimate goal of delivering
climate projections with substantially
reduced and quantified
uncertainties.
By the statistical evaluation of the different
climate developments simulated, the
uncertainties in climate projections can be better estimated and
reduced, for example, for rainfall trends.
The decision analytic framework of
reducing scientific
uncertainty in support of optimal decision making strategies regarding CO2 mitigation has arguably resulted
in unwarranted high confidence
in future
projections and relative neglect of natural
climate variability and the possibility of black swans and dragon kings.