Traditional 401K: You invest $ 10,000 per year in a traditional 401K for 30 years assuming
the same average annual return of 8 % and a tax rate of 25 %.
Not exact matches
The chart above shows the impact of a diversified portfolio with an
average annual return of 7 % in a low fee index relative to the
same portfolio with a 1 % and 2 % fee drag.
Meanwhile, during the
same period, the
average annual return for investment - grade government bonds was 5.72 % for a real rate of
return of 5.72 % — 2.93 % = 2.79 %.
However, if I were to invest the
same $ 100,000 in a taxable account, then instead of earning an
annual 7 %
average rate of
return, I will probably only make 5 % after tax.
For instance, a portfolio with an allocation of 49 % domestic stocks, 21 % international stocks, 25 % bonds, and 5 % short - term investments would have generated
average annual returns of almost 9 % over the
same period, albeit with a narrower range of extremes on the high and low end.
The following chart shows the
same data on an inverted log scale (blue line, left), along with the actual subsequent 12 - year nominal
average annual total
return of the S&P 500 Index (red line, right).
Obama cited statistics released the
same day in the White House's new report from his Council of Economic Advisers which show that conflicts likely lead, on
average, to 1 percentage point lower
annual returns on retirement savings as well as $ 17 billion of losses every year for working and middle - class families.
For the five years ended this past August 31, the Group of Fifteen experienced on
average negative
returns of 8.89 % per year, vs. a negative 2.71 % for the S&P 500.4 The group of ten value funds I had studied in the «Searching for Rational Investors» article had been suggested by Bob Goldfarb of the Sequoia Fund.5 Over those
same five years, the Goldfarb Ten enjoyed positive
average annual returns of 9.83 %.
Earning the
same 7 %
average annual return, your account would be worth $ 342,666 when you retire at 67, of which $ 294,642 is investment profit.
If you believed that 13.7 % was the expected
return for the S&P over the
same period, and that the
annual volatility of the S&P was 15.4 % (its historical
average since 1970) then you would be able to calculate that the probability of the S&P beating the Treasury over the next ten years is 99.9992 %.
Finally, by age 30, he decided to start investing, did so with $ 200 per month, and generated the
same 7 %
average annual return as Now Ned.
One piece of evidence I already covered is the dismal 2.3 %
annual return of the
average individual investor from the J&P Morgan graph above, as compared to the 7.7 %
annual return of the S&P 500 over the
same period.
«We have been getting 6 % gross
average annual returns for several years now and can see us getting the
same return going forward.»
And coincidentally, that 2.15 % per year
return was cancelled out by the 2.19 %
average annual rate of inflation during that
same time period!
Others did poorly, but the
average annual return was 14.77 %, a little more than 10 % better than the unselected members of the 1000 did in the
same years.
An article in the Wall Street Journal points out that over a 30 - year period, the value of an
average, single - family home grew 3.6 % annually, but the compound
annual return on the S&P 500 for the
same time period was 11.1 %.
Really, the question was, if I see a fund with a 10 %
average annual return, is it the
same as putting the
same amount in a bank account at 10 % interest?
Return 2, even though it has the same 5 - year average annual return as Return 1, has performed horribly over the past 3 - years, or even 1 -
Return 2, even though it has the
same 5 - year
average annual return as Return 1, has performed horribly over the past 3 - years, or even 1 -
return as
Return 1, has performed horribly over the past 3 - years, or even 1 -
Return 1, has performed horribly over the past 3 - years, or even 1 - year.
For the five years ended this past August 31, the Group of Fifteen experienced on
average negative
returns of 8.89 % per year, vs. a negative 2.71 % for the S&P 500.4 The group of ten value funds I had studied in the «Searching for Rational Investors» article had been suggested by Bob Goldfarb of the Sequoia Fund.5 Over those
same five years, the Goldfarb Ten enjoyed positive
average annual returns of 9.83 %.
But someone who bought that house in Brantford in 2007 would have generated an
annual rate of
return of 8.5 per cent over 10 years, better than the 7.1 per cent generated by the
average single family home in the Greater Toronto Area over the
same period.
However, due to inflation over the
same period, the
average annual REAL
return was actually -4.62 % over the ten - year period.
Since real -
return bonds were introduced in 1992, the
average annual return has been 8.2 %, which falls between that of short - term (6.6 %) and long - term bonds (9.5 %) over the
same period.
Steinhardt achieved a track record that still stands out on Wall Street: 24 % compound
average annual returns — more than double the S&P 500 during the
same period — over 28 years!
From 2000 through 2015, the Sound Advice model portfolio has produced an
average investment
return of 11.1 percent annually, as compared to 2.2 percent annually from the S&P 500 over the
same period, for an
annual percentage
return in excess of 5 times greater than the S&P 500.
Let's compare two funds producing the
same 6 %
average annual compound
return before fees: a mutual fund with 2 %
annual fees and an ETF with 0.2 %
annual fees.
For example, if you reduce the amount you pay in
annual expenses to 0.17 % — the
average for index funds and ETFs last year — your account balance would increase to $ 1.06 million, assuming the
same 6 %
return before expenses.
Below are the actual
returns for the
same Model Portfolios assuming total
annual investment management fees and trading expenses are 1.0 %, which is considered
average.
Their investments each produce the
same 7 %
average annual return over 35 years but their T - Rex Scores are very different!
Whilst this successful fund posted 18 %
annual returns, the
average investor in the fund lost an incredible 11 % over the
same period, because they traded in and out of the fund at the wrong time.
An objective post on this would have started by showing the
annual temperature trend, such as this with 2014 short - term
averages added in http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/mean:12/from:1950/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:1970/trend/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2014/mean:3 We would note that the trend is 0.16 C per decade since 1970, that the temperature mostly does not follow the trend but oscillates equally to about 0.1 C on each side, and that 2014 has
returned to the long - term trend line in much the
same way as several other cooler periods have.
If I were to take it out on my 25th birthday and take the taxes and penalty (48 % of my actual amount), I would need to earn a ~ 7.5 %
annual return over the next 35 years to break - even on my 401k that would earn an
average of 7 % over the
same time frame.