Much has been made by
the SNP of a second referendum taking place when it is the «will of the Scottish people».
Not exact matches
But, aware that the prospect
of a
second referendum plays badly with even moderate «Yes» voters, the
SNP will spend the next six weeks playing down the independence dimension while the Tories place it at the centre
of their campaign, an attempt to turn the general election into a
referendum on a
referendum.
This is a red line or, as the
SNP likes to put it, would be the «material change
of circumstance» that Sturgeon and Salmond believe should result in that
second independence
referendum.
In the wake
of the Brexit result the
SNP called for a
second independence
referendum.
The
referendum, besides boosting the major determinant
of SNP voting, had a
second important effect on the party by increasing the fervency
of existing
SNP supporters [1].
That the
SNP would win a third consecutive victory was never in any doubt but it's a measure
of how dominant the nationalists have become in the aftermath
of the 2014 independence
referendum that the party's inability to win a
second overall majority - under a proportional representation system designed to prevent just such an outcome - may be considered something
of a failure.
A great many
of those who signed up to the
SNP after the
referendum did so on the basis that they expected the party to call a
second vote on the UK's constitutional future sooner rather than later.
Not everyone who opposes a
second independence
referendum is prepared to «lend» their vote to Ruth Davidson just yet, and from that Kezia Dugdale has taken a degree
of heart, as her party has from the result in Glasgow, where the
SNP emerged as the largest party but not with overall control as it expected.
The
SNP surge which so dramatically changed the face
of Westminster politics in 2015 appears to be over, as voters appeared to respond negatively to Nicola Sturgeon pressing for a
second Independence
referendum.
Vince Cable, we are reliably told, will argue today that the
SNP should back the notion
of a
second EU
referendum, on the terms
of the deal which will eventually emerge from negotiations.
The
SNP lost its overall majority however, meaning the prospects
of a
second independence
referendum have receded for the time being.
12:20 - Robertson says the
SNP was elected with a mandate for a
referendum in the
second half
of the parliament term.
In the aftermath
of the independence
referendum,
SNP membership soared to around 130,000; many
of the new recruits wanted a
second vote on the constitution sooner rather than later.
Robertson's gradualist approach implies it could take the rest
of the decade to implement any extra further powers and also suggests the
SNP will attempt to postpone a
second independence
referendum.
Even then, however, the
SNP seem likely to retain most
of their Scottish seats which would be claimed as endorsement for a
second independence
referendum and opposition to a hard Brexit in the next parliament.