Thus the reluctant conclusion of Wadhams, and other members of the Arctic Methane Emergency Group, AMEG [3], is that drastic emergency measures including geoengineering must be taken as soon as possible in order to cool the Arctic rapidly and minimise the risk of
sea ice collapse and methane feedback.
Not exact matches
If those
ice sheets were to
collapse, global
sea levels could change dramatically.
Because of that volatility in Antarctica, it's too soon to say whether this year's
collapse in global
sea ice is an aberration.
If so, the interaction between hydrofracturing and
ice - cliff
collapse could drive global
sea level much higher than projected in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)'s 2013 assessment report and in a 2014 study led by Kopp.
Computer model simulations have suggested that
ice - sheet melting through warm water incursions could initiate a
collapse of the WAIS within the next few centuries, raising global
sea - level by up to 3.5 metres.»
A recent study (pdf format) found that the West Antarctic
ice sheet would probably
collapse if
sea temperatures rose by more than 5 °C.
The risk is real: we know that the West Antarctic
ice sheet has
collapsed many times in the past, raising
sea levels at least 3 metres.
Glaciologists have long worried that the West Antarctic
ice sheet will
collapse over the next few centuries, raising
sea levels dramatically.
Dr Gudmundsson said: «Although floating
ice shelves have only a modest impact on of
sea - level rise,
ice from Antarctica's interior can discharge into the ocean when they
collapse.
The team's next steps include looking more closely at specific ocean swell events and
sea ice conditions during known
ice shelf
collapses and large iceberg calving events.
SPEED UP The
collapse of West Antarctica's glaciers may be unavoidable, and the
ice sheet's demise could raise global
sea level by as much as 4 meters, researchers reported.
All told, if the eastern and western Antarctic
ice shelves were to melt completely, they would raise
sea levels by as much as 230 feet (70 meters); the
collapse of smaller shelves like Larsen B has sped up the flow of glaciers behind them into the
sea, contributing to the creeping up of high tide levels around the world.
The creatures (shown here in the western Weddell
Sea) made a surprising emergence following the
collapse of the Larsen A
ice shelf.
Time - lapse visualizations of temperature, precipitation, receding
sea ice, and
collapsing ice shelves create a vivid experience of the natural pulses of the planet and the shifts brought on by climate change.
We reassess the potential contribution to eustatic and regional
sea level from a rapid
collapse of the
ice sheet and find that previous assessments have substantially overestimated its likely primary contribution.
The
collapse of several small
ice shelves has caused glaciers to accelerate two - to ninefold and spill more
ice into the ocean, raising the
sea level.
Some say the record loss of
sea ice in summer 2012 was a one - off, others that it was the start of a runaway
collapse.
Only floating
sea ice (bottom right) remains of the
collapsed Larsen B
ice shelf off the Antarctic Peninsula.
When the planet's big
ice sheets
collapsed at the end of the last
ice age, their melting caused global
sea levels to rise as much as 100 meters in roughly 10,000 years, which is fast in geological time, Mann noted.
The Larsen A, a sheet of
ice the size of Rhode Island and 500 feet thick, was
collapsing into the Weddell
Sea.
The
sea squirts, he thinks, are recent colonizers from open water, but the
sea cucumbers are probably remnants of the original ecosystem from before the
collapse of the Larsen
Ice Shelf.
Those changes may include the loss of Arctic summer
sea ice, the
collapse of
ice sheets in Greenland and western Antarctica, dieback of the Amazon rainforest and changes in the jet stream and the pattern of El Niño and La Niña weather cycles.
After large icebergs broke away from nearby
ice shelves in recent decades, they
collapsed and the land
ice they were buttressing tumbled into the
sea.
BANGLADESH is one of the countries at most risk from climate change, as it is low - lying and could be swamped by rising
seas — particularly if they rise by several metres (see «
Ice sheets on course for
collapse «-RRB-.
Destroy the floating
ice and the
ice cap (which holds enough water to raise
sea levels by 200 feet) would
collapse unimpeded into the
sea.
By offering support for the idea that the EAIS has been largely stable during the last 14 million years, the research offers some hope that a massive
collapse of the
ice sheet, and associated
sea level rise of tens of meters, may not be imminent.
When
ice shelves get thinner or
collapse all together, glaciers speed up and dump more water into the ocean, raising
sea levels.
Leaving aside the
collapse of the Larsen - B
ice shelf and other
ice shelves in Antarctica, is it too simplistic to expect that dramatic changes should be anticipated first in the Arctic because it is
sea covered by a few meters of
sea ice and therefore more susceptible to change, in comparison to Antarctica (which is obviously land covered by glacial
ice up to several kilometers thick in places)?
They also seem to be unaware of that the Arctic
sea ice still exists and its abrupt
collapse will trigger the next rapid warming!
When these
ice shelves suddenly splinter and weaken or even
collapse entirely, as has been observed in Antarctica, the glaciers that feed them speed up, dumping more
ice into the ocean and raising global
sea levels.
So disappearing
sea ice in the Arctic, or
collapsing ice shelves in the Antarctic, do not directly add to
sea level rise.
So
ice shelf
collapse can indirectly add to
sea level rise.
Climate scientist Ed Hawkins releases latest in series of gifs illustrating the rapid
collapse in Arctic
sea ice since the late 1970s
But if the shelf
collapses, then glacial
ice could flow into the
sea unabated and contribute to rising
sea levels.
The Arctic is warming twice as fast as the lower latitudes, and scientists report
sea ice across the Nares Strait just
collapsed two months earlier than normal.
In its latest assessment report, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) concluded that there wasn't sufficient evidence available to put an exact number on how much the
collapse of marine - based
ice sheets could add to
sea levels by 2100.
However, if the remaining
ice shelf
collapses or starts losing mass more rapidly, it could effectively unplug the glaciers next to the shelf, sending land - based
ice into Southern Ocean, and contributing to
sea level rise.
Many scientists concede that without drastic emissions reductions by 2020, we are on the path toward a 4C rise as early as mid-century, with catastrophic consequences, including the loss of the world's coral reefs; the disappearance of major mountain glaciers; the total loss of the Arctic summer
sea -
ice, most of the Greenland
ice - sheet and the break - up of West Antarctica; acidification and overheating of the oceans; the
collapse of the Amazon rainforest; and the loss of Arctic permafrost; to name just a few.
and the examples that he thinks have the potential to be large scale tipping elements are: Arctic
sea -
ice, a reorganisation of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation, melt of the Greenland or West Antarctic Ice Sheets, dieback of the Amazon rainforest, a greening of the Sahara, Indian summer monsoon collapse, boreal forest dieback and ocean methane hydrat
ice, a reorganisation of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation, melt of the Greenland or West Antarctic
Ice Sheets, dieback of the Amazon rainforest, a greening of the Sahara, Indian summer monsoon collapse, boreal forest dieback and ocean methane hydrat
Ice Sheets, dieback of the Amazon rainforest, a greening of the Sahara, Indian summer monsoon
collapse, boreal forest dieback and ocean methane hydrates.
Collapsing ice shelves and melting
sea ice leaves more open water in the Earth's polar regions (photo a in earlier figure).
Cause is wavier jet streams from huge Arctic warming die to
collapsing sea ice and snow cover.
If the
ice shelves
collapse, this land
ice ends up in the ocean and consequently
sea level will rise.
Ice shelf collapse and glacier recession here, in front of the large ice streams such as Pine Island Glacier and Thwaites Glacier, would have potential to raise sea levels by tens of centimetres to a metre, through the process of marine ice sheet instability
Ice shelf
collapse and glacier recession here, in front of the large
ice streams such as Pine Island Glacier and Thwaites Glacier, would have potential to raise sea levels by tens of centimetres to a metre, through the process of marine ice sheet instability
ice streams such as Pine Island Glacier and Thwaites Glacier, would have potential to raise
sea levels by tens of centimetres to a metre, through the process of marine
ice sheet instability
ice sheet instability23.
Given that the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet has a total sea level equivalent of 3.3 m1, with 1.5 m from Pine Island Glacier alone4, marine ice sheet collapse could be a significant challenge for future generations, with major changes in rates of sea level rise being possible within just the next couple of hundred yea
Ice Sheet has a total
sea level equivalent of 3.3 m1, with 1.5 m from Pine Island Glacier alone4, marine
ice sheet collapse could be a significant challenge for future generations, with major changes in rates of sea level rise being possible within just the next couple of hundred yea
ice sheet
collapse could be a significant challenge for future generations, with major changes in rates of
sea level rise being possible within just the next couple of hundred years.
Sea level rise due to ice shelf collapse is as yet limited, but large ice shelves surrounding some of the major Antarctic glaciers could be at risk, and their collapse would result in a significant sea level rise contribution [2
Sea level rise due to
ice shelf
collapse is as yet limited, but large
ice shelves surrounding some of the major Antarctic glaciers could be at risk, and their
collapse would result in a significant
sea level rise contribution [2
sea level rise contribution [22].
With glaciers thinning, accelerating and receding in response to
ice shelf
collapse [20, 21], more
ice is directly transported into the oceans, making a direct contribution to
sea level rise.
This process is difficult to accurately model, but rapid
ice sheet
collapse would certainly result in dramatically higher rates of
sea level rise once this critical threshold is passed.
Pine Island Glacier could
collapse — stagnate and retreat far up into the bay, resulting in rapid
sea level rise — within the next few centuries, raising global
sea levels by 1.5 m11, 12, out of a total of 3.3 m from the entire West Antarctic
Ice Sheet13.
A
collapse of this
ice shelf could lead to marine
ice sheet instabilty and rapid global
sea level rise.
Geologic shoreline evidence has been interpreted as indicating a rapid
sea level rise of a few meters late in the Eemian to a peak about 9 meters above present, suggesting the possibility that a critical stability threshold was crossed that caused polar
ice sheet
collapse [84]--[85], although there remains debate within the research community about this specific history and interpretation.