I write: Warm Ocean and Low
Sea Ice Events lead to more snow and higher Albedo and Cooling.
Not exact matches
Today,
ice sheets are melting,
sea level is rising, oceans are warming, and weather
events are becoming more extreme.
An increasing body of research reveals that these weather
events can be linked to loss of
sea ice in the Arctic, said Charles Greene, professor of earth and atmospheric sciences at Cornell University, who contributed to the article.
An article in the March issue of Oceanography, authored by scientists from Cornell and Rutgers universities, points to 2012's unprecedented Arctic
sea ice melt as the root cause of the
events that transformed a relatively modest storm into a destructive force (ClimateWire, Sept. 20, 2012).
«The loss of
sea ice in the Arctic and changes to heat storage will lead to changes in weather patterns that could bring extreme heat and cold
events to the continental United States similar to those seen in recent years, and possibly even more intense.»
Its core is a flurry of recent research proposing that such extreme weather
events in the midlatitudes are linked through the atmosphere with the effects of rapid climate change in the Arctic, such as dwindling
sea ice.
The team's next steps include looking more closely at specific ocean swell
events and
sea ice conditions during known
ice shelf collapses and large iceberg calving
events.
The impacts of climate change include global warming, rising
sea levels, melting glaciers and
sea ice as well as more severe weather
events.
«Although we haven't been able to detect a strong El Niño impact on Arctic
sea ice yet, now that the
ice is thinner and more mobile, we should begin to see a larger response to atmospheric
events from lower latitudes.»
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And on the opposite side of the planet, on March 3
sea ice around Antarctica hit its lowest extent ever recorded by satellites at the end of summer in the Southern Hemisphere, a surprising turn of
events after decades of moderate
sea ice expansion.
It's unclear whether this year's strong El Niño
event, which is a naturally occurring phenomenon that typically occurs every two to seven years where the surface water of the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean warms, has had any impact on the Arctic
sea ice minimum extent.
«This year is the fourth lowest, and yet we haven't seen any major weather
event or persistent weather pattern in the Arctic this summer that helped push the extent lower as often happens,» said Walt Meier, a
sea ice scientist with NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland.
«
Sea ice is critical for Arctic marine mammals because
events such as feeding, giving birth, molting, and resting are closely timed with the availability of their
ice platform,» Laidre said.
What's happening in the Arctic would be impossible without a century of global warming causing a long - term decline in
sea ice levels — but it is actually a short - term weather
event.
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We emphasize that because of the significant influence of
sea ice on the climate system, it seems that high priority should be given to developing ways for reconstructing high - resolution (in space and time)
sea -
ice extent for past climate - change
events.
If proxy data can confirm that
sea ice was indeed the major player in past abrupt climate - change
events, it seems less likely that such dramatic abrupt changes will occur due to global warming, when extensive
sea -
ice cover will not be present.
Because of the warming, «there are some potentially catastrophic
events that must be considered,» including
sea level rise from melting polar
ice sheets, according to the document.
Even if you ignore all the temperature meauserments which you seem to vehimently deny there is still many other sources of evidence associated with this increase such as —
ice melt / extreme weather
events /
sea current changes / habitat changes / CO2 /
ice cores / sediment cores.
A team of researchers has learned that the powerful 1997 - 98 El Niño
event dramatically accelerated the melting of the
ice shelves buttressing glaciers in West Antarctica's Amundsen
sea sector.
Overall,
ice shelves in the Amundsen
sea sector lost about five times as much mass as they gained during the
event.
Anderson, J.B. and Thomas, M.A., 1991, Marine
ice sheet decoupling as a mechanism for rapid, episodic
sea - level change: the record of such
events and their influence on sedimentation: Sedimentary Geology, v. 70, p. 87 - 104.
«Arctic
sea ice destruction; blue ocean
event and global food supply threat.»
«
Sea ice status now; projection for rest of melt season, implications to extreme weather
events and global food supply.»
And while some
events, like the U.S. winter storms and the record high Antarctic
sea ice extent, could be pinned to a particular cause, that cause could not be linked to climate change.
The latter
events left behind distinctive rock - sequences typically consisting of tillites (ancient boulder - clay, now solid rock) representing
ice - deposited debris, overlain with a depositional break by cap - carbonates (chemical sediments of marine origin deposited during interglacials following global
sea - level rises).
•» Hence, both regional and local
sea - level rise and fall in meter - scale is related to the geologic
events only and not related to global warming and / or polar
ice melt.»
If proxy data can confirm that
sea ice was indeed the major player in past abrupt climate - change
events, it seems less likely that such dramatic abrupt changes will occur due to global warming, when extensive
sea -
ice cover will not be present.
We emphasize that because of the significant influence of
sea ice on the climate system, it seems that high priority should be given to developing ways for reconstructing high - resolution (in space and time)
sea -
ice extent for past climate - change
events.
During Heinrich
Events, there seems to have been simultaneous
ice surges in North America, Scandinavia and possibly Antarctica, which can be explained if you accept that
sea level rise from one surge will cause the other
ice sheets to surge as well.
When this occurs in
ice sheets containing half a million (or more) cubic kilometers of
ice; then, there is a
sea level rise
event.
eg Graham explained that these warming
events are related to the decline of winter
sea ice in the Arctic, noting that January's
ice extent was the lowest on record.
When the
ice sheets start progressive structural collapses we will see
sea level rise
events.
Periods that are of possibly the most interest for testing sensitivities associated with uncertainties in future projections are the mid-Holocene (for tropical rainfall,
sea ice), the 8.2 kyr
event (for the ocean thermohaline circulation), the last two millennia (for decadal / multi-decadal variability), the last interglacial (for
ice sheets /
sea level) etc..
Now to contribute a single
event to Global Warming, one has to look at the weather conditions, and if patterns are sighted which are tied to alteration of
sea ice decline (our new atmosphere set up), we can connect the dots here too.
These parameters include global mean surface temperature,
sea - level rise, ocean and
ice sheet dynamics, ocean acidification, and extreme climatic
events.
These patterns, however, differ from the corresponding patterns in the historical period, and underline the connection between European cold winter
events and Arctic
sea ice reduction.
That these «
events» should have a corresponding counter
event is what concerns me wrt polar
sea ice melt.
Our analyses of
sea ice suggest such
events will happen and likely much sooner than expected in Hudson Bay.
It seems increasingly clear that D - O
events must involve major
sea ice changes (and there is not much
sea ice left, by comparison with what was present during the glacial period (20000 + years ago, when these
events happened), so D - O
events are increasingly unlikely in the future).
I've been criticized by some environmentalists in recent years for writing that the long - term picture (more CO2 = warmer world = less
ice = higher
seas and lots of climatic and ecological changes) is the only aspect of human - caused global warming that is solidly established, and that efforts to link dramatic weather - related
events to the human influence on climate could backfire should nature wiggle the other way for awhile.
I would be more than happy to see a tidal chart showing an estreme anomaly in
sea level at thesame moment as with observed tidal
ice events, but the charts I've seen show 100 cm tides even at the full moon.
Topics of potential interest: The successful OCO - 2 launch, continuing likelihood of an El Niño
event this fall, predictions of the September Arctic
sea ice minimum, Antarctic
sea ice excursions, stochastic elements in climate models etc..
But freak weather
events are different from long - term Arctic
sea ice melt statistics and slow - drip ozone stats and very slow - drip C02 emissions possibly causing some serious «problems» in the distant future.
Hence, the memory of
sea ice is usually quite short, and it would normally recover also from bigger flushing
events.
Sea ice is such a good indicator of weather and geophysical
events, I can tell where the center of a high pressure is, especially by looking at newly formed leads, the center of a powerful high punches a hole through the
ice!
Maue discussed how «two camps» of researchers claim to have increased predictability of such weather
events over periods of a month or more by using clues either in the Arctic, related to the extent of
sea ice and snow cover, or in the temperature of surface waters across the Pacific Ocean.
One may be the Arctic
sea ice melt, another might be ozone depletion and certainly
events in the stratosphere (including solar effects).
I predict greater surface salinity, much earlier melt, great adiabatic
events at
sea surface to air interface, wide early thousand lead expansion
events coinciding with at start clear than very cloudy air, a surprising near
ice death experience at the North Pole because the North Greenland subduction zone is already very fluid.