IceBridge is flying out of Barrow, Alaska, during
sea ice melt season to capture melt pond observations at a scale never before achieved.
The 2015 Arctic
sea ice melt season was a little lower than 2013 and 2014, but sea ice volume continues to increase.
According to the press release: «This trio of images shows changes between 1979 and 2007 in the average date of melt onset in the spring (left), the first autumn freeze (center), and the total average increase in the length of the Arctic
sea ice melt season.
What seems likely to be the most interesting period of the 2017 Arctic
sea ice melting season is upon us!
Not exact matches
Satellite data show that, between 1979 and 2013, the summer
ice - free
season expanded by an average of 5 to 10 weeks in 12 Arctic regions, with
sea ice forming later in the fall and
melting earlier in the spring.
«This knowledge about how Arctic
sea ice melts over the course of the summer
season will be valuable in further research,» he says.
Some analyses have hinted the Arctic's multiyear
sea ice, the oldest and thickest
ice that survives the summer
melt season, appeared to have recuperated partially after the 2012 record low.
But according to Joey Comiso, a
sea ice scientist at Goddard, the recovery flattened last winter and will likely reverse after this
melt season.
Starting next week, NASA's Operation IceBridge, an airborne survey of polar
ice, will be carrying science flights over
sea ice in the Arctic, to help validate satellite readings and provide insight into the impact of the summer
melt season on land and
sea ice.
This year's record low
sea ice maximum extent might not necessarily lead to a new record low summertime minimum extent, since weather has a great impact on the
melt season's outcome, Meier said.
But over the past decades, the
melt season has grown longer and the average extent of Arctic
sea ice has diminished, changing the game for many Arctic marine mammals — namely beluga, narwhal and bowhead whales; ringed, bearded, spotted, ribbon, harp and hooded seals; walruses; and polar bears.
A study examined three different factors: warmer - than - usual surface atmosphere conditions (related to global warming);
sea -
ice thinning prior to the
melting season (also related to global warming); and an August storm that passed over the Arctic, stirring up the ocean, fracturing the
sea ice and sending it southward to warmer climes.
Research led by Eric Post, a professor of biology at Penn State University, has linked an increasingly earlier plant growing
season to the
melting of arctic
sea ice, a relationship that has consequences for offspring production by caribou in the area.
But this year, a big spring meltdown in October and November suddenly reversed that trend and has led to continued record low
sea ice levels as the summer
melt season progressed.
Climate change is pushing temperatures up most rapidly in the polar regions and left the extent of Arctic
sea ice at 1.79 million square miles at the end of the summer
melt season.
In the Antarctic, where the summer
season just wrapped up, rapid
ice melt led to the lowest
sea ice minimum ever recorded for the area.
This report describes simulations of future
sea -
ice extent using the NCAR CCSM3, which point to the possible complete loss of
sea -
ice at the end of the
melt season as soon as 2040.
The
sea ice that caps the Arctic Ocean naturally waxes and wanes with the
seasons, reaching its maximum area at the end of winter, before the reemergence of the sun in spring starts off the
melt season.
«
Sea ice status now; projection for rest of
melt season, implications to extreme weather events and global food supply.»
Meanwhile, in Antarctica,
sea ice has already reached its minimum extent following the summer
melt season.
The volume of
sea ice left at the end of the summer
melt season seems to vary more from year to year than had perhaps been previously appreciated; after declining for several years,
sea ice volume shot up after the unusually cool summer of 2013, the data revealed.
And summer is prime
melt season, when the sun's rays beat down on the
ice, causing meltwater to pool on the surface and drain down through the
ice sheet and out to
sea.
During the
melt season the albedo of seasonal
ice is less than multiyear Seasonal
ice absorbs and transmits more sunlight to ocean than multiyear Albedo evolution of seasonal
sea ice has 7 phases
If you believe that it is not warming then please explain the
melting of glaciers, loss of
sea ice, longer growing
seasons, migration of species, increased humidity, and
sea level rise.
BTW, my fearless «denialism forecast» for the next month is for declining mentions of surface temperature trends, 30 - 50 % chance of more scientist bashing, and sporadic outbreaks of «Arctic
sea ice recovery» — at least until the
melting season gathers some steam.
If the Spring losses are not due to weather but are due to some other factor then they hold open the possibility that increasing and maintained Spring losses could be enough to increase the overall
melt season loss so as to leave the Arctic virtually
sea ice free by September.
Also good to remember is that there is a high probability that the effects of Arctic
sea ice decline are felt before the Arctic becomes effectively
ice - free (below 1 million km2
sea ice area at the end of a
melting season).
Arctic
sea ice has been shrinking more rapidly, falling to its lowest volume and second lowest area on record during the 2011 summer
melt season.
Re # 49 & # 82 The limitations on the growth of algae in the arctic varies with the
season, the effect of
sea -
ice melting is not as certain as Harold would have us believe: http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2005/2005JC002922.shtml http://www.nurp.noaa.gov/Spotlight/ArcticIce.htm
Whether the area around the North Pole is free of
sea -
ice at the end of this year's
melt season is not the important problem.
ScienceDaily (Oct. 3, 2008)-- Arctic
sea ice extent during the 2008 melt season dropped to the second - lowest level since satellite measurements began in 1979, reaching the lowest point in its annual cycle of melt and growth on Sept. 14, according to researchers at the University of Colorado at Boulder's National Snow and Ice Data Center.&raq
ice extent during the 2008
melt season dropped to the second - lowest level since satellite measurements began in 1979, reaching the lowest point in its annual cycle of
melt and growth on Sept. 14, according to researchers at the University of Colorado at Boulder's National Snow and
Ice Data Center.&raq
Ice Data Center.»
None of the
sea -
ice specialists I've interviewed since 2000 on Arctic trends ever predicted a straight - line path to an open - water Arctic, but quite a few have stressed the longstanding idea that as white
ice retreats, solar energy that would have been reflected back into space is absorbed by the dark
sea, with that heat then
melting existing
ice and shortening the winter frozen
season.
This report describes simulations of future
sea -
ice extent using the NCAR CCSM3, which point to the possible complete loss of
sea -
ice at the end of the
melt season as soon as 2040.
Abstract: «Comparison of
sea -
ice draft data acquired on submarine cruises between 1993 and 1997 with similar data acquired between 1958 and 1976 indicates that the mean
ice draft at the end of the
melt season has decreased by about 1.3 m in most of the deep water portion of the Arctic Ocean, from 3.1 m in 1958 — 1976 to 1.8 m in the 1990s...»
This causes increased erosion due to permafrost
melt, increased flooding due to the warmer temperatures, and intensified storms because the
sea ice forms later in the
season and is unable to provide a natural barrier for our coastal communities.
Recent changes in Arctic
sea ice melt onset, freeze - up, and
melt season length.
In fact, although climate models predict that Arctic
sea ice will decline in response to greenhouse gas increases, the current pace of retreat at the end of the
melt season is exceeding the models» forecasts by around a factor of 3 (Stroeve 2007).
With two to three more weeks left in the
melt season,
sea ice continues to track below 2007 daily extents.
Changes in Arctic
melt season and implications for
sea ice loss.
Currently, the NASA IceBridge mission supplies both
sea ice thickness and snow depth measurements in spring, providing timely information on the state of the
ice cover as the
melt season begins.
Multi-year
ice is
sea ice that has survived at least one summer
melt season.
«Based on relationships established in previous studies, the extreme negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) that characterized winter of 2009/2010 should have favored retention of Arctic
sea ice through the 2010 summer
melt season.
Recently published research by Barber and colleagues shows that the
ice cover was even more fragile at the end of the
melt season than satellite data indicated, with regions of the Beaufort and Chukchi
Seas covered by small, rotten
ice floes.
We revisited the SHEBA dataset, focusing first on the Arctic winter when there is no sunlight and the
ice is too cold to
melt, to understand how winter weather «prepares» the
sea ice for the spring
melt season.
If you want to follow the details of what is going on during this
melt season, check out Arctic
Sea Ice Blog and Dosbat.
Ice retreat depends strongly on the amount of solar heating of the surface ice and ocean; clear sky conditions early in the melt season can go a long ways towards helping ice retreat later in the season, so this is one of the variables that will be monitored closely (e.g., in the Barrow coastal sea ice break - up forecast, see belo
Ice retreat depends strongly on the amount of solar heating of the surface
ice and ocean; clear sky conditions early in the melt season can go a long ways towards helping ice retreat later in the season, so this is one of the variables that will be monitored closely (e.g., in the Barrow coastal sea ice break - up forecast, see belo
ice and ocean; clear sky conditions early in the
melt season can go a long ways towards helping
ice retreat later in the season, so this is one of the variables that will be monitored closely (e.g., in the Barrow coastal sea ice break - up forecast, see belo
ice retreat later in the
season, so this is one of the variables that will be monitored closely (e.g., in the Barrow coastal
sea ice break - up forecast, see belo
ice break - up forecast, see below).
While the 2010
melt season started with more multi-year
ice (MYI) in the Beaufort and Chukchi
seas than seen in recent years and an overall greater percentage of MYI arctic - wide, by the end of August nearly all of this MYI had
melted out or
ice concentration had fallen below 40 %.
Large - scale warming in the Arctic [Johannessen et al., 2004] has resulted in an extension of the length of the summer
melt season over
sea ice [Smith, 1998; Rigor et al., 2000], thawing permafrost [Osterkamp and Romanovsky, 1999], and near - coastal thinning and overall shrinkage of the Greenland
ice sheet [Krabill et al., 1999; Lemke et al., 2007, and references therein].
As one goes further north toward the North Pole, the length of the shortwave radiation
season is shortened with less ability to
melt out multi-year
sea ice (D. Perovich, personal communication).
This year we have seen the Arctic
sea -
ice melting season once again reported by contrarians as a recovery, although as the graph below, from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, clearly shows, there have been a number of «recoveries» in previous years t
ice melting season once again reported by contrarians as a recovery, although as the graph below, from the National Snow and
Ice Data Center, clearly shows, there have been a number of «recoveries» in previous years t
Ice Data Center, clearly shows, there have been a number of «recoveries» in previous years too.