Seasonal changes in insolation are much larger than annual mean changes and can reach 60 W m — 2 (Box TS.6, Figure 1).
Those for Summer and Winter are not, but
the seasonal change in insolation for those times of year is small.
Not exact matches
Furthermore, while the deep wind is stable,
in the upper atmosphere the speed and width of the equatorial stream are highly changeable, perhaps due to the
seasonal insolation cycle on Saturn, and their intensity is increased by the
changing shadowing of the rings above the equator.
The major mid-Holocene forcing relative to the present was due to orbital perturbations that led to large
changes in the
seasonal cycle of
insolation.
It doesn't have to be CO2 —
in this case it's
seasonal insolation changes which cause an expansion of ice cover which cause a
change in the planet's overall albedo.
It would be worth building on the results that he reports there, for example by looking at
seasonal differences, or the perturbation of the
insolation caused warming by
changes in humidity..
As a result,
changes in the position and duration of the seasons on the orbit strongly modulate the latitudinal and
seasonal distribution of
insolation.
Changes in obliquity modulate seasonal contrasts as well as annual mean insolation changes with opposite effects at low vs. high latitudes (and therefore no effect on global average insolation)-LCB- 6.4
Changes in obliquity modulate
seasonal contrasts as well as annual mean
insolation changes with opposite effects at low vs. high latitudes (and therefore no effect on global average insolation)-LCB- 6.4
changes with opposite effects at low vs. high latitudes (and therefore no effect on global average
insolation)-LCB- 6.4 -RCB-.
The summer - winter
changes in insolation are much larger than those due to human - induced greenhouse gas
changes; the
seasonal change is mainly
in the visible part of the electromagnetic spectrum while the greenhouse gas forcing is
in the infrared; the greenhouse gas influence is global while the
seasonal changes are opposite
in the two hemispheres; and we have a much longer history of observing the
seasonal changes, so a more or less correct prediction can be made empirically, without any physical understanding.
This major oscillation may be related to a non-linear response of the climatic system to the gradual decrease
in insolation,
in addition to
seasonal and inter-hemispherical
changes in insolation.
His chosen models had to simulate the
seasonal changes in ice cover to demonstrate an accurate sensitivity to
changes in solar
insolation.
The correct way to caclulate the actual forcing from a given albedo model would be to take the difference between the model with unchanged
insolation and that with
changed insolation, rather than treating it all as being a consequence of the drift
in seasonal insolation.
His answer to that problem is found
in changes in seasonal albedo due to the increased
seasonal insolation.
The major mid-Holocene forcing relative to the present was due to orbital perturbations that led to large
changes in the
seasonal cycle of
insolation.