Sentences with phrase «simple models suggest»

But over the last decade or so, glaciologists have come to appreciate that ice sheets are not gigantic lumps of «static» ice; warming effects can cause them to act erratically and to move much faster than simple models suggest.
My simple model suggests 0.28 zJ pa energy from that reduction.

Not exact matches

In summary, available evidence suggests that a simple model of Bitcoin price based on Metcalfe's Law is useful for understanding and perhaps predicting Bitcoin price.
They suggest keeping foods and routines simple, being a good role model, boosting their favorite foods with blended vegetables or superfoods to add a bit of nutrition, and perhaps most importantly, always have healthy snacks at the ready (which is a good tip for all of us!).
Time for some brutal honesty... this team, as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed by the acquisition of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release of Sanogo... if you look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions than answers... to better show what I mean by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state of affairs on a position - by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid of for years because he and his father were a little too involved on social media and he got caught smoking (funny how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in, as they seem to have a pretty good history when it comes to that position... as far as the defenders on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy of our time and / or investment, as such we should get rid of anyone who doesn't meet those simple requirements, which means we should get rid of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a prediction of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly about the return of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous for (this kind of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good about the way their future potential employer feels about them)... in order for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule about his lack of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer as a result of his presence on the pitch... as for the rest of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none of the aforementioned had more than a year left under contract is criminal for a club of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business model needs a complete overhaul... for me it's time to get rid of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just as much time on the training table as on the field of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version of Rosicky — too bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no history of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality at the striker position falls once again squarely at the feet of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated by this club since the arrival of Kroenke: pretend your a small market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players of a similar ilk to be brought on board and that wasn't possible when the business model was that of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up for half the price he eventually went to Juve for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part of the facade that finally came crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger on the outside looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame at the feet of those who were well aware all along of the potential pitfalls of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...
Here, we present experiments using a reconstituted fusion system that suggest a simple model in which the complexin accessory helix forms an alternative four - helix bundle with the target - SNARE near the membrane, preventing the vesicle - SNARE from completing its zippering.
For example, the simple inflationary models that predict observable levels of gravitational waves also suggest that hints of these waves should have been seen in the temperature fluctuations observed by the European Space Agency's Planck satellite.
«It's not as simple as those earlier modeling and data papers suggested,» Sachs says.
Beck is careful to note that his relatively simple model failed to correctly predict present land uses up to one - third of the time, suggesting history and culture do influence how humans use the land.
An abstract model suggests that simple interactions between two chemicals are all that's needed to form «protocells»
Analysis of simple models and intercomparisons of AOGCM responses to idealised forcing scenarios suggest that, for most scenarios over the coming decades, errors in large - scale temperature projections are likely to increase in proportion to the magnitude of the overall response.
Moreover, similar answers were found in different climate models, suggesting that this is a very simple way of ascertaining some of the mechanisms that can explain climate system response to climate change.
Simple biogeochemical flux modeling suggests that, if the Archean Earth was kept warm by a methane greenhouse, then the evolution of oxygenic photosynthesis could have triggered a Snowball Earth event on a time scale as short as about a million years (Kopp et al., 2005).
In conclusion, if a simple design is what you're after at this point, and crunches are the main exercise you wish to pursue, we suggest you give this model a try.
There is no evidence to suggest that vouchers are simpler, fairer and more transparent than current funding models.
Its business model is simple, and demographic trends — namely the aging of the Baby Boomers — suggest healthy growth for the foreseeable future.
The preponderance of data suggest that most investors will do better following a simple model.
It's certainly not as clean and simple as the ideal value investing model would suggest.
Simple demographic modeling suggests that 70 to 90 percent of the free - roaming cats in a population must be trapped for TNR to actually reduce populations.
Under the simple model that only 50 % of the population was trappable in a given year, estimates from all sources suggested that the feral population in the interior ranged from 128 to 176 cats across years.
The combined elements create a mesmerizing effect, through which Kentridge offers an informal lesson on changing notions of time — from the celestial model in antiquity and Newton's mathematical view to Einstein's theories of relativity — and suggests the idea of time being «refused,» whether to resist the impact of colonial forces or to deny the simple truth of human mortality.
His early works consist of simple architectural models that suggest both ideal and quotidian environments.
These paintings paint themselves by application of very simple rules and from this process new models of experience emerge that suggest a broad consilience of form and stochastic connectivity.
Analysis of simple models and intercomparisons of AOGCM responses to idealised forcing scenarios suggest that, for most scenarios over the coming decades, errors in large - scale temperature projections are likely to increase in proportion to the magnitude of the overall response.
Lessons from simple toy models and experience with more sophisticated GCMs suggests that any perturbation to the TOA radiation budget from whatever source is a pretty good predictor of eventual surface temperature change.
This is followed by the authors» conclusion that while simple models (which consider only carbon chemistry) predict that the ocean will take up 70 - 80 % of the carbon dioxide we emit, the long - equilibrium will quite possibly be considerably higher than those models would suggest — given the changes to ocean circulation.
In a more recent paper, our own Stefan Rahmstorf used a simple regression model to suggest that sea level rise (SLR) could reach 0.5 to 1.4 meters above 1990 levels by 2100, but this did not consider individual processes like dynamic ice sheet changes, being only based on how global sea level has been linked to global warming over the past 120 years.
This simple first order model suggests that the THC mechanism delivers very little heat to Europe and none via the Gulf Stream.
It used a simple mathematical model, and IPCC data, to suggest that even if CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere doubled, which might take the rest of the century, average global temperature would not rise by much more than 1 degree Celsius.
And further, to be fair, if I came at you with a simple model and suggested that we should tax carbon based on a zero dimensional model, I'll wager that you might ask» what's that model say about sea level rise?»
If you assume the simple model result comes from skill rather than luck then it would suggest GMT is almost exclusively governed by thermodynamics.
A simple model, following the example of the 14C data with a one year mixing time, would suggest a delay of 12 6 months for CO2 changes in concentration in the Northern Hemisphere to appear in the Southern Hemisphere.»
Above I used simple physical considerations to suggest there would be some added value from regional models compared to global models.
This, plus the fact that remarkable close simulations of the time series are obtained with a model consisting of a few nonlinear differential equations suggest the intriguing possibility that there are simple rules governing the complex behavior of global paleoclimate.»
Our simple model's simulations suggest that temperatures will peak then fall slowly under near - zero emissions (figure 1), but this result is acutely sensitive to model structure.
I suggest they read the KISS paper [James P. Wallace, III, Anthony Finizza, and Joseph D'Aleo, «A Simple KISS Model to Examine the Relationship Between Atmospheric CO2 Concentration, and Ocean & Land Surface Temperatures, Taking into Consideration Solar and Volcanic Activity, As Well As Fossil Fuel Use,» in Evidence - Based Climate Science, 2011, pp. 353 - 382, Elsevier, Oxford, Amsterdam, ISBN: 9780123859563] if they would like to discuss any of this further.
Using a simple physical model, O'Gorman suggests that this is due to the balance between two competing effects caused by the warming: increasing moisture available for humidity and the decreases in the fraction of precipitation that falls as snow.
A simple linear fit model suggests that an increase in global cloud cover of 1 percent corresponds to a global temperature decrease of about 0.07 oC.
«The correlation of changes in d13C with ENSO events and the comparison with a simple model of a series of cascades suggest that the changes in d13C in the atmosphere have little to do with the input of CO2 emissions from the continuous use of fossil fuels.»
As well as this simple estimate from heat balance implying a best estimate for ECS of approximately 1.6 °C, and the reworking of the Gregory 02 results suggesting a slightly lower figure, two good quality recent observationally - constrained studies using relatively simple hemispheric - resolving models also point to climate sensitivity being about 1.6 °C:
With no a priori knowledge of the forecast models, we suggest a simple memory kernel that reduces both the timescale error (eτ) and the scaling error (eζ).
a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z