No matter how many houses you can afford to build on Pennsylvania Avenue with your
simulated money and no matter how many rail roads you've had to mortgage to pay the rent, the
hypothetical results you've attained in your
simulated trading do NOT, and never will, indicate
future results in the live markets or any markets for that matter (thanks for reading through the board game references, I'll keep it to a minimum from now on).
Let's take an idealized example: Figure 1 shows the
hypothetical linear relationship between a variable A
simulated by 29 climate models and a projection of
future climate changes (here ECS, but in principle any climate - change response may be considered).