«The United
States temperature trends estimated from the relatively few stations in the classes with minimal artificial impact are found to be collectively about 2/3 as large as US trends estimated in the classes with greater expected artificial impact,» the researchers report.
Not exact matches
The study, led by Michael E. Mann, a climatologist now at Pennsylvania
State University, was the first to
estimate widespread climate
trends by stitching together a grab bag of evidence, including variations in ancient tree rings and
temperatures measured in deep holes in the earth.
Using the one - page summary form referenced below, rate each of the following «Postulated Future Trends for change in Global Mean
Temperature by 2100» by its
Estimated Probability of Realization (EPOR), with the EPOR outcome for each postulated future
trend being
stated as either «High», «Medium», or «Low».
By dividing the total
temperature change (as indicated by the best - fit linear
trend) by the observed rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide content, and then applying that relationship to a doubling of the carbon dioxide content, Loehle arrives at an
estimate of the earth's transient climate sensitivity — transient, in the sense that at the time of CO2 doubling, the earth has yet to reach a
state of equilibrium and some warming is still to come.
Eric did not
state that explicitly, but he does mention that you reconstructed a
temperature trend for Byrd which is +0.08 C / decade, while for example the Monaghan et al 2008 reconstruction for Byrd comes out at +0.32 C / decade, and the updated Monaghan
estimate indicates an even higher
trend (> 0.4 C / decade).