I'm bemused to see: i) 40 % of these H1 2012 Top 10 Losers were actually in my original bottom 10 of TGISVP — out of 70 + shares, not a bad forecast at all, and ii) 60 % of these H1 2012 Top 10 Losers remain in the new Bottom 15
Stocks chart above, despite their losses YTD!
Now, it seems to me, looking at the large forceful decline in BlackBerry's share price (as indicated by the large red candle in
the stock chart above), that investors are almost hysterically overreacting to the deal news.
Not exact matches
The
above chart is pretty striking in that it shows just how much CEO pay has outstripped even the
stock market, as higher
stock prices are one way in which ever - higher executive pay is justified.
The
chart above shows the tremendous dip in the company's
stock in Thursday trading.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, not only is far more volatile than both
stocks and gold (as illustrated in the
chart above), but trades unpredictably, even maniacally, without any relationship to other assets or even gold itself.
Since the idea is to avoid buying
stocks that are too far extended
above their 10 - week moving averages, when exactly should you buy strong
stocks based on the weekly
charts?
Within nine days of buying the
stock, the price had drifted back down to our initial buy entry (the pink horizontal line on the
chart above).
A technically positive weekly
chart occurs when a
stock ends a week
above its key weekly moving average with the momentum reading rising
above 20.00.
However, quite a few of our members subscribe only to benefit from our objective, rule - based Market Timing Model (click here for details), which reliably indicates when to enter and exit the market with their own
stock trades at the most ideal times (as shown in the
chart above).
Earlier this week, in our ETF and
stock swing trading newsletter, we posted a
chart of CurrencyShares Euro Trust ($ FXE) that showed a bullish consolidation
above long - term support of the 200 - day moving average.
Most investors do not realize this, because the majority of traders and «professional» money managers were still in college or b - school during the 2007 - early 2009
stock market collapse, but the homebuilding sector actually peaked and began a waterfall decline in mid-2005 (see the
chart above).
Whenever a
stock or index breaks down below the 20 - EMA and quickly finds support, the price action should snap back
above the 20 - EMA the next day (points «A» and «C») OR at least form a «higher low» on the hourly
chart the next day (point «B»).
Taking this a step further, the
chart above shows that out of the most recent 23 periods of higher rates (based on the 10 - year Treasury yield),
stocks have gained ground 19 of those times.
While Canadian
stocks aren't the worst performers over the past year (the Brexit - beaten UK
stock market has done worse), they're pretty close to the bottom of the pack (see the
chart above).
The
chart below compares the S&P 500 Index (upper red bars, left scale) with the percentage of
stocks trading
above their 100 - day moving average (lower black bars, right scale).
The
chart of the cumulative money
stock shown
above doesn't convey how volatile said growth rate actually is.
As mentioned in the annotations on the
chart above, investors are now paying 10 times revenues for more
stocks than at any time since early 2000.
The weekly
chart for Amazon is positive but overbought, with the
stock above its five - week modified moving average of $ 1,143.69.
# 4
Above 50 SMA: The weekly chart of HAL shows that the stock is currently trading above its 50 - week SMA, which is marked in pink c
Above 50 SMA: The weekly
chart of HAL shows that the
stock is currently trading
above its 50 - week SMA, which is marked in pink c
above its 50 - week SMA, which is marked in pink color.
The daily
chart showed that the
stock was
above a «golden cross,» which supported an opening buy for 2017.
The point of the
chart above is to illustrate that those with an agenda to ride the trend and look smart are correct when they state that the US
stock market is not particularly over valued... if one shuts off one's brain and accepts policy (blue Monetary Base line, which is but one of several money supply measures) as being at all normal or healthy.
The
chart above is a simple visual, but just because U.S.
stock market might deliver low returns, does not necessarily mean an investor will earn those same low returns.
It's not as though
stock markets went up due to
above trend growth or productivity and it's hard not to look at a
chart of the returns generated by long - dated gilts and property over the last 30 years and not see some correlation.
The
chart above paints an overwhelmingly supportive picture for investing in global
stocks, leading one to rightly ask: why even bother allocating to Canada at all?
To the extent that the first
chart above (SPX futures) reflects a combination of Central Bank money printing and investors going «all - in» on
stocks (record low cash levels), IF the Central Banks simply stop printing money and do not shrink their balance sheets, who will be left to buy
stocks when the selling begins?
Pretty simple stuff, below is a look at the percentage of S&P
stocks above their 50 day and 200 day moving averages in the following two
charts.
# 9
Above MAs: The weekly chart shows that the stock is currently trading above both 50 - week as well as 200 - week
Above MAs: The weekly
chart shows that the
stock is currently trading
above both 50 - week as well as 200 - week
above both 50 - week as well as 200 - week SMA.
Now taking into consideration the appropriate adjustments I had to make, what the growth
chart above should actually show is that our portfolio pretty much just tracked the indexes for the U.S. Total
Stock Market as well as the international markets, with increases ranging from 6 % to 11 % for the year.
Our
chart above shows an example of saving $ 5,500 per year for 29 years at a 7 % growth rate (roughly the long term average return of the
stock market).
Over the last several weeks, I have seen several
charts of the percent of S&P 500
stocks trading
above their 50 (or 200) day moving average overlaid on the S&P 500.
With the 2 year yield crossing
above the dividend yield, this
chart implies that investors will shift away from
stocks to the more «risk free» 2 year Treasury yield.
The
chart below compares the S&P 500 Index (upper red bars, left scale) with the percentage of
stocks trading
above their 100 - day moving average (lower black bars, right scale).
The
chart above is the perfect reference for the S Fund as it is actually the
chart of the Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total
Stock Market Index.
And though it's not depicted in the
above chart, if you go back even further in history, you'll find that the Fed Model implies that
stocks were about as «undervalued» as it says
stocks are today — right before the 1929 crash.
Study the long - term
chart of any outstanding growth
stock & it's quite obvious most of the objections
above are just red herrings.
Chart 2 shows that the current ratio is well below the ratio achieved in the last two peaks (1999 and 2007), but well
above the 1982
stock market low preceding the last secular bull market.
While Canadian
stocks aren't the worst performers over the past year (the Brexit - beaten UK
stock market has done worse), they're pretty close to the bottom of the pack (see the
chart above).
The label «EW Universe», used in the
charts above, represents a simulation of the performance of an equal weight allocation to each
stock in the entire universe.
The following
chart shows the debt to shareholders equity ratios for each of the
stocks highlighted as a liquidation candidate
above, rebased so that the last year's number equals 100.
From the
chart above I do not see any buying and it seems that we still may see more selling pressure in this
stock (for which I am happy, since I am planning on buying more shares!)
The trading
chart above shows that Tesla has been in a consistent uptrend marked by rising support and resistant trend lines — for example, the
stock is trending because of a catalyst such as a product launch or changes in management — in the last three weeks.