Not exact matches
Thus if the sun were to become stronger by about 2 %, the
TOA radiation balance would
change by 0.02 * 1366 * 0.7 / 4 = 4.8 W / m2 (taking albedo and geometry into account) and this would be the
radiative forcing (RF).
Changes in the planetary and tropical TOA radiative fluxes are consistent with independent global ocean heat - storage data, and are expected to be dominated by changes in cloud radiative f
Changes in the planetary and tropical
TOA radiative fluxes are consistent with independent global ocean heat - storage data, and are expected to be dominated by
changes in cloud radiative f
changes in cloud
radiative forcing.
It is double speak for a climate scientist to assert (correctly I might add) that natural variability like ENSO will alter the
TOA radiative imbalance through
changes in clouds, humidity, evaporation, rainfall, ect., but then out of the other side of the mouth imply that natural variability doesn't really matter to the multi-decadal projections.
If you can't keep up with annual - decadal
changes in the
TOA radiative imbalance or ocean heat content (because of failure to correctly model
changes in the atmosphere and ocean due to natural variability), then your climate model lacks fidelity to the real world system it is tasked to represent.
First, for
changing just CO2 forcing (or CH4, etc, or for a non-GHE forcing, such as a
change in incident solar radiation, volcanic aerosols, etc.), there will be other GHE
radiative «forcings» (feedbacks, though in the context of measuring their
radiative effect, they can be described as having
radiative forcings of x W / m2 per
change in surface T), such as water vapor feedback, LW cloud feedback, and also, because GHE depends on the vertical temperature distribution, the lapse rate feedback (this generally refers to the tropospheric lapse rate, though
changes in the position of the tropopause and
changes in the stratospheric temperature could also be considered lapse - rate feedbacks for forcing at
TOA; forcing at the tropopause with stratospheric adjustment takes some of that into account; sensitivity to forcing at the tropopause with stratospheric adjustment will generally be different from sensitivity to forcing without stratospheric adjustment and both will generally be different from forcing at
TOA before stratospheric adjustment; forcing at
TOA after stratospehric adjustment is identical to forcing at the tropopause after stratospheric adjustment).
A sharp
change in lapse rate will (absent sharp
changes in optical thickness per unit distance, which occurs at
TOA and at the surface even in wavelength bands dominated by well - mixed gases) tend to differ from
radiative equilibrium — the inflection point may correspond to a maximum deviation from
radiative equilibrium if the
radiative equilibrium profile has some intermediate lapse rate in that vicinity.
On question 3, the only figure I
changed from question 2 was the
TOA radiative imbalance until I got exactly 30.0.
I continued to question 4,
changed insolation and suface albedo as indicated (just like in question 2, which was marked right), and set
TOA radiative inbalance back to 0.
I clearly see that the
change in surface temperature and
TOA radiative forcing simulated by the model depends upon the model complexity, for example, how the ocean circulations are represented.
Your hypothesis assumes that increased absorption of energy in the troposphere will be transmitted to the surface by convection, since
radiative transfer doesn't
change if the temperature remains constant, and the
radiative imbalance at the
TOA wouldn't
change.
It shows an ocean heat peak in the 1990's — that follows
changes in cloud
radiative forcing at
toa.
The decadal
changes in
TOA flux associated with ENSO and the PDO suggest that the longer term patterns associated with
changing SST over centuries to millennia are associated with significant but unknowable
changes in cloud
radiative forcing.
There are large decadal fluctuations in
TOA radiative flux that are caused by these decadal
changes in ocean and atmosphere circulation — i.e. the stadium wave.
A
change in
radiative characteristics alone does not make more energy available because solar insolation at
TOA remains the same, mass stays the same and gravity stays the same.
e.g. «In summary, although there is independent evidence for decadal
changes in
TOA radiative fluxes over the last two decades, the evidence is equivocal.
«n summary, although there is independent evidence for decadal
changes in
TOA radiative fluxes over the last two decades, the evidence is equivocal.
Looking again at the
change in the
TOA energy balance, we call this
change the effective
radiative forcing or
radiative flux perturbation RFP.
«Uncertainty in any
TOA radiative flux dataset results from a combination of factors including calibration, spectral sampling, angular sampling, spatial sampling, and temporal sampling, as well as algorithm
changes.»
The
TOA imbalance minus the net surface flux (from * all * fluxes, latent,
radiative, etc.) gives the rate of
change of the atmospheric energy content.
Yes in fact we know that the paradigm of only the globally average
TOA radiative forcing mattering must be erroneous as it fails to explain how Milankovitch forcing (
changes in insolation) causes the glacial interglacial cycles, when it is a forcing which is tiny on a global scale (even hemisphericaly completely out of phase!)
Cloud cover
changes are significant determinants of the Earth's top - of - atmosphere (
TOA) radiation imbalance, or how much solar
radiative forcing is absorbed by the Earth's surface (oceans).
Changes in global mean surface temperature are nearly linearly related to global mean
TOA radiative forcing for a wide range of forcing agents
The
TOA radiative forcing might not be directly related to surface temperature if a forcing agent
changes the vertical distribution of heating in the atmosphere.
terms of their ultimate
radiative effects (i.e.,
change in
TOA or surface
radiative fluxes) is not always straightforward.
Motivated by findings that major components of so - called cloud «feedbacks» are best understood as rapid responses to CO2 forcing (Gregory and Webb in J Clim 21:58 — 71, 2008), the top of atmosphere (
TOA)
radiative effects from forcing, and the subsequent responses to global surface temperature
changes from all «atmospheric feedbacks» (water vapour, lapse rate, surface albedo, «surface temperature» and cloud) are examined in detail in a General Circulation Model.
LC09 purported to determine climate sensitivity by examining the response of
radiative fluxes at the Top - of - the - Atmosphere (
TOA) to ocean temperature
changes in the tropics.
Change radiative forcing at the tropopause or at
TOA and everything in the climate system
changes.