Sentences with phrase «temperature projections look»

Not exact matches

Climate change projections that look ahead one or two centuries show a rapid rise in temperature and sea level, but say little about the longer picture.
Whereas most studies look to the last 150 years of instrumental data and compare it to projections for the next few centuries, we looked back 20,000 years using recently collected carbon dioxide, global temperature and sea level data spanning the last ice age.
A recent analysis looked at historical damage to food crops from high temperatures during the growing season alongside projections of future warming.
None of this «oh, natural variation and cool spells are expected to interrupt the warming (for more than a year or two)» crap... that's not what has been predicted, and if temperatures do not rebound in a big way soon, AGW projections will continue to look foolish.
that's not what has been predicted, and if temperatures do not rebound in a big way soon, AGW projections will continue to look foolish.
Look at their temperature projection record.
Since CO2 has a logarithmic correlation to temp, take a look at what the Paris agreement would do to the actual temperature projections.
The wiggles make the projections look like a «real» temperature series, but how did they get there?
Seems to disprove my theory above... they are perhaps just doing the usual «here is a proxy temperature record, now please look over here at the model «projections»..
While the lofty goal of the landmark Paris climate agreement was to prevent global temperatures from rising 2 °C, it's increasingly unlikely the world will pull that off (see «Global warming's worst - case projections look increasingly likely»).
It looks likely to escape extreme temperatures rises of 10 °C or more seen elsewhere (see map, top right), but rainfall projections paint a more troubling picture.
Model projections show that surface and air temperatures will continue to rise in coming decades, so planners in Rio's government are looking for ways to offset heat - island effects.
4) the end results on the bottom of the first table (on maximum temperatures), clearly showed a drop in the speed of warming that started around 38 years ago, and continued to drop every other period I looked / /... 5) I did a linear fit, on those 4 results for the drop in the speed of global maximum temps, versus time, ended up with y = 0.0018 x -0.0314, with r2 = 0.96 At that stage I was sure to know that I had hooked a fish: I was at least 95 % sure (max) temperatures were falling 6) On same maxima data, a polynomial fit, of 2nd order, i.e. parabolic, gave me y = -0.000049 × 2 + 0.004267 x — 0.056745 r2 = 0.995 That is very high, showing a natural relationship, like the trajectory of somebody throwing a ball... 7) projection on the above parabolic fit backward, (10 years?)
It looks like some sort of hybrid between AR4 projections for tropical sea temperature increase and global average surface temperature rise.
In other words, the lower panel is what the IPCC temperature projections should have looked like.
Let's also look at the specific IPCC quote that Mr. Romm furnishes us with: «As global average temperature increase exceeds about 3.5 °C [relative to 1980 to 1999], model projections suggest significant extinctions (40 - 70 % of species assessed) around the globe.»
According to the WWF, top climate scientists have looked at the information and found that the effects of the melting ice on climate is going to more severely impact temperatures worldwide than other projections put forward so far, including even the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's 2007 assessment.
Let's look in more detail at the paper's key figure, the one that looks at past and (forecast) future global temperatures, «Hindcast / forecast decadal variations in global mean temperature, as compared with observations and standard climate model projections» (click to enlarge)
Also look at the regional projections (which do have greater uncertainty) and you'll see that seasonally and annually, the Libyan desert and the Sahara region of Africa are going to get hotter, but the increase in temperature there will be dwarfed by the temperature increases around the Arctic Ocean.
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