«
Thawing of permafrost does not mean all permafrost carbon is eventually lost.
Not exact matches
Despite that risk, current climate models
do not include the risk
of emissions from
thawing permafrost, the UNEP analysis warned.
Researchers
do believe that climate change contributes to more
thawing of the ocean floor
permafrost in the Arctic because they have measured increases in seafloor temperatures in recent years.
However, little study has been
done thus far on the effects
of permafrost thaw on Arctic and subarctic ponds.
Although the Russian authorities may downplay their concerns because they don't really have any good solutions, they are very concerned about the economic consequences
of the
thawing because much
of Russia's natural gas and oil is extracted from the
permafrost.
The IPCC report
did not take into account
thawing permafrost and the subsequent release
of methane.
They don't seem to realize anywhere in the paper that the temperature data they are relying
of for input to their models used for
permafrost thaw comes from the little white box at the edge
of the tarmac.
«
Permafrost hundreds
of metres thick simply doesn't warm or
thaw much in ten years on account
of its thermal inertia.»
The two scientists report in Nature Climate Change that if emissions
of greenhouse gases continue to rise as they are
doing now, the
thaw of the
permafrost and the loss
of the ice caps could release 1,700 billion metric tons
of carbon now locked in as frozen organic matter.
Because present - day
permafrost landscapes generally support a greater abundance
of lakes and wetlands than
do thawed landscapes (Smith et al., 2005, 2007), a complete disappearance
of permafrost would suggest an ultimately drier land surface and thus reduced methane production.
«We have proven that the current state
of subsea
permafrost is incomparably closer to the
thaw point than terrestrial
permafrost, and that modern warming
does contribute to warming the subsea
permafrost,» says Shakhova.
«The presence
of old carbon
does not necessarily mean a
permafrost feedback is occurring, because old carbon can [still] be released by natural seasonal
thaw processes in
permafrost systems,» said Joshua Dean
of Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam.
But that didn't stop him: he continued calling — searching for infrastructure that was deteriorating as the
permafrost thawed beneath it and for facilities threatened by coastal erosion and flooding — until he and his colleagues had mapped every inch
of Alaska's infrastructure and put a price tag on what climate change might
do to it.