Though Fed funds rates do not directly control mortgage rates, they are influenced by some of the same factors.
Not exact matches
Though the
Fed has been in a slow
rate - hiking pace since December 2015 — the December 2017 increase was the fifth in the current cycle — its benchmark
funds rate remains targeted at just 1.25 percent to 1.5 percent.
Traders in the
fed funds futures market,
though, have shifted expectations and now don't expect the next
rate hike until at least June.
Though all measures of inflation were coming down as summer turned to fall and the economy clearly was slowing following a July brush with $ 4 - a-gallon gasoline, the FOMC decided to hold the
fed funds rate at 2 %, concluding that «the downside risks to growth and the upside risks to inflation are both of significant concern to the committee.»
Thus, even
though the
Fed has now restored the
funds rate to a relatively normal level of 4.5 per cent, world policy interest
rates on average remain well below normal.
After the last Federal Open Market Committee meeting,
Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen indicated the
rate - setting body was on track to raise the federal -
funds rate three times in 2017 and continue on that path next year, even
though inflation is well below the
Fed's 2 % target
rate.
June 16 - 17: Even
though the Committee would prefer the
fed funds rate to return to a normal 2 - 3 percent range, it seemed more worried about jeopardizing the U.S. recovery by raising
rates too soon.
It's the setting of the
Fed Funds Rate,
though, which is the
Fed's most well - known tool.
Back during the 2002 - 2004 era,
though rates were low,
Fed funds traded in a tight band.
Remember,
though, that the
Fed funds rate is a very short - term interest
rate that does not directly impact long - term
rates like mortgage
rates.
Even
though the Federal Reserve raised the
fed funds rate twice in 2016,
rates currently are low from a historical viewpoint.
Though some see the
Fed hemmed in here, I think that as they reduce the
Fed funds rate, they will also reduce the 75 bp fee.
For example, even
though the
Fed was still holding the
funds rate steady in autumn 2016, fixed mortgage
rates rose by better than three quarters of a percentage point amid growing economic strength and a change in investor sentiment about future growth and tax policies during the period.
As long as they can maintain the spread between deposit
rates and lending
rates, they're often willing to change the levels (
though you'll notice that there's currently still a wide spread between LIBOR and
Fed Funds here).
Now we're starting to see some non-banks — unions, insurance companies and others — raising
funds to offer mortgage financing, so I expect to see mortgages become more readily available,
though I expect their interest
rates will go up, whether the
Fed raises
rates or not.
This is ironic
though b / c the last
Fed Funds rate increase strengthened the dollar and paradoxically brought long - term
rates lower.