In fact,
the traditional climate models do not model several mechanisms that may contribute to a significant amplification of the solar impact on climate beginning from a cloud modulation from the cosmic ray which is solar induced.
Traditional climate models do not see these processes to an adequate degree.
Not exact matches
Dr Singer added: «We see this
model as a useful tool to simulate
climate change in regions and cases where
traditional models and methods don't capture the trends.»
But with the very real prospect of electricity replacing oil for much of our transportation fuel, and efficiency and renewables squeezing the
traditional utility
model hard, it doesn't take divine insight to start seeing that forward - thinking investors would be wise to factor in
climate exposure to every investment they make.
Koutsoyiannis (2011) showed that an ensemble of
climate model projections is fully contained WITHIN the uncertainty envelope of
traditional stochastic methods using historical data, including the Hurst phenomena... the Hurst phenomena (1951) describes the large and long excursions of natural events above and below their mean, as opposed to random processes which
do not exhibit such behavior.
Once this is
done, it is found that solar impact on
climate is severely underestimated by the
traditional models by a large factor while that the anthropogenic component has been overestimated by at least 2 - 3 times.
That is, while the IPCC claims with the
traditional models (which
do not reconstruct the
climate cycles) that more than 90 % of the warming since 1850 is anthropogenic, the reality is very likely that no more than 30 % of the warming may be anthropogenic and that this anthropogenic warming may not be GHG induced because may also be UHI induced, at least in part.
Schroeder, who has worked with Green in the past and has questioned some aspects of
traditional climate modeling, said in an interview that he
did not think AEI would have skewed his results.
The primary objective of this work was to expand upon the capabilities of past GFDL
models used to study
climate on seasonal to centennial time scales by the addition of a comprehensive and interactive carbon cycle in the land, ocean and atmosphere to «close the carbon cycle» in the same way we
do for water and energy in a
traditional climate model.