Nine years into
the U.S. bull market in stocks, we are still optimistic for the year ahead.
Not exact matches
With an aging
bull market in the
U.S. nearing the end of its seventh year at press time, it's difficult to find safety
in cheap
stocks; even formerly stodgy dividend payers now trade at dangerously expensive valuations.
For example, the largest
U.S. pension, California Public Employees» Retirement System, is considering more than doubling its bond allocation to reduce risk and volatility as the
bull market in stocks approaches nine years.
The big run - up
in U.S. stocks during the long
bull market has outpaced foreign
markets, bonds, and cash.
April 4 - Omar Aguilar of Charles Schwab says
U.S. stocks are still
in a cyclical
bull market and feels that retail investors will get back
in the
market as the housing and labor
markets stabilize.
We note, with a more than a little bit of curiosity, that the last secular
bull market in U.S. stocks began
in 1982 — just when the first Boomers turned 35.
Reading Time: 4 minutes The
U.S. stock market is
in a 9 year
bull market which makes many investors skeptical of the continued likelihood of
market out performance.
Overall,
stocks have been on a long
bull run since the
U.S. market bottomed
in 2009.
We can further confirm the conclusion of «
stocks over bonds» for investing
in most inflation periods by looking at the real returns of long - term treasury bonds versus the total
U.S. stock market starting at the unprecedented and long - lived bond
bull market starting
in 1982.
Since the start of this
bull market in March 2009, one of the longest
in history, a 60/40 split of
U.S. stocks and bonds would have been hard to beat.
We are now 6 years into this
bull market in U.S. stocks.
As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for
stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for
market losses, particularly given that the current
bull market has now outlived the median and average
bull, yet at higher valuations than most
bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other
market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness
in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index
in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for
U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weakness.
Even after a raging seven - year
bull market in U.S. stocks, investors are skittish.
Even after a seven - year
bull market in U.S. stocks, investors are still skittish.
We believe the main factor that drove the most significant
bull market in U.S. stock market history (household debt that enabled unrestricted consumption of everything from goods and services to homes) will reverse and continue the deleveraging process that will more than likely continue for a very long time.
The most important question to ask yourself is, «can we have another major
bull market in U.S. stocks anytime
in the near future?»
His proprietary trading models have enabled him to identify the NASDAQ top
in 2000, the new gold
bull market in 2001, the
stock market top
in 2007, and the
U.S. dollar bottom
in 2011.
Canadian and
U.S. stock markets have now experienced four and five 10 % corrections respectively since the
bull market began
in 2009.
The bulk of
U.S. stock gains
in this long - running
bull market are due to one variable: the expansion of the price - to - earnings ratio.
The truth is that the «
bull market»
in U.S. stocks is nothing more than
bull market in money printing, credit creation, an unprecedented level of Central Bank intervention and extreme fraud.
Market correction is overdue Another risk factor for proppant suppliers like U.S. Silica is that the stock market is now in the sixth year of a fantastic bull market, and perhaps overdue for a correction (10 % - plus decline from recent h
Market correction is overdue Another risk factor for proppant suppliers like
U.S. Silica is that the
stock market is now in the sixth year of a fantastic bull market, and perhaps overdue for a correction (10 % - plus decline from recent h
market is now
in the sixth year of a fantastic
bull market, and perhaps overdue for a correction (10 % - plus decline from recent h
market, and perhaps overdue for a correction (10 % - plus decline from recent highs).
Since the start of this
bull market in March 2009, one of the longest
in history, a 60/40 split of
U.S. stocks and bonds would have been hard to beat.
This post is part 2 of last week's post about the duration and magnitude of all
bull market periods
in U.S. stocks since 1871, which used the S&P 500 price series from Shiller's publicly available database and -LSB-...]
The current
bull market for
U.S. stocks is the fourth longest
in history.
The
U.S. stock market will surge
in the last 1 - 2 years of this
bull market.
Hot
Market Report:
U.S. Stock Index
Bulls Remain
in Technical Control 3.
Exploring the possibility of the next
U.S. recession, it's quite normal to experience two quarters of declining gross domestic product (GDP) growth
in a secular
bull market for
stocks.
Hot
Market Report:
U.S. Stock Index
Bulls Are Right Back
In Business 3.
For investors seeking long - term investment returns
in the
U.S. equity
market over the complete investment cycle (
bull and bear
markets combined), with added emphasis on reducing exposure to general
market fluctuations
in conditions viewed by the Advisor as unfavorable to
stocks.
Stock markets in the
U.S. have been on a
bull run since the end of the financial crisis, smashing through record highs
in recent days.
We can further confirm the conclusion of «
stocks over bonds» for investing
in most inflation periods by looking at the real returns of long - term treasury bonds versus the total
U.S. stock market starting at the unprecedented and long - lived bond
bull market starting
in 1982.
Butler Philbrick Gordillo and Associates have an interesting post called What the
Bull Giveth, the Bear Taketh Away on the duration and magnitude of all bull and bear market periods in U.S. stocks since 1
Bull Giveth, the Bear Taketh Away on the duration and magnitude of all
bull and bear market periods in U.S. stocks since 1
bull and bear
market periods
in U.S. stocks since 1871.
For the purpose of the study below, we examined the S&P 500 price series from Shiller's publicly available database to understand the duration and magnitude of all
bull and bear
market periods
in U.S. stocks since 1871.
U.S. stocks remain
in the midst of a long - term
bull market.
You may know me from my book, The Coming Renewal of Gold's Secular
Bull Market: Dump
U.S. Stocks and Prepare for Gold's Final Run, which was first published in May 2015 and correctly anticipated the revival in Gold and gold mining s
Stocks and Prepare for Gold's Final Run, which was first published
in May 2015 and correctly anticipated the revival
in Gold and gold mining
stocksstocks.
-- that there was money to burn, as if the capital gains from the biggest
bull market in U.S. stock market history would continue indefinitely!
This post is part 2 of last week's post about the duration and magnitude of all
bull market periods in U.S. stocks since 1871, which used the S&P 500 price series from Shiller's publicly available database and the method adopted by Butler Philbrick Gordillo and Associates» post What the Bull Giveth, the Bear Taketh A
bull market periods
in U.S. stocks since 1871, which used the S&P 500 price series from Shiller's publicly available database and the method adopted by Butler Philbrick Gordillo and Associates» post What the
Bull Giveth, the Bear Taketh A
Bull Giveth, the Bear Taketh Away.
In the stock market, the big three all rallied this week, continuing one of the longest bull markets in U.S. histor
In the
stock market, the big three all rallied this week, continuing one of the longest
bull markets in U.S. histor
in U.S. history.
The
U.S. stock index
bulls are still
in firm technical control, even though the
bull market run
in the
stock indexes is very mature.
Stocks had been
in a multi-year
bull run and
market P / E ratios
in the
U.S. were above the post-war average.
Quarterly Monitor: With the nine - year - old
bull market in U.S. stocks showing signs of weakening, investors and
market strategists are emphasizing overseas exposure.
Inequality Today recently posted... 3 Reasons Why This
Bull Market in U.S. Stocks Isn't Over
Trimming the weights of tech titans such as Apple Inc. (AAPL) and Microsoft Corp. (MSFT),
stocks that roared higher
in the
U.S. bull market that started
in March 2009, may seem risky, but RYT suggests otherwise.
From the share price peak
in 1905, we saw
bull and bear
markets aplenty, but the bear
market of 1982 (and the accompanying stagflation binge) saw share prices
in real terms fall below the levels first reached
in 1905 — a 77 - year span with no price appreciation
in U.S. stocks.