Under the assumption that range anxiety is one of the main barriers to the electrification of
the U.S. car fleet, Fitzgerald and van Haaren set out to show what types of trips American drivers are actually taking, and from there determine whether a fully charged electric vehicle can meet those needs.
Given that
the U.S. car fleet is likely to have grown to over 400 million vehicles by then, we may still end up using more oil in the future than we do today in a business as usual scenario.
The U.S. car fleet is shrinking.
Unlike airbags and anti-lock brakes, these three features below are a long way off from showing up on the majority of
the U.S. car fleet.
The efficiency tweaks are part of an effort by automakers to comply with federal corporate average fuel economy (CAFE) rules that now require that
the U.S. car fleet meet fuel economy standards of 35 miles per gallon (15 kilometers per liter) by 2016.
The turnover in
the U.S. car fleet is about 10 years, so if everyone bought an electric car the next time they bought a car, you'd have 95 percent electric cars in 10 years.
Not exact matches
Add in productivity gains and fuel savings from more efficient travel, and a switch to fully automated
car fleets could save the
U.S. economy a staggering US$ 1.3 trillion a year, Morgan Stanley estimates.
In a world of driverless
cars,
U.S. auto sales would plummet, vehicle ownership falls 50 % and opportunities in
fleet management, tech and mapping arise.
Google already has a
fleet of 48 robot
cars that have clocked in more than 2 million miles on private tracks, highways and roads across the
U.S.
Executives at GM have expressed frustration that comparisons of monthly
U.S. sales results among rival automakers are distorted by short - term discount programs, and by differences in strategy for selling vehicles in bulk to rental
car fleets.
Although Chinese law mandates that
cars get at least 35 miles per gallon fuel efficiency, a level the
U.S. fleet won't reach until 2020, a large enough
fleet of Chinese
cars would forestall efforts to combat climate change or eliminate the other environmental challenges posed by paved roads, suburbanization and all that traffic.
The world's
car fleet is set to triple by 2050 to two billion autos with 80 percent of that growth coming from rapidly industrializing nations like India that currently do not have fuel economy rules (although the fastest growing
car market — China — has tougher regulations than the
U.S.).
One is that replacing utility power is one thing, but [a] lot of the total energy in the country goes in transportation, so another big assumption is that you'd largely have to convert the
U.S. passenger
fleet to hybrid plug - in
cars and trucks, all that, so that essentially you are fueling vehicles with electricity as well.
Data from the
U.S. government show that
car fleets from Japanese firms Toyota and Honda have consistently been above the Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards that manufacturers are supposed to meet (small graphs below).
General Motors +21 %, or +43 % for New GM (Buick - Cadillac - Chevrolet - GMC) Spurred by
fleet sales and incentive spending, General Motors regained the top spot in the
U.S. auto market in March — although, in a statistic that's ripe with foreshadowing, the company actually sold more
cars and trucks in China than in the USA.
BYD is also looking at making inroads in the
U.S. — it showed its S6 and F3 models at last year's Detroit show, has begun discussions to sell its
cars to Hertz for its
fleet in New York City, andopened a service center near Los Angeles for the test
fleet of
cars currently being used by the City of Los Angeles Housing Authority.
Within the
U.S. market, Chrysler saw the proportion of its sales going to
fleets decline by five percentage points year - over-year, to 23 percent, although its days supply (a measure of how many
cars are unsold at dealerships) rose to 71 days.
At one point in the mid-2000s, for instance, about half of all Mitsubishi Galants produced for the
U.S. market were dumped on
fleets because new -
car sales were so slow.
Chrysler plans to decrease its rental -
car sales as a percentage of its overall 18 %
U.S. fleet mix, as well as improve margins on some of its vehicle lines, the automaker's chief financial officer says during a conference call to discuss third - quarter financial results.
John Krafcik, Hyundai Motor America's president and CEO, said the response to the
car at this year's New York auto show, along with positive comments from consumers and dealers who have spent time with a travelling test
fleet of Korean - market Equus sedans, has prompted Hyundai to bring the sedan over to the
U.S.
«We have strategically decided to reduce
car production rather than increase incentive spending or dump vehicles into daily rental
fleets, like some of our competitors,» said Kurt McNeil,
U.S. vice president of Sales Operations.
On the other hand, there aren't any other good
cars with low sales numbers in the Pope's
U.S. driving
fleet, so the 500L does have that blessed benefit.
However, a 2015 study of lane departure warning on trucks in
U.S. fleets found the technology cut the rate of relevant crashes nearly in half, and a study of Volvo
cars in Sweden found a reduction of relevant injury crashes of 53 percent.
The Indianapolis - based MINI JCW Team competes with a
fleet of production - derived MINI John Cooper Works Hardtop race
cars closely related to the John Cooper Works Hardtops that are currently on sale at MINI dealerships across the
U.S.. For information about the MINI JCW Team visit MINIJCWTeam.com.
The United States could easily cut its gasoline use in half simply by converting the
U.S. automobile
fleet to highly efficient hybrid
cars.
According to Electrek, the nation is now the world's biggest electric vehicle market, with a
fleet of over 600,000 electric
cars — more than both the
U.S. and European markets combined.