Sentences with phrase «ukip vote»

Where does the UKIP vote go?

Significant UKIP vote remains to be absorbed.

They face losing their seats to LAB by small margins (predicted 4 - 10 % because of a significant UKIP vote in the seat).

David Winnick will very likely be retired by the electorate anyway, despite what he might be hope — defending a majority of under 2000 in a seat with a 22 % UKIP vote in 2015.

But rather than seeing this as a vote of confidence in Mrs May's leadership, many commentators have put the middle - road Tory performance down to a collapse in the UKIP vote.

Does require the UKIP vote to go to Torries plus defection from Labour to Both the Torries and the LIb Dems and prehaps a low turnout in the Labour strong hold heavily BME wards.

A great set of demographics for them will help the UKIP vote.

Rumour now has it that the former campaign manager / agent who sunk James» campaign will now run as an independent, further fractionating the UKIP vote..

Be interesting to see what the UKIP vote is here.

As I have said to you before Maxim a lot of it might but not all the UKIP vote is Tory friendly, a very significant proportion are ex Lab voters on council estates or WWC former industrial areas who are averse to the Tories for a plethora of reasons.

YouGov's constituency model put it as «Likely Labour» with a majority of perhaps 10 % over Con, and the UKIP vote falling back to little more than 10 %.

I expect this one to be close (maybe even coming down to the results from Scilly) but the local results don't exactly bode well for the LDs, suggesting the UKIP vote has gone Tory while the Labour vote seems to be holding up OK.

Tom Watson is in a bit of trouble as well because he's got a big Ukip vote [which may go Conservative].»

The UKIP vote is quite firm and in this seat it kills Labour just as much if not more so than the Conservatives.

It was a night in which big swings were rare - apart from a collapse in the UKIP vote.

This «new» group claim to be fielding nine candidates, at least, for the Test Valley Borough all - up elections which take place on the same day as the GE, further fractionating the UKIP vote.

I also suspect the Conservative majority will be large — if it isn't it'll be partly because of a bigger UKIP vote than that.

This was in part due to the collapse in the UKIP vote across the region, which saw the party all but wiped out from local government here.

This fragmentation of the Ukip vote also enabled Labour to hold on to Nottinghamshire marginals, such as Vernon Coaker's Gedling.

Whatever you say, the 2015 UKIP vote is very unlikely to diminish to the insignificant levels you seem to expect.

And now the BNP is looking to benefit from a collapsing Ukip vote; in 2004 the combined BNP - Ukip vote stood at 21 %.

David Cameron will come under pressure to explain how he will woo back voters after the Conservatives lost control of councils in Basildon, Brentwood and Maidstone, among others, because of a strong Ukip vote.

The UKIP vote last time was 8.1 % - lower than the national average of 12 %.

Less than half the Ukip vote came from the Tories if it did, then, the Tories getting more votes than last time, couldn't have got all their increased votes ex libdems

In each, the average UKIP vote share in 2015 was just over 14 %.

At 8.9 per cent, the UKIP vote here was below average but still sizeable.

Then, of course, the political context in 2012 and 2013 was a rising Ukip vote in the polls, which David Cameron was very worried about in terms of the impact on Conservative support.

On the Today programme he said the rise in the Ukip vote could help Labour win the general election (by taking votes from the Tories, he implied.)

Very strong correlation between strength of UKIP vote in an area and underperformance of schools.

- The UKIP vote came almost exclusively from the working class traditional Labour parts of the constituency (which did mostly vote leave but not emphatically so) and I suspect their ~ 5,000 votes last time split roughly 3,000 Labour, 2,000 Tory.

By the time of the general election next year, senior Labour strategists accept the Ukip vote will not shrink back to the 3 % it polled in the 2010 general election, but still believe the bulk of the Ukip damage then will be inflicted on the Conservatives.

I don't know what EF do for UKIP, but one common strategy is to adjust the UKIP vote according to the voting pattern at the 2014 European Parliament elections.

Moreover, in 2013 the Tories were able to hang on to seats which would otherwise have been lost to Labour as a result of the strong UKIP vote.

But a breakthrough in Clacton could give them huge momentum and convince sympathisers that Ukip really are a serious option when it all gets serious next May and show a Ukip vote may well give you a Ukip MP.

Numerous post-election studies show that around 60 % of the 2015 UKIP vote went to the Conservatives, with the rest split roughly equally between swichting to Labour, sticking with UKIP and abstaining.

In these tables, «Prog All» - for «progressive alliance» - shows whether the 2015 Ukip vote is outweighed by smaller left - wing parties.

The Ukip vote is definitely soft.

The impact of a Johnson premiership on the Ukip vote is likely to be seized on by his eurosceptic supporters who applauded the London mayor's declaration last week that Britain should have nothing to fear outside the EU.

There's another column here, «Ukip diff» shows whether the 2015 Ukip vote was larger than Labour's majority over the Tories:

The UKIP vote collapsed in Portsmouth, while Tory and Labour leaders in Southampton are both out.

Not to mention that despite your protestations to the contrary, the fact remains that the more welsh an area is, the lower the UKIP vote is (http://tinypic.com/m/iwjam0/3)

Polltroll Oh no doubt that's true re Corbyn and indeed I have no doubt that a great many (possibly even half) of the 2015 UKIP vote went Lab in 2017.

Whatever happens to the UKIP vote, I can't wait for the «not quite as you expected» «EPP withdrawal» after the elections.

This is attributable to the East Midlands, where the UKIP vote fell sharply in the absence of the «Kilroy - Silk effect» from 2004 having an unusually high proportion of shire districts that elect on an «all up» basis and had no elections in 2004.

I think this incident shows that Cameron has no intention whatsoever of courting the UKIP vote (or the Eurosceptic / right - wing element more generally).

She did achieve one of the highest UKIP vote shares in the election.

Take it as a compliment, clearly the Conservative hight command has some concerns about the UKIP vote and whilst unwilling to have much in the way of policies on the EU, it seeks to shore up its vote with a smear campaign.

In Copeland this worked to a T notably with the drop in the UKIP vote.

These two won't win any seats under first past the post but could take sufficient votes to keep Labour in if in a Marginal, remember Crawley and Harlow to name but two in 2005 where Labour held on by their fingernails and the UKIP vote was far higher than their majority.

We're going to go out there, we're going to campaign, and you're going to see a big rise in the Ukip vote in Labour areas under my leadership.»