Unless the numbers of Lib Dems, SNP or
Ukip MPs are very differently from those indicated above, the Tories need close to 290 MPs to stay in power, while Labour just needs to get past the 270 mark.
A new cross-party campaign aimed at taking the UK out of the European Union is being launched with Conservative, Labour and
UKIP MPs and donors.
Despite the fact that the European elections were the almost perfect second - order elections — with the coalition divided over Europe, European elections scheduled one year before general elections, and low turnout — and the two «
UKIP MPs» were nothing more than rebranded Tory MPs, most of the British media and pundits enthusiastically bought into Nigel Farage's «Purple Revolution».
The net outcome of all changes at the dissolution of Parliament resulted in four fewer Conservative MPs, two fewer Labour MPs, one fewer Liberal Democrat MP, four more independent MPs, the addition of one Respect MP and the addition of two
UKIP MPs.
If we throw in one or two
UKIP MPs to what the Liberal Democrats themselves have called a dangerous «BluKIP» coalition, the low probability of the Liberal Democrats taking part can be seen more clearly still.
Not exact matches
Conservatives are now throwing everything at defeating Reckless in the upcoming by - election, in a bid to stem the flow of Tory
MPs willing to switch to
Ukip.
[4] This includes the 2
MPs who defected to
UKIP but not the 2 Conservative
MPs who resigned, or Robert Jenrick who won a by - election in 2014.
Firstly, immediately, and funds permitting, Nuttall will surely be planning a major campaign tour of those constituencies whose
MPs voted against triggering Article 50 — and particularly those where the
MPs have a small majority and where
UKIP are even vaguely viable.
There is deep disquiet in Westminster after this week's prime minister's questions, with
MPs on both sides of the House speaking out against their party leaders for helping
Ukip.
And large constituencies returning five to ten
MPs would give smaller parties a chance to mitigate the «wasted votes» syndrome felt by
UKIP, the Greens — even the Liberal Democrats.
Woolfe argues Labour
MPs have «basically disowned» the party's members, with
Ukip set to profit at any future election.
While
UKIP has few / no
MPs it is not unreasonable to say that they have taken votes away from the Conservative party in recent years and potential
UKIP voters are seen by many as key in some marginal constituencies especially in «working class» areas where many voters are socially to the right and economically to the left.
However, there is one statistically significant result that suggests that constituency factors and re-election concerns might be affecting
MPs» positions:
MPs elected in seats with higher levels of
UKIP vote share are more likely to be uncommitted on the referendum.
Leading the campaign against will be a small number of cabinet ministers,
UKIP, a fair number of Conservative
MPs and few Labour ones.
People voting Conservative in Rochester and Strood, he argued, «understand
Ukip can't deliver with one MP or two
MPs.
As Tory
MPs are whipped towards campaigning in Rochester and Strood, where the expectation is they will lose to
Ukip's defector Mark Reckless on November 20th, he is in critical mood.
Ukip may not have many
MPs, but the legacy of its campaigning is a raft of measures making it harder for new arrivals in the UK to claim benefits.
It virtually guarantees that
Ukip would be forming part of the next government if
MPs in the Commons were determined in the same way as those in Holyrood, or Stormont, or in the Welsh Assembly.
«Discussions» with Conservative party
MPs, MEPs and peers about potential defections to
Ukip are underway, Nigel Farage has claimed.
It was worsted by
Ukip and its
MPs were furious at ever more concessions being offered to Scotland, but denied to England.
It is the Conservatives who have seen ministers resign,
MPs deselected and defectors to
Ukip.
We were witnessing the beginnings of a party being hollowed out and of a deepening disconnection between Labour
MPs and their core supporters, which, in time, would empower the SNP in Scotland and create an opportunity for
Ukip in England.
The government is struggling to craft a motion that satisfies Liberal Democrat
MPs — who in many cases owe their seats to anti-Iraq-war defections from Labour in 2005 — as well as little England Tory backbenchers who, nudged by
Ukip's anti-intervention stance yesterday, fear that Nigel Farage speaks for their voters better than Cameron does.
But Cameron is under pressure to ratchet up the rhetoric on immigration from his
MPs as they evaluate the threat to their right flank from
Ukip.
His departure has already been described by
UKIP as a sign of
MPs» disillusionment with Corbyn's leadership of the party.
The Greens and Sinn Fein are furthest to the left; the SNP and Plaid Cymru occupy the same position to the left of Labour; the SDLP adopts the same position as Labour (its
MPs informally take the Labour whip in the House of Commons); the Alliance Party of Northern Ireland adopts the same position as its sister party, the Liberal Democrats; the Conservatives are on the centre - right, followed by the DUP and the independent Unionist MP, with
UKIP furthest right.
In fact only a quarter of voters defecting from the Conservatives now say they will vote
UKIP instead — though that is little comfort to Conservative
MPs sitting on tiny majorities.
Similarly, Nigel Farage and
UKIP have attracted «historically unprecedented levels of coverage for a minor party» despite the fact they have no
MPs in Westminster.
Nowhere has this been more evident than in his Europe policy, where he essentially caved in to the more rabid Eurosceptic elements in his own party, in the hope of stemming the flow of voters and defecting
MPs to
UKIP.
Labour's real problem is that
Ukip might establish itself as the clear challenger in dozens of Labour seats across the North, with a chance of squeezing the residual Tory and Lib Dem votes in 2020, and defeating a number of Labour
MPs in that election.
Add
Ukip's rise to the Lib Dem, Scotland, Ulster and Wales factors, and there could be up to 100
MPs next May that sport neither red nor blue rosettes.
In remarks immediately seized on by Nigel Farage, the
Ukip leader, the senior Tory said that the party's
MPs have to rebel against the leadership because they face pressure from hardline associations.
The Respect Party leader said he had been elected to Westminster six times and, until the by - elections at the end of 2014, his party had more
MPs than
UKIP.
Mr Farage predicted that more
MPs will swap their Tory blue rosettes for
Ukip purple before next May.
Nor will the Carswell agenda itemised at his press conference — changing the law so that erring
MPs can be recalled, or regaining control of the UK's borders, or even disrupting sofa government — be advanced by his departure for
Ukip.
Nigel Farage told Conservative
MPs unhappy with David Cameron they were «in the wrong party» as he was asked about rumours of defections to
UKIP.
The Sunday Telegraph notes that the recent report was commissioned by
MPs Kate Hoey, Philip Davies, Kelvin Hopkins, Philip Hollobone, Ian Paisley and Graham Stringer, as well as former
Ukip leader Malcolm Pearson.
UKIP leader Nigel Farage appeared to admit he had been talking to Conservative
MPs about defecting to his party, but he declined to give any names when asked by Andrew Neil.
UKIP's Mark Reckless faced groaning and noisy
MPs as he challenged the prime minister over taking part in planned TV election leaders» debates.
But if I were one of those rare Tory
MPs in the North East I might be feeling like those eight of my colleagues feeling like their future might be brighter with
UKIP.
Ukip candidates will be permitted to run in joint tickets alongside Conservative
MPs, Nigel Farage has suggested.
Tory
MPs who were Remainers will know that their party will become more Eurosceptic as members who defected to
Ukip return to the fold.
A remarkable investigation by The Times reveals that
Ukip knowingly allowed dozens of racists, homophobes and violent criminals to stand as prospective
MPs and councillors at the last election.
12:30 - The Labour whips office is suggesting Tory
MPs believe Dorries went to Australia as a Tory MP but will come back as a
Ukip one.
The rhetoric around
Ukip defections became significantly harsher during the conference as the party leadership sought to discourage any more
MPs from following suit.
But some Conservative
MPs are especially nervous about the issue as they fear
Ukip is benefiting from the coalition's move.
UKIP appeared to be the political phenomenon of recent UK politics with successes at the European elections, council elections and by - elections following defecting Tory
MPs.
Case 2 The local Conservative (or could be Labour, Liberal, Green,
UKIP etc) MP has been caught out in a scandal, along with several other
MPs.
Meanwhile, research commissioned by The Sun has suggested Labour could lose 44
MPs to the Tories if
Ukip voters flock to Mrs May's party at a general election.
Carswell's defection to
Ukip has caused worry among senior Conservatives that other
MPs from the party could be about to follow suit.