Sentences with phrase «ukip vote in the polls»

Then, of course, the political context in 2012 and 2013 was a rising Ukip vote in the polls, which David Cameron was very worried about in terms of the impact on Conservative support.

Not exact matches

This analysis confirms what we might have anticipated from the evidence of the polls — local authorities appear to contain more Leave voters if there was a large vote for UKIP there in the 2014 European elections, if there was a small vote for parties of the «left» (Labour, Liberal Democrats, Scottish and Welsh Nationalists and Greens) on the same occasion, and in places with relatively low proportions of graduates, young people, and people from an ethnic minority background.

Since the general election was called Labour have gone up in the GB vote intention polls while the Liberal Democrats and especially UKIP have dropped.

Ukip hopes the polling will dispel suggestions that they will split the Conservative vote in 2015.

Opinium / Observer poll out today also tested opinion on the statement «I would vote for Ukip if I thought they could win in the constituency I live in.»

However, the poll of 13,000 people finds the increased lead is due not to a surge in Labour popularity but to a tripling of the UKIP vote in the marginals.»

With just over three weeks to go before a crucial byelection in the normally safe Tory seat of Rochester and Strood, which Ukip threatens to seize, the poll puts Ukip on 18 % of the national vote, with the Lib Dems on 6 % and the Greens on 4 %.

Given that the polls are showing that around half of former UKIP voters are planning on voting Conservative this year, and given that the Conservatives clearly benefitted from the collapse of the UKIP vote in the local elections, surely UKIP dropout is a big advantage for Theresa May?

Our online polling is also being adjusted in a comparable manner to our telephone polling, where supporters of the Green Party or UKIP have their secondary voting intention reallocated to other parties where no Green or UKIP candidate is on their ballot paper or undecided refused or would not vote.

UKIP now regularly pips the Liberal Democrats to third place in national voting intention polls.

UKIP continues to collapse in the polls and it is inconceivable that they will match their 2015 vote tally.

The poll's figures for general election voting intentions are not as bad but still not good: although the headline figures are Con 31 %, Lab 36 %, LD 9 %, UKIP 15 %, of those who voted Labour in 2010, 9 % are said to be intending to vote UKIP.

Admittedly that compares with 24 % of those who voted Lib Dem and a staggering 46 % of those who voted Tory (the poll puts UKIP in the lead over Labour for the Euro elections by 31 % to 28 %).

Unless... in our first post-Eastleigh poll, we also invited respondents to consider how they might vote if they felt that Conservative, Labour, Lib Dem and UKIP all had a chance of winning.

Westminister voting intentions in Wales, with changes from the previous ICM Welsh poll in February, are CON 23 % -LRB--1), LAB 38 % -LRB--4), LDEM 7 % -LRB--2), Plaid 13 % -LRB--1), UKIP 14 % (+7).

UKIP therefore faces a new competitor, since the Liberal Democrats were only 1 % behind the party in voting intentions in a YouGov poll conducted on March 8 and 9 this year.

In a YouGov poll for the Sunday Times published on August 22, UKIP received 14 % in voting intentions, almost twice as much as the Liberal DemocratIn a YouGov poll for the Sunday Times published on August 22, UKIP received 14 % in voting intentions, almost twice as much as the Liberal Democratin voting intentions, almost twice as much as the Liberal Democrats.

Socialist Action quote, in support of their case, polling data from Lord Ashcroft which shows that 45 % of UKIP's current support voted Tory in 2010, compared with 8 % who voted Labour.

And yet last week, Labour lost control of the council here and then polled fewer than half as many votes as UKIP in the European elections.

The Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg and Labour leader Ed Miliband faced their first public appearances since the disappointing polls which seen Ukip take votes in key areas across the country.

In summary, if UKIP moved their economic policy to the left, not too far to the left as I mentioned before, just away from the supply side tosh, they could become a major electoral force and convert those 15 to 17 per cent poll numbers into actual votes on the ground.

Most current UKIP supporters (and SNP supporters) have previously voted Labour, Lib Dem or Conservative (over two thirds according to AW's churn analysis) and, since a little under half of them are not firmly committed to UKIP (Ashcroft's poll) I contend that it is not unreasonable to theorise that some may do so again in May.

It's therefore very possible that UKIP could poll more votes than the Liberal Democrats in the 2015 election but win no seats, with the beleagured Lib Dems retaining more than half of their current incumbents.

As much as 29 % of Lib Dem voters in the last election told the poll they would vote for Labour or the Green party, 15 % would defect to the Conservatives or Ukip and 22 % said they did not know who they would for.

The usual caveats apply about it being just one poll, but it shows Labour support perking up in Wales since Jeremy Corbyn's election — Westminster voting intentions with changes from last month are CON 26 % -LRB--2), LAB 42 % (+5), LDEM 5 % (+1), Plaid 10 % -LRB--2), UKIP 16 % (+1).

Less than three quarters (72 %) of UKIP voters at the 2014 European Parliament election say they could see themselves voting UKIP in a general election, according to a new ITV News Index poll carried out by ComRes.

Less than three quarters of Ukip voters from the 2014 European Elections would vote the same way in a general election, an ITV News / ComRes poll has found.

A third of Conservative voters polled could vote Ukip in a general election, our ITV News / ComRes poll also showed.

Whilst 44 % of people aged 65 and over say they could see themselves voting Ukip in a European Parliament election, only 33 % say they would do the same in a General Election, according an ITV News poll carried out by ComRes.

In two of the seats polled, Thanet South and Thurrock, UKIP were ahead in voting intentions, which will be enormous help for them in convincing voters they are a viable general election vote in the local areIn two of the seats polled, Thanet South and Thurrock, UKIP were ahead in voting intentions, which will be enormous help for them in convincing voters they are a viable general election vote in the local arein voting intentions, which will be enormous help for them in convincing voters they are a viable general election vote in the local arein convincing voters they are a viable general election vote in the local arein the local area.

[121] In Scotland, support for the SNP continued to grow with polling figures in late March reaching 54 %, with the Labour vote continuing to decline accordingly, [122] while Labour retained their (reduced) lead in Wales, polling at 39 % by the end of the campaign, to 26 % for the Conservatives, 13 % for Plaid Cymru, 12 % for UKIP and 6 % for the Liberal DemocratIn Scotland, support for the SNP continued to grow with polling figures in late March reaching 54 %, with the Labour vote continuing to decline accordingly, [122] while Labour retained their (reduced) lead in Wales, polling at 39 % by the end of the campaign, to 26 % for the Conservatives, 13 % for Plaid Cymru, 12 % for UKIP and 6 % for the Liberal Democratin late March reaching 54 %, with the Labour vote continuing to decline accordingly, [122] while Labour retained their (reduced) lead in Wales, polling at 39 % by the end of the campaign, to 26 % for the Conservatives, 13 % for Plaid Cymru, 12 % for UKIP and 6 % for the Liberal Democratin Wales, polling at 39 % by the end of the campaign, to 26 % for the Conservatives, 13 % for Plaid Cymru, 12 % for UKIP and 6 % for the Liberal Democrats.

Party member Alexandra Swann wants to know why only one polling company includes UKIP in their voting intention question

«It will be as big a get - out - the - vote campaign as we've ever mounted,» the UKIP leader boasts, scenting victory in a poll that could derail Jeremy Corbyn.

The trajectory the narrative predicts is clear: UKIP does well in May's European and (importantly) local elections, confirming its ability to translate opinion polls into votes and seats.

In relation to the exit polls, the question for UKIP is how spread across the country its vote is.

Meanwhile, an opinion poll commissioned by former Tory deputy chairman Lord Ashcroft in the 40 most marginal Tory - held seats suggests that Labour remains on course for a comfortable overall majority at the next election — not because the party itself is gaining ground, but because Ukip has tripled its share of the vote, mainly at the expense of the Conservatives.

Labour should see their vote pick up in line with the party's stronger national poll showing, so that their top candidate Clare Moody has a good chance of being elected, so even with if there is a UKIP surge.

The two main parties are in the low 30s in the polls now in large part because of UKIP, but uniform change still seems to provide a reasonable guide as to how those overall vote shares translate into seats among key Con - Lab and Lab - Con marginals in England and Wales.

The first poll of the constituency, which handed ex-Tory MP Carswell 53 % of the vote in 2010, predicted he would be returned as Ukip's first elected candidate in Westminster with eye - watering support of 64 %.

Even if a majority votes to stay in the EU, as polls seem to indicate, it could tear the Conservatives apart, give a second (or third) wind to UKIP, and further strengthen the desire for independence within Scotland.

Douglas Carswell, the newly elected Ukip MP, has said that he expects his new party to win the Rochester and Strood byelection, adding it was possible that Ukip could win as many as 24 seats at the general election in light of polls showing it could take 25 % of the vote next May.

UKIP now has two MPs and has been rising in the polls, but do people see the party as a serious political force or just a protest vote?

Note also that, judging from the tables, ComRes have switched over to prompting for UKIP in their main voting intention question in this poll — as with their last national poll, it does not seem to have had a major effect (UPDATE — I think this is because ComRes have changed turnout weightings, so that there is a tighter turnout filter for the Greens and UKIP than for the main parties).

In May 2015, with polls pointing to a hung Parliament in the run up to the 2015 general election, the Bow Group chairman, Ben Harris - Quinney, called on voters in marginal constituencies to support the values of conservatism by voting UK Independence Party (UKIP) where the Conservatives could not win, and the Conservatives where UKIP could not wiIn May 2015, with polls pointing to a hung Parliament in the run up to the 2015 general election, the Bow Group chairman, Ben Harris - Quinney, called on voters in marginal constituencies to support the values of conservatism by voting UK Independence Party (UKIP) where the Conservatives could not win, and the Conservatives where UKIP could not wiin the run up to the 2015 general election, the Bow Group chairman, Ben Harris - Quinney, called on voters in marginal constituencies to support the values of conservatism by voting UK Independence Party (UKIP) where the Conservatives could not win, and the Conservatives where UKIP could not wiin marginal constituencies to support the values of conservatism by voting UK Independence Party (UKIP) where the Conservatives could not win, and the Conservatives where UKIP could not win.

The poll found that 10 % of Ukip voters would vote Tory in 2015.

In outer London, where the Conservatives are likely to be picking up votes that went to UKIP last time, the poll suggests a much smaller swing to Labour — something around four points.

Labour took heart after it topped the local polls in England with 31 % of the vote — up two points on last year — as the Tories came second and Ukip failed to translate an expected victory in the European elections into a breakthrough in council seats.

Looking at the detailed breakdown of support for the smaller parties, the biggest beneficiary seems to be UKIP, who are now regularly reaching up to 5 % in our voting intention polls.

With the polls already virtually tied, Ukip set to beat Labour into second in the European vote and Labour lagging the Tories by double digits on the economy and leadership, it is almost beyond obvious that the party faces a fundamental crisis.

WHAT IT FOUND: With Theresa May promising a Hard Brexit, the poll claimed just half (53 %) of those who said they'd vote UKIP in February plan to now, with 30 % opting for the Tories.