«They think
the Ukip vote splits the Tory vote.
Labour won both seats - with increased majorities - as
the UKIP vote split between Labour and the Tories.
Not exact matches
Forecasting that the
Ukip vote, which stood at 4,154 in 2015, would
split between Labour and the Tories, Gill adjusted her strategy, and was aided by the momentum of the national campaigns.
«Under First Past the Post this would likely be disastrous for them,
splitting the Labour
vote and allowing the Conservatives or
UKIP, or whoever, to gain more seats from them.
In Witney, David Cameron's local area,
Ukip split the right - wing
vote, allowing Labour councillor Laura Price in with just ten more
votes than the
Ukip candidate.
Could a
Ukip surge
split the Conservative
vote and let Labour in?
Even if
Ukip wins very few seats, it could
split the Tory
vote and prevent the party securing its own target seats.
«
Ukip is getting itself now into a position in some of the marginals where it is in a serious position to win a seat in parliament and not just to
split the
vote.»
Ukip hopes the polling will dispel suggestions that they will
split the Conservative
vote in 2015.
There is a strong sense of complacency — about
Ukip being a gift which
splits the Tory
vote, or being able to coast to power on 35 % of the
vote.
Under First Past the Post this would likely be disastrous for them,
splitting the Labour
vote and allowing the Conservatives (or
UKIP, or whoever) to gain more seats from them.
Is she willing to use her considerable new fame to advance Tory causes or to join
UKIP and
split the Eurosceptic
vote?
The
UKIP vote, which many had assumed would return to the Conservative party, ended up being
split between the Conservative and Labour parties, adding to the mayhem of election night.
The Conservatives aligned themselves with the Leave
vote to gobble up
UKIP votes and to capitalise on a supposed Leave - Remain
split in Labour's core
vote.
But this time he has to fight London's Ilford North without a
UKIP rival to
split the
vote.
UKIP has been making in - roads into Conservative
votes, and some on both sides are talking of electoral pacts to stop the political left taking advantage of a
split right - of - centre
vote.
UKIP has been making in - roads into the Conservative
vote, and some on both sides are talking of electoral pacts to stop the political left taking advantage of a
split right - of - centre
vote.
UKIP may have cost the Conservatives up to 20 seats at the 2010 general election with a
split in the eurosceptic
vote, leading to talk of a ceasefire, pact or merger between the two parties.
At these local elections, the Conservatives benefitted from this restructuring of
UKIP supporters, gaining Basildon, bringing Dudley to an even
split with Labour and almost decimating Labour's leads in North - East Lincolnshire and Nuneaton and Bedworth — all of which were heavily Leave -
voting areas.
With the right
split between Tory and
UKIP, and the LDs staying suppressed, Labour should be able to get a majority on less than a third of the
vote.
With several small parties competing for this identical agenda that
UKIP has belatedly adopted,
UKIP is facing being
vote -
split itself, which seems like karma to me.
There is just as much chance of the New Party, who are working off the same platform as
UKIP, but are better funded, taking
votes off
UKIP and
splitting the small party
vote.
The Greens and all independents supported it, the DUP were
split and
Ukip's sole MP
voted with the government.
«As
UKIP could
split the
vote and lose the Tories this seat and its overall majority, and shock Cons, it is strategically important.»
We must examine all the seats that are up next May and decide which seats, our intervention, will allow
UKIP candidates to
split the tory
vote.
And if
Ukip's
vote goes heavily Tory there, that would suggest there must be other seats in other regions where it is
splitting more evenly between reds and blues.
With
UKIP picking up a few percent as well, the No
votes will be too
split.
Numerous post-election studies show that around 60 % of the 2015
UKIP vote went to the Conservatives, with the rest
split roughly equally between swichting to Labour, sticking with
UKIP and abstaining.
(a) win many Labour seats (b)
split the
vote enough in seats where Corbynites get more of the Labour
vote to hand them to the Tories or
UKIP (or, in a handful of cases, the Lib Dems or Greens).
- The
UKIP vote came almost exclusively from the working class traditional Labour parts of the constituency (which did mostly
vote leave but not emphatically so) and I suspect their ~ 5,000
votes last time
split roughly 3,000 Labour, 2,000 Tory.
I don't think
UKIP are going to win seats but they could
split the Conservative
vote if they are very strong and let Labour through in those marginal seats.
This not only favours parties such as
UKIP and for that matter the dreaded Greens who would get nowhere under FTTP but prevents people
splitting their ticket as it is an all or nothing
vote.