Not exact matches
«The tide gauge measurements are essential for determining the
uncertainty in the GMSL (global
mean sea level) acceleration estimate,» said co-author Gary Mitchum, USF College of Marine
Science.
Unfortunately for policymakers and the public, while the basic
science pointing to a rising human influence on climate is clear, many of the most important questions will remain surrounded by deep complexity and
uncertainty for a long time to come: the pace at which seas will rise, the extent of warming from a certain buildup of greenhouse gases (climate sensitivity), the impact on hurricanes, the particular effects
in particular places (what global warming
means for Addis Ababa or Atlanta).
The review, which is being published
in the journal
Science on Friday, concludes that the human - driven buildup of carbon dioxide under way now appears to be far outpacing past natural events,
meaning that, for ocean chemistry particularly, the biological implications are potentially enormous — and laden with the kind of
uncertainty that is hard to see as a source of comfort.
«
Uncertainty» has
meanings within PNS that are unintelligible
in science.
He also failed to mention that board member Michael J. Boskin, who served as George W. Bush's chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, was one of the key culprits of that administration's consistent exaggeration of the
uncertainties in climate
science as a
means for stymieing legislation that would curb carbon dioxide emissions.
The challenge is that the «I» stands for Intergovernmental, and that the word «
science» can not be found
in the text of the UNFCCC; this
means that its parties (governments) should now agree to ask for scientific
uncertainties rather than single - minded prosecution; can we expect politicians to do so?
This does not
mean that there is no more
science to be done, but instead that,
in the risk - based framework that society uses
in its decision - making, the
uncertainties in the
science are now small enough to justify public action that will prevent more serious changes
in the future.
So, here's a question, VikingExplorer: If, as you have it, unique solutions are not central to physical
meaning in science, what's the point of physical error bars and
uncertainty intervals?
«He said that public confidence
in climate
science would be improved if there were more openness about its
uncertainties, even if that
meant admitting that sceptics had been right on some hotly - disputed issues.»
Gavin Schmidt can parse his words and insist on his «interpretation» as much as he wishes but his
meaning is absolutely clear — despite his «
uncertainty» post made after «climategate» had outed him: that global warming is happening, that this is caused,
in the main, by human made GHGs, that, if mankind does not halt these GHGs, catastrophe will follow and that this is «settled
science» and the «consensus».
But if we ignore all the
science on impacts and only assume that Earth will warm within a particular range
in response to CO2 emissions I think we still have reason for concern because
uncertainty about the impacts (what and how much) could still
mean that severe and even unforeseen consequences are possible.
But when I look at the single figure
in Kevin Trenberth's recent
Science paper («
Uncertainty in Hurricanes and Global Warming», vol 308, 1753 - 54) the
mean SSTA averaged over the tropical Atlantic («10 N to 20 N excluding the Caribbean west of 80 W») sure doesn't indicate recent cooling.
So the
uncertainty in science doesn't
mean we haven't got enough information to present policy makers with what they need to make policy.