Unprecedented warm temperatures lead to the loss of more than half of the sea ice cover in the Bering Sea in two weeks, resulting in record lows for Arctic Ocean sea ice extent for the month of February.
Not exact matches
Schmidt's rough estimate, which he posted on Twitter, is based on the extraordinary and
unprecedented warming over the past 12 months, during which time global surface
temperatures have shot past the 1 °C above pre-industrial level.
The changes in tree - ring width are closely correlated with
temperature, the study concludes: recent
warming in western US is the best explanation for last century's
unprecedented growth spurt.
The historic
temperature record is a massively important part of this jigsaw though, because it can tell us if todays
warming is within natural variability or quite
unprecedented, and it is also used to «tune» computer models (not that this has any great meaning — another story!).
One reason why recognizing the importance of the fact that Mann's statistical methods and hence conclusions are faulty is that to demonstrate that the current
warming is
unprecedented and therefore likely anthropogenic is that sufficiently precise paleoclimate
temperature indicators and data is hard to come by.
In these high latitudes,
temperatures are predicted to
warm so fast and to such a degree so as to cause
unprecedented melting of ice that even the most ardent of climate skeptics would be forced to concede the verity of global
warming theory.
While the planet's surface
temperatures over the past century have risen to
unprecedented levels, records have shown a slowdown in the pace of
warming over the past 15 years.
I was somewhat involuntarily thrust into the center of the public debate over climate change at this very time, when the «Hockey Stick»
temperature reconstruction I co-authored, depicting the
unprecedented nature of modern
warming in at least the past millennium, developed into an icon in the debate over human - caused climate change [particularly when it was featured in the Summary for Policy Makers (SPM) of the Third Assessment Report of the IPCC in 2001].
The rate and magnitude of 20th century
warming are thus unknowable, and suggestions of an
unprecedented trend in 20th century global air
temperature are unsustainable.
Warmer temperatures at high latitudes are already resulting more frequent Arctic fires, and
unprecedented permafrost thaw is leaving large soil carbon pools exposed to smoldering fires for the fist time since ancient times.
The record - breaking year of 2005 had below - average dust over the Atlantic, very
warm sea surface
temperatures, and an
unprecedented four hurricanes that reached category 5, the highest classification.
There is nothing «natural» about these extremes of weather over the last 2 years, or about the
unprecedented ozone hole in the Arctic last year (troposphere
warming from greenhouse gases caused stratospheric cooling to below threshold
temperature for polar stratospheric cloud generation and ozone destruction).
It has been claimed that late 20th Century was
unprecedented in
temperature and that nothing could have caused the
warming except CO2.
-
temperature trends are
unprecedented in the last 2000 years -
temperatures are
unprecedented in 10000000 years - hurricane PDI has doubled in the last 30 years - GCMs are the best proof we have of the inevitability of CO2 - caused
warming of 3 ± 1 °C
Of these surely the one labelled «global
temperatures» is the most absurd yet most frequently referred to as some sort of definitive proof of
unprecedented warming.
But if the MWP was restricted to mild local
warming, it would mean that present - day global
warming is
unprecedented for the past 1,000 years, as claimed by climatologist Michael Mann of Pennsylvania State University, University Park, in his famous «hockey stick» global
temperature reconstruction3.
The Met Office says it doesn't expect
temperature records to be broken every year, but «the current situation shows how global
warming can combine with smaller, natural fluctuations to push our climate to levels of warmth which are
unprecedented in the data records».
Keith Briffa, whose team reconstructed the contradictory
temperature graph, was furious, and wrote: «I know there is pressure to present a nice tidy story as regards «apparent
unprecedented warming in a thousand years or more in the proxy data.»»
Using a large volume of 126 proxy
temperature records from the Northern Hemisphere, they found (1) a clearly discernible Medieval
Warm Period (MWP)(950-1150) and Little Ice Age (LIA)(1450 - 1850), (2) «likely
unprecedented» modern
temperatures (relative to the last 1,000 years), as well as a (3) «significant» link between the high
temperatures of the MWP and recent times and the high solar activity that characterized both periods (the Medieval Maximum and the Modern Grand Maximum).
In his recently published study in the journal Nature,
Temperatures blown off course, he explains how
unprecedented trade winds have shifted heat into the ocean thermocline - between 100 metres and 300 metres - and that this is the primary cause of the global
warming pause.
For Bender: why the hockey stick matters: 1) it is used to prove the sun does not have a big effect 2) it is used to test / tune GEMs and estimate CO2 sensitivity 3) it is used to argue that
temperatures are
unprecedented 4) it is used to argue therefore that organisms and man are not able to adapt to this
warming 5) it is useful for whacking deniers
The UN IPCC rewrote the Earth's
temperature record in order to promote the «
Unprecedented 20th Century
Warming» belief.
I did show longer time scales on the
temperature data and proxies not so much to discredit the deceiving hockey stick, but to address the overwhelming belief by the public and policy makers that the current
warming is «
unprecedented», «dangerous» and nearing a «tipping point».
One reason why recognizing the importance of the fact that Mann's statistical methods and hence conclusions are faulty is that to demonstrate that the current
warming is
unprecedented and therefore likely anthropogenic is that sufficiently precise paleoclimate
temperature indicators and data is hard to come by.
«
Unprecedented levels of high
temperature in the last decades (Barber, 2004) have led to nonlinear patterns of white spruce tree growth responses to
warming at Alaska's treeline and
temperature thresholds appear to be operating.
Temperatures recover to basically a flat line from 1500 onward, until the «
unprecedented» 20th century
warming.
At some time or another, most people will have seen the hockey stick - the iconic graph which purports to show that after centuries of stable
temperatures, the second half of the twentieth century saw a sudden and
unprecedented warming of the globe.
Yet, it is still a widely accepted myth for periods since 1980 - that human CO2 has caused
unprecedented temperature increases, far outpacing any previous 20th century
warming increases.
That's why Michael Mann was heralded as a climate change hero when he sacrificed his career as a respectable scientist to create a bogus historical
temperature reconstruction which deleted all past climate variation of the last 2,000 years so that modern
warming would appear as an
UNPRECEDENTED!
If the earlier
warm period was comparable to the recent
warm period, then claims that recent global
temperature trends are
unprecedented or unusual will need to be re-evaluated.
«Climate science» as it is used by warmists implies adherence to a set of beliefs: (1) Increasing greenhouse gas concentrations will
warm the Earth's surface and atmosphere; (2) Human production of CO2 is producing significant increases in CO2 concentration; (3) The rate of rise of
temperature in the 20th and 21st centuries is
unprecedented compared to the rates of change of
temperature in the previous two millennia and this can only be due to rising greenhouse gas concentrations; (4) The climate of the 19th century was ideal and may be taken as a standard to compare against any current climate; (5) global climate models, while still not perfect, are good enough to indicate that continued use of fossil fuels at projected rates in the 21st century will cause the CO2 concentration to rise to a high level by 2100 (possibly 700 to 900 ppm); (6) The global average
temperature under this condition will rise more than 3 °C from the late 19th century ideal; (7) The negative impact on humanity of such a rise will be enormous; (8) The only alternative to such a disaster is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2 emissions (reducing emissions in 2050 by 80 % compared to today's rate) and continue further reductions after 2050; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is likely to reach at least 450 to 500 ppm by 2100 resulting in significant damage to humanity; (10) Such reductions in CO2 emissions are technically feasible and economically affordable while providing adequate energy to a growing world population that is increasingly industrializing.
I find it amusing that they're referring to a.9 degree Celsius
warming as being «
unprecedented» considering that by comparison, there are larger
temperature swings than noted in the study by the Brown University group.
«
Unprecedented temperatures and a... decrease in productivity can be attributed to (human)... global
warming.»
COMMON MISCONCEPTIONS ABOUT GLOBAL
WARMING MYTH 1: Global
temperatures are rising at a rapid,
unprecedented rate.
Joshua, the first sentence of the Marcott abstract, «Surface
temperature reconstructions of the past 1500 years suggest that recent
warming is
unprecedented in that time» Now when you dig through the paper and check the supplements you find that that statement is «not robust».
«Joshua, the first sentence of the Marcott abstract, «Surface
temperature reconstructions of the past 1500 years suggest that recent
warming is
unprecedented in that time»» Yes, it does.
Even the case «Marcott et al» did not prove that the current high
temperature could be
unprecedented, on basis of which the recent global
warming can be regarded as well as natural as human - made.
Based on land - surface
temperatures, Africa does not appear to be affected by the «
unprecedented» global
warming due to the «
unprecedented» global CO2 levels, which represents a catastrophic prediction failure by the IPPC and its climate models.
«Given that the current upward trend in
temperatures is not
unprecedented, it stands to reason that minor
warming will not lead to
unprecedented catastrophes, and scientific evidence confirms this.»
But since then there has been rapid,
unprecedented,
warming so that by the end of the most recent decade (2000 - 2009)
temperatures were
warmer than about 82 % of all decades in the past 12,000 years.
The UK's HadCRUT4 global empirical evidence makes it very clear: modern acceleration of
warming temperatures is not
unprecedented, nor unusual due to CO2 emissions; nor does the modern period exhibit any
warming trend that comes close to even 1.5 °C per century.
Surface
temperature reconstructions of the past 1500 years suggest that recent
warming is
unprecedented in that time.
In testimony before the US Senate in 2003, he stated: It is the consensus of the climate research community that the anomalous warmth of the late 20th century can not be explained by natural factors, but instead indicates significant anthropogenic, that is human influences... More than a dozen independent research groups have now reconstructed the average
temperature of the northern hemisphere in past centuries... The proxy reconstructions, taking into account these uncertainties, indicate that the
warming of the northern hemisphere during the late 20th century... is
unprecedented over at least the past millennium and it now appears based on peer - reviewed research, probably the past two millennia.
If the claim of the paper is going to be about about annual
temperature changes and
unprecedented warming and not confined to a claim about SONDJF then I would think annual
temperatures should be used for the (incorrect) post fact proxy selection criteria.
«
Warmer temperatures at high latitudes are already resulting in
unprecedented permafrost degradation,» he says.
And it was just one in a long series of threats I've received since the late 1990s, when my research illustrated the
unprecedented nature of global
warming, producing an upward - trending
temperature curve whose shape has been likened to a hockey stick.
If you have a Medieval
Warming Period (MWP)-- then
temperatures * aren't *
unprecedented and become mathematically decoupled from CO2.
You're no doubt aware by now that the Arctic is melting at
unprecedented rates and by and large the world's glaciers are retreating, both with the blame placed on
warming temperatures.
However I do think that there a number of arguments that speak against an important anthropogenic contribution to observed
temperatures changes in the past century: - The 1910 - 1945 allegedly
unprecedented warming, in spite of the small impact of GHGs at the time.
Recent analyses of instrumental, documentary and proxy climate records, focussing on European
temperatures, have also pointed to the
unprecedented warmth of the 20th century and shown that the extreme summer of 2003 was very likely
warmer than any that has occurred in at least 500 years (Luterbacher et al., 2004; Guiot et al., 2005; see Box 3.6).