Not exact matches
Google has also incorporated some of the reinforcement learning techniques
used by DeepMind in its
data centers to discover the best
calibrations that result in lower power consumption.
The latest study
uses a new
calibration of
data taken from NASA's Moon Mineralogy Mapper, which flew aboard India's Chandrayaan - 1 spacecraft, to quantify how much water is present on a global scale.
The team
used that
calibration data to detect the signature of vinyl cyanide at specific wavelengths of light and calculate its abundance.
Using different
calibration and filtering processes, the two researchers succeeded in combining a wide variety of available
data from temperature measurements and climate archives in such a way that they were able to compare the reconstructed sea surface temperature variations at different locations around the globe on different time scales over a period of 7,000 years.
From spectroscopic
data, researchers calculate
calibration equations that allow them to estimate the properties of corks faster than
using the traditional methods.
The LUX team
used this new
calibration to double - check the
data from the detector's first run.
We are
using the first 43 days of science
data to characterize these effects and to develop detection and mitigation methods that will be implemented in the
calibration pipeline.
(The description of our factor construction methodology is available in Appendix B.) We
use the first 24 years of
data (Jan 1967 — Dec 1990) in the initial model
calibration, encompassing several valuation cycles, and
use the remaining
data (Jan 1991 — Oct 2011) to run the model comparison.
[Response: The satellite altimeter
data point is shown in our Vermeer & Rahmstorf 2009 paper as an independent validation point that was not
used for
calibration, and it fits the relationship perfectly.
They then did a comparison and
calibration using an independent satellite
data set.
Despite the difficulties of
calibration that makes an absolute radiative imbalance measurement impossible — the anomalies
data contains essential information on climate variability that can be
used to understand and close out the global energy budget — changes in which are largely OHC.
However, the reason why the PC summaries are
used in the first place in paleo - reconstructions is that
using the full proxy set often runs into the danger of «overfitting» during the
calibration period (the time period when the proxy
data are trained to match the instrumental record).
This does two things that may be important: it allows the non-annually resolved proxies to be
used (recent previous reconstructions, e.g. MBH98, Esper et al.,
used only those with at least a value each year, to allow
calibration against the instrumental record; Moberg's approach allows the
use of
data that only provide 50 y means); and it throws away the long - term signal from the tree rings, which they consider to be untrustworthy.
In such cases, validation experiments are done (and described in detail in the paper), wherein one part of the record (e.g. the earlier part) is
used to calibrate the proxy
data, and a reconstruction is independently performed over the other part of the record (e.g. the late part), where it can be directly compared against the part of the instrumental record not
used in the
calibration process.
Nichol: we don't
use satellite
data in our
calibration.
In the case of the North American ITRDB
data used by MBH98, the reference means were chosen to be the 20th century
calibration period climatological means.
[Response: Following up Gavin's comment, it has indeed already been shown — based on experiments with synthetic proxy
data derived from a long climate model simulation (see Figure 5 herein)-- that the
calibration method
used by Moberg et al is prone to artificially inflating low - frequency variability.
Networks of tree ring width and tree ring density chronologies are
used to infer past temperature changes based on
calibration with temporally overlapping instrumental
data.
Although each of the temperature reconstructions are different (due to differing
calibration methods and
data used), they all show some similar patterns of temperature change over the last several centuries.
2) Even if the satellite
data contradicted the remainder of the
data, is it more likely that one
data set depending on the
calibration of one instrument is correct, or dozens of
data sets
using dozens of methods all showing the same pattern of warming?
«The principal difficulty is that the divergence disallows the direct
calibration of tree growth indices with instrumental temperature
data over recent decades (the period of greatest warmth over the last 150 years), impeding the
use of such
data in climatic reconstructions.»
We
used methods that carefully consider potential sources of uncertainty in the
data, including uncertainty in proxy
calibration and in dating of the samples»
Thus it «s better that very many different thermometers are
used by many different people following different practices than that a few ships
using one thermometer each make the measurements
using procedures that vary only slowly, unless accurate
data is available on the
calibration of those few thermometers and the procedures
used.
Following MM05a, the first PCs of this process were then
used as regressors in a
calibration with the Northern Hemisphere mean from the MBH verification
data grid and the RE of verification determined, for each Monte Carlo iteration.
The RegEm algorithm of [Tapio Schneider] was
used to estimate missing values for proxy series terminating before the 1995
calibration internval endpoint, based on their mutual covariance with the other available proxy
data over the full 1850 - 1995
calibration interval.
This adiabatic model was verified, with a precision of 0.1 %, by comparing the results obtained for the temperature distribution in the troposphere of the Earth with the standard model
used worldwide for the
calibration of the aircraft gauges and which is based on experimental
data.
Once there is reasonable confidence that the tree ring signal reflects a temperature signal, and then a
calibration is performed
using the derived tree ring
data and instrumented temperature
data.
The GCAM team changed their historical
calibrations to the compiled input
data described above, while the AIM, IMAGE and MESSAGE teams
used a multiplier, linearly converging to one over the 21st century, to ensure consistency with historical
data for the year 2000.
Now we find potential SST
data that while it may not necessarily change some of the total delta C, it could change the shape of the curves that are
used for the
calibration period.
«Magic with numbers» is always accomplished by either inventing your
data or massaging what
data you have, unreliable at best given the time spans involved the equipment available, the precision, repeatable accuracy and
calibration of the equipment
used to collect the
data along with the number of people doing the measurements, all of which are accomplished somewhat differently.
As I have also documented (and you have failed to respond to), by his own admission Willis
used none of this
calibration data to decide which floats to remove from his
data set — he only removed floats which contradicted his colleagues» models (by showing too much warming).
Does anyone understand this culling process that
uses «
calibration data» and «verification skill» which happens to remove all negative trend
data, but only half of the positive trend
data?
-------- http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/1/014013 Predictability of twentieth century sea - level rise from past
data However, in combination, the
use of proxy and tide gauge sea - level
data up to 1900 AD allows a good prediction of twentieth century sea - level rise, despite this rise being well outside the rates experienced in previous centuries during the
calibration period of the model.
The temporal overlap of the NOAA - 17 and -18 instruments is
used to introduce a small additive adjustment to the channel - 2
calibration of the latter resulting in a consistent record with increased
data density.
Canadian statisticians Steven McIntyre and Ross McKitrick demonstrated errors in Mann's statistical analysis and in the
use of certain tree - ring
data for
calibration.
«Observations
used to condition the models ought to be explicitly stated, or there is the risk of doubly calling on
data for purposes of both
calibration and evaluation.»
If the climate models
use hindcasting to Hadley or Giss pre-1979 temperature series as any sort of
calibration, they are calibrating to a CREATED TREND, created
using cooling adjustments to pre-1979
data.
It should * also * be noted that we
used essentially none of these
data in the multiproxy Mann / Bradley / Hughes (MBH) reconstruction, and that the MBH reconstruction tracks the instrumental record quite well through the very end of our
calibration interval (1980 — it stops then because there are far fewer paleo records available after 1980).
If a good
calibration can be obtained, then the satellite
data could (and should) be
used in lieu of the radiosonde
data.
I haven't seen your methodology properly described but it appears that your model is based on some kind of statistical
calibration with past
data that is
used to forecast future conditions.
The RegEM algorithm of Schneider (9) was
used to estimate missing values for proxy series terminating before the 1995
calibration interval endpoint, based on their mutual covariance with the other available proxy
data over the full 1850 — 1995
calibration interval.
Chris stated they are calibrated to the radiosonde
data, but did not elaborate if the
calibration for the humidity measurement was good enough to allow satellite
data to be
used in lieu of radiosonde
data.
And since we know the pre Argo OHC
data is poor to nonexistant (xbt
calibration being but one example), it means the attribution problem is likely insoluble
using observational means until many more ARGO decades have passed, at least one more full stadium wave.
The standard measure of reconstructive skill, the «reduction of error» metric («RE»)
used by MBH98, was
used to evaluate the fidelity of the resulting reconstruction
using 19th century instrumental
data that are independent of the
calibration (RE < 0 exhibits no skill, while RE = -1 is the average value for a random estimate).
One technique to demonstrate credibility is by assessing how well the statistical model does on
data that was not
used in the
calibration.
The MBH98 reconstruction is indeed almost completely insensitive to whether the centering convention of MBH98 (
data centered over 1902 - 1980
calibration interval) or MM (
data centered over the 1400 - 1971 interval) is
used.
This second term is usually small for a date when the proxies are well within the range represented by the
calibration data, but may become large when the equation is
used to extrapolate to proxy values outside that range.
These assumptions can also be checked
using the training and
calibration periods, and often more complicated regression methods can be
used to adjust for particular features in the
data that violate the assumptions.
Calibration and tuning of coupled Human — Earth System models, as indicated above, could take advantage of optimal parameter estimation
using advanced
Data Assimilation, rather than following the more traditional approach of tuning individual parameters or estimating them from available observations.