Sentences with phrase «usual emissions projection»

Read more: Adaptation Emerges as Key Part of Any Climate Change Plan Global Climate Change 39 % Increase in CO2 by 2030: Latest Grim Business - as - Usual Emissions Projection Financing Needed But Scarce for Climate Change Adaptation in Africa â $ ¨ Worst Case IPCC Climate Change Trajectories Are Being Realized Climate Change Will Costs US States Billions of Dollars

Not exact matches

To derive the climate projections for this assessment, we employed 20 general circulation models to consider two scenarios of global carbon emissions: one where atmospheric greenhouse gases are stabilized by the end of the century and the other where it grows on its current path (the stabilization [RCP4.5] and business - as - usual [RCP8.5] emission scenarios, respectively).

In end - of - century projections, summers have the largest increases in average temperature: 6.5 °F (3.6 °C) for the stabilization emission scenario, 11.8 °F (6.6 °C) for the business - as - usual emission scenario.

Average daily minimum and maximum temperatures increase in the mid-century and end - of - century projections for both stabilization and business - as - usual emission scenarios (Figure 2 - 10 shows output for annual average daily maximum temperature).

Differences exist in projections for the stabilization and business - as - usual emission scenarios, with the former consistently showing lower magnitudes of change than the latter.

Researchers at Stanford University who closely track China's power sector, coal use, and carbon dioxide emissions have done an initial rough projection and foresee China possibly emitting somewhere between 1.9 and 2.6 billion tons less carbon dioxide from 2008 to 2010 than it would have under «business as usual» if current bearish trends for the global economy hold up.

With this «business as usual» projections o 1,5 % / year emissions increase for his scenario A, his models predicted a CO2 atmospheric content of 384 ppmV for 2006 (R. Pielke Jr's graph in # 44).

When these past megadroughts are compared side - by - side with computer model projections of the 21st century, both the moderate and business - as - usual emissions scenarios are drier, and the risk of droughts lasting 30 years or longer increases significantly.

Figure 1 shows recent emissions (the 1990 — 2009 gray area), our representative 350 emissions pathway (the 2010 — 2050 red area) and, for comparison, a business - as - usual pathway (the dotted black line) that's consistent with the International Energy Agency's standard «reference case» (no new climate policy) projections.

Using business - as - usual scenarios for reactive nitrogen creation and CO2 emissions, several projections suggest that O3 - related human mortality and crop damage will rise sharply in the next few decades, especially in tropical and subtropical regions where rising temperatures and rising NOx concentrations will interact synergistically to produce more O3.

A «business as usual» scenario is frequently used as the basis for projections of how the future climate will evolve in the absence of climate policy that seeks to reduce emissions.

The latter are taken from projections of what future emissions will be under «business as usual» or under current policies.

These studies compare a particular climate policy scenario with a reference scenario corresponding to the model projection of business as usual (BAU)-- that is, a world in which the economy continues on its current course with carbon emissions unchecked.

A new analysis of climate commitments by the six biggest emerging economies — Brazil, China, India, South Africa, Mexico and South Korea — suggests that their cumulative emissions add up to a 25 percent reduction compared to «business as usual» projections for 2020.

Its revised projection indicates that if we stick with business as usual, in terms of carbon dioxide emissions, average surface temperatures on «Earth by 2100 will hit levels far beyond anything humans have ever experienced.

The upper end of the scenarios assessed, representing a cut of around a third in greenhouse gas emissions from business - as - usual projections, could assist in keeping concentrations of greenhouse gases at 450 parts per million.

If all of the roofs and roads in all of the world's cities were made light colored instead of dark, Akbari estimates that this alone would offset 44 billion tons of CO2 emissions, which is well more than the total CO2 emissions at present and will be more than the IPCC business - as - usual projections for 2025 too.

The latest business - as - usual (or reference) projection for the EU made in 2016 shows methane emissions to decline from 547 in 2005 to to 360 Mt CO2eq in 2050, taking into account existing...

A projection of business - as - usual emissions?

The exact warming resulting from this delay depends on the trajectory of future CO2 emissions but using one business - as usual - projection we estimate an increase of 3/4 °C for every 15 - year delay in CO2 mitigation.