Warm anomalies increased into spring (Fig. 1) resulting in numerous regional records for average daily minimum and maximum.
Not exact matches
And a third found that climate - induced sea - surface temperature
anomalies over the northeast Pacific were driving storms (and moisture) away from California, but the
warming also caused
increased humidity — two competing factors that may produce no net effect.
«If you can eat or wear it, invest in it»... Long term 3 factors might drive food prices up instead: 1) Global
warming and weather
anomalies; 2) 9 billion people in the planet by 2050 (and then more); 3)
Increasing role of biomasses in the renewable energy sector.
Accompanying this
increase in tropical cyclone numbers is a marked SST
warming to unprecedented
anomaly levels exceeding +0.7 C.
While periods of
increased and decreased
warming exist over the 132 - year period, the linear rate is still ~ 0.6 C / century, and the most recent monthly GISS values fall right on the linear trend (the linear trend value for the Feb. 2012 temperature
anomaly is +0.38 C, while the last two months have been +0.35 and +0.40 C.)
Much of the recent sea ice loss is attributed to
warmer sea surface temperatures with southerly wind
anomalies a contributing cause [Francis and Hunter, 2007; Sorteberg and Kvingedal, 2006], with thermodynamic coupling leading to associated
increases in atmospheric moisture.»
Anthropogenic global
warming (AGW), a recent
warming of the Earth's lower atmosphere as evidenced by the global mean temperature
anomaly trend [11], is BELIEVED to be the result of an «enhanced greenhouse effect» mainly due to human - produced
increased concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere [12] and changes in the use of land [13].
Since 1850, CO2 levels rose, as did the «globally and annually averaged land and sea surface temperature
anomaly» (for what it's worth), but nobody knows whether or not the
increase in CO2 had anything whatsoever to do with the
warming.
Very
warm springs have been
anomalies, but this new analysis of climate model data shows an
increased frequency to nearly one in every three years by the end of this century.
The magnitude of the Younger Dryas climate
anomaly (cooler / drier)
increases with latitude in the Northern Hemisphere, with an opposite pattern (
warmer / wetter) in the Southern Hemisphere reflecting a general bipolar seesaw climate response.
At interannual time scales, a
warming of the equatorial Atlantic and Pacific / Indian Oceans results in rainfall reduction over the Sahel, and positive SST
anomalies over the Mediterranean Sea tend to be associated with
increased rainfall.
Conversely as we «know» that temperatures are
warming, if a step
increase in
warming occurred, it would be less likely to be thought of as an
anomaly, so would not be adjusted.
You have to be aware that James Hansen's understanding of what global
warming is, is much broader than this was just all about some
increase in the global surface temperature
anomaly.
Increased southern East Asian summer monsoon (SEASM) precipitation is related to
warm WNP SST
anomalies which create a weaker WNP anticyclone.
Well, ANU, snarky though you may be, you raise a nominally interesting point; the problem, however, is that the amounts are
anomalies; so the 90's are on average a certain amount above the average of the base period; now to compare the
increase in
anomalies in the noughties, which are higher than the nineties and say this is evidence of progressive
warming, hottest ever, or whatever is the current alarmist catch - cry, ignores the fact that the true measure of the
warming is not the absolute
anomalies but their difference; that is the amounts for the noughties should have the amounts for the nineties subtracted from them and then compared with the nineties after they have the eighties subtracted from them.
The
warm anomalies in June lasted throughout the entire month (
increases in monthly mean temperature of up to 6 to 7 °C), but July was only slightly
warmer than on average (+1 to +3 °C), and the highest
anomalies were reached between 1st and 13th August (+7 °C)(Fink et al., 2004).
Synoptic conditions with the positive phase tend to consist of
increased southerly flow and
warm air advection into Alaska during the winter, resulting in positive temperature
anomalies.
Synoptic conditions with the positive phase tend to consist of
increased southerly flow and
warm air advection into Alaska during the winter, resulting in positive temperature
anomalies...... http://akclimate.org/ClimTrends/Change/TempChange.html
I'm very convinced that the physical process of global
warming is continuing, which appears as a statistically significant
increase of the global surface and tropospheric temperature
anomaly over a time scale of about 20 years and longer and also as trends in other climate variables (e.g., global ocean heat content
increase, Arctic and Antarctic ice decrease, mountain glacier decrease on average and others), and I don't see any scientific evidence according to which this trend has been broken, recently.
The period of
increased warming from 1987 to 1997 loosely coincided with the divergence of the global average temperature
anomalies over land, which are derived from observation station recordings, and the global average
anomalies in sea surface temperatures.
If you were saying that the central and eastern tropical Pacific SST
anomalies warm during an El Nino event because of an
increase in downward shortwave radiation, you are wrong, John.
Anthropogenic global
warming (AGW), a recent
warming of the Earth's lower atmosphere as evidenced by the global mean temperature
anomaly trend [9], is believed to be the result of an «enhanced greenhouse effect» mainly due to human - produced
increased concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere [10] and changes in the use of land [11]..
If the
anomaly decreases by 0.5 c in the tropics and
increases by the same amount at the poles is it right that the data sets would show no change in «global
warming»?
1) Latitudinal temperature
anomaly paradox (Strike 1) The latitudinal temperature
anomaly paradox is the fact that the latitudinal pattern of
warming in the last 50 years does match the pattern of
warming that would occur if the recent
increase in planetary temperature was caused by the CO2 mechanism.
While it is tempting to attribute the unexplained sea ice trends to other factors such as
increased upwelling of relatively
warm circumpolar deepwater (Thoma et al. 2008), an intensification of the hydrological cycle and
increased ocean stratification (Liu and Curry 2010), or eastward propagation of sea ice
anomalies (Holland et al. 2005), the observed northerly wind trends (Fig. 5a) are qualitatively consistent with the decrease in sea ice in the 30 ° W — 60 ° W sector.
Could it not also be possible that they are saying that if the remaining stations have an exisiting or
increasing UHI effect and or an exisiting true
warming relative to other regions, then those
anomalys, legitmate or not, would show a
warming, then the
anomaly estimates from those stations transposed to the no longer used rural stations could artificialy raise that
anomaly as well?
This
increase implies a transition to a permanent condition of ∼ 100 % risk that any negative — or extremely negative — 12 - mo precipitation
anomaly is also extremely
warm.
In contrast, statewide
warming (Fig. 1C) has led to a substantial
increase in
warm conditions, with 80 % of years in 1995 — 2014 exhibiting a positive temperature
anomaly (Fig. 2B), compared with 45 % of years in 1896 — 2014 (Fig. 2A).
However, the occurrence of
warm years (including +1.5 SD temperature
anomalies)
increases after ∼ 1980, reaching 1.0 by ∼ 2030.
The probability that a negative precipitation
anomaly co-occurs with a positive temperature
anomaly has
increased recently, with
warm — dry years occurring more than twice as often in the past two decades (91 %) as in the preceding century (42 %)(Fig. 1B).
The
warming (WV is a ghg) is welcome (countering the average global cooling which would otherwise be occurring as a result of declining net effect of ocean cycles and a declining proxy which is the time - integral of SSN
anomalies) but the added WV
increases the risk of precipitation related flooding.
''... [the] extreme
anomalies... were a consequence of global
warming...» «Global
warming causes spring warmth to come earlier...»»... this level of average
warming is already having important effects»»... the dice loading is an expected effect of global
warming»»...
warming may cause snowfall to
increase...»»... recent global
warming, with high probability, is responsible for recent extreme
anomalies»
The correlation between CO2 levels and
anomalies is statistically significant, but that shouldn't be a surprise considering there's a statistically significant
warming trend over time and CO2 levels have been
increasing smoothly year on year.
The global temperature
anomaly certainly shows an
increase since systematic thermometer records began in the tail end of the period of extreme cold known as the «little ice age», but just as in the medieval
warming period, local temperature series need not correspond to the global trend.
Over the last month or so
warm sea - surface temperature [SST] and upper - ocean heat content
anomalies have
increased in the near - equatorial central Pacific, while the SST cool tongue in the near - equatorial far - eastern Pacific has weakened, with
warm anomalies now evident there.
The
increase, by more than a factor 10, of area covered by extreme hot summer
anomalies (> +3 σ) reflects the shift of the
anomaly distribution in the past 30 y of global
warming, as shown succinctly in Fig. 4.
[2] The Historical simulations have an average temperature
anomaly of 0.84 °C for 1996 — 2005 relative to 1850, whereas HadCRUT4v4 shows an
increase of 0.73 °C from 1850 — 1859 to 1996 — 2005, and Figure 7 of Miller et al. 2014 shows consistently greater
warming for GISS - E2 - R than per GISTEMP since 2000.
The
increase of these extreme
anomalies, by more than an order of magnitude, implies that we can say with a high degree of confidence that events such as the extreme summer heat in the Moscow region in 2010 and Texas in 2011 were a consequence of global
warming.
There is a laundry list of possible or observed impacts, from the return of the megadroughts western North America experienced during the Medieval Climate
Anomaly, to the continuation of the already observed «death spiral» of the Arctic sea ice, with its implications for Northern hemisphere weather and
increased warming of the whole planet.
If CO2 is monotonically
increasing, and solar activity isn't playing any role, then, shouldn't this El Nino
anomaly have been significantly
warmer than the one in 1998?