Not exact matches
Schimdt has found evidence that
warm ocean currents and convective forces beneath Europa's frozen shell can
cause large blocks of ice to overturn and melt, bringing vast pockets of water, sometimes holding as much liquid as all of the Great Lakes combined, to within several kilometers of the moon's icy
surface.
Over the course of coming decades, though, trade wind speed is expected to decrease from global
warming, Thunell says, and the result will be less phytoplankton production at the
surface and less oxygen utilization at depth,
causing a concomitant increase in the
ocean's oxygen content.
Roth asks, «Do the vents extend down to a subsurface
ocean or are the ejecta simply from
warmed ice
caused by friction stresses near the
surface?»
The effects of wind changes, which were found to potentially increase temperatures in the Southern
Ocean between 660 feet and 2,300 feet below the surface by 2 °C, or nearly 3.6 °F, are over and above the ocean warming that's being caused by the heat - trapping effects of greenhouse g
Ocean between 660 feet and 2,300 feet below the
surface by 2 °C, or nearly 3.6 °F, are over and above the
ocean warming that's being caused by the heat - trapping effects of greenhouse g
ocean warming that's being
caused by the heat - trapping effects of greenhouse gases.
«The reason for the layering is that global
warming in parts of Antarctica is
causing land - based ice to melt, adding massive amounts of freshwater to the
ocean surface,» said ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science researcher Prof Matthew England an author of the paper.
These
oceans were formed by tidal heating, that is,
warming of the ice
caused by friction between the
surface ice and the core as a result of the gravitational interaction between the planet and the moon.
You implied that there was nothing in the paleo record showing a rapid release of methane but there was a paper in October suggesting a very rapid release which
caused warming of 5C in 13 years (and rendered the
ocean surface acidic).
It isn't an isolated conclusion from a single study, but comes from an assessment of the changing patterns of
surface and tropospheric
warming, stratospheric cooling,
ocean heat content changes, land -
ocean contrasts, etc. that collectively demonstrate that there are detectable changes occurring which we can attempt to attribute to one or more physical
causes.
A fluctuation in the location of slightly
warmer surface water could hardly
cause the global increase in
ocean heat content.
Temperature tends to respond so that, depending on optical properties, LW emission will tend to reduce the vertical differential heating by cooling
warmer parts more than cooler parts (for the
surface and atmosphere); also (not significant within the atmosphere and
ocean in general, but significant at the interface betwen the
surface and the air, and also significant (in part due to the small heat fluxes involved, viscosity in the crust and somewhat in the mantle (where there are thick boundary layers with superadiabatic lapse rates) and thermal conductivity of the core) in parts of the Earth's interior) temperature changes will
cause conduction / diffusion of heat that partly balances the differential heating.
Gavin, I agree completely with the standard picture that you describe, but I don't agree with the claim that ``... as
surface temperatures and the
ocean heat content are rising together, it almost certainly rules out intrinsic variability of the climate system as a major
cause for the recent
warming».
«Firstly, as
surface temperatures and the
ocean heat content are rising together, it almost certainly rules out intrinsic variability of the climate system as a major
cause for the recent
warming»
Redistribution of heat (such as vertical transport between the
surface and the deeper
ocean) could
cause some
surface and atmospheric temperature change that
causes some global average
warming or cooling.
He presents a mechanism showing how from time to time they
cause warm water to rise to the
ocean surface — and stay there.
However, it is consistent with our current understanding of the climate:
ocean heat is exchanged with the atmosphere, which
causes surface warming, which alters atmospheric circulation, which alters cloud cover, which impacts
surface temperature.
Because of the heating of the
ocean depths by the sunlight, which penetrates a number of meters, the depths are
warmer than the
surface skin, because radiation, evaporation and conduction
cause the
surface skin to lose heat.
So even if increased infrared radiation
caused by man does try to
warm the
surface of the
oceans those processes will increase immediately and neutralise at least the majority of any extra
warming from additional down welling anthropogenic infrared radiation.
Its hard to see how the
oceans can be
warming dramatically due to anthropogenic
causes if the sea
surface temperature (controlled for ENSO, ENSO afteraffects etc) is actually relatively stable.
Such a change will accelerate the flow of heat energy from the
ocean surface to the atmosphere and offset any
warming of the «skin» from any extra CO2
caused by humans.
Yes, I «believe» higher levels of CO2
cause some amount of
warming and obviously also
warming of the sea
surface and thus lower layers of the
oceans.
Years - long
ocean trends such as El Niño and La Niña
cause alternate
warming and cooling of the sea
surface there, with effects on monsoons and temperatures around the world.
They describe abnormally
warm or cool sea
surface temperatures in the South Pacific that are
caused by changing
ocean currents.
-- Andreas Schmittner Could the Earth's observed
surface warming of the last 50 years have been
caused by
ocean circulation?
The atmosphere
warms first in the standard model and this is the
cause of
warming at the Earth's
surface and in the
oceans.
According to Trenberth the deep
ocean is
warming due to the action of increasing global winds
causing surface heat to move to the deep
ocean.
The paper discusses that melting ice will decrease the salinity of the
ocean waters around Antarctica, which will
cause decreased mixing with the relatively
warmer deep
ocean waters, reducing sea
surface temperatures,
causing more sea ice to form.
This empirical finding contradicts Spencer's hypothesis that cloud cover changes are driving global
warming, but is consistent with our current understanding of the climate:
ocean heat is exchanged with the atmosphere, which
causes surface warming, which alters atmospheric circulation, which alters cloud cover, which impacts
surface temperature.
How hurricanes develop also depends on how the local atmosphere responds to changes in local sea
surface temperatures, and this atmospheric response depends critically on the
cause of the change.23, 24 For example, the atmosphere responds differently when local sea
surface temperatures increase due to a local decrease of particulate pollution that allows more sunlight through to
warm the
ocean, versus when sea
surface temperatures increase more uniformly around the world due to increased amounts of human -
caused heat - trapping gases.25, 26,27,28
Furthermore, researchers show the loss of sea ice reconnects the
oceans with the winds
causing a stirring effect that brings
warmer water to the
surface.
Since you are a frequent visitor to WUWT, you are well aware that I have illustrated, explained, and animated
cause (ENSO) and effect (the
warming of sea
surface temperatures,
ocean heat content, lower troposphere temperatures, and land + sea
surface temperatures) in dozens of blog posts over the past 3 1/2 years.
The slowed
surface warming is due in large part to changes in
ocean cycles, particularly in the Pacific Ocean, causing more efficient ocean heat uptake, thus leaving less heat to warm surface temperat
ocean cycles, particularly in the Pacific
Ocean, causing more efficient ocean heat uptake, thus leaving less heat to warm surface temperat
Ocean,
causing more efficient
ocean heat uptake, thus leaving less heat to warm surface temperat
ocean heat uptake, thus leaving less heat to
warm surface temperatures.
What I am not clear on is what has changed in the last few years to
cause more heat to be captured by the
oceans and less in the atmosphere with the resultant slower rate of
surface or atmospheric
warming.
A new study on ice loss in Antarctica by the British Antarctic Survey confirms what we already know about the effects of global
warming but it differentiates between the effects of
ocean currents, their
cause and the air temperature effects at the ice
surface.
The Pentagon report describes a scenario in which human -
caused global
warming leads to a near - term collapse of the
ocean's thermohaline circulation, which brings
warm surface waters from the tropics to the North Atlantic,
warming parts of Western Europe.
Rising
surface temperatures in the last three decades of the 20th century were roughly half
caused by man - made global
warming and half by the
ocean currents keeping more heat near the
surface, it finds.
And once again we're using the model mean because it represents the forced component of the climate models; that is, if the forcings used by the climate models were what
caused the
surfaces of the
oceans to
warm, the model mean best represents how the
ocean surfaces would
warm in response to those forcings.
AGW proponents accept that the virtual cessation of
warming over the past 13 years (Figure 3) is a result of cooler
ocean surfaces but refuse to accept the corollary that the primary
cause of the
warmer period was
warmer ocean surfaces.
When the Walker circulation weakens or reverses, an El Niño results,
causing the
ocean surface to be
warmer than average, as upwelling of cold water occurs less or not at all.
Note 1: A simple hotspot explanation summarized from this article: Increasing CO2 levels
causes atmosphere to
warm; then atmosphere
causes Earth's
surface to
warm;
warming of
oceans cause evaporation; increased evaporation leads to more water vapor in the upper troposphere; water vapor is a powerful greenhouse gas that
warms the atmosphere even more (positive water vapor feedback); the Earth's
surface warms even more; and then auto «repeat and rinse» until Earth's
oceans boil, per an «expert.»
«
Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric
warming rates» «Comparing tropospheric
warming in climate models and satellite data» «Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and
ocean sea
surface temperatures» «Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends» «Reconciling
warming trends» «Natural variability, radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled» «Reconciling controversies about the «global
warming hiatus»»
-- the seasonal change of 5 ppmv / °C is
caused by fast processes: leaves growth an decay and
ocean surface warming and cooling.
This factor more than increased sunlight will
cause oceans to get
warmer at
surface.
How hurricanes develop also depends on how the local atmosphere responds to changes in local sea
surface temperatures, and this atmospheric response depends critically on the
cause of the change.23, 24 For example, the atmosphere responds differently when local sea
surface temperatures increase due to a local decrease of particulate pollution that allows more sunlight through to
warm the
ocean, versus when sea
surface temperatures increase more uniformly around the world due to increased amounts of human -
caused heat - trapping gases.18, 25,26,27 So the link between hurricanes and
ocean temperatures is complex.
Global
warming leads to rising temperatures of the
oceans and the earth»
surface causing melting of polar ice caps, rise in sea levels and also unnatural patterns of precipitation such as flash floods, excessive snow or desertification.
If all heat in the air supposedly
caused by global
warming were to enter the
surface of the
oceans to a depth of 100 meters, the temperature increase would be 0.025 degrees C, and none would be left in the air.
On top of these many lines of evidence which mostly focused on global
warming at the
surface, Gleckler et al. (2012) also confirmed that the
warming of the
oceans has been
caused by humans.
The widespread change detected in temperature observations of the
surface, free atmosphere and
ocean, together with consistent evidence of change in other parts of the climate system, strengthens the conclusion that greenhouse gas forcing is the dominant
cause of
warming during the past several decades.
For example, reductions in seasonal sea ice cover and higher
surface temperatures may open up new habitat in polar regions for some important fish species, such as cod, herring, and pollock.128 However, continued presence of cold bottom - water temperatures on the Alaskan continental shelf could limit northward migration into the northern Bering Sea and Chukchi Sea off northwestern Alaska.129, 130 In addition,
warming may
cause reductions in the abundance of some species, such as pollock, in their current ranges in the Bering Sea131and reduce the health of juvenile sockeye salmon, potentially resulting in decreased overwinter survival.132 If
ocean warming continues, it is unlikely that current fishing pressure on pollock can be sustained.133 Higher temperatures are also likely to increase the frequency of early Chinook salmon migrations, making management of the fishery by multiple user groups more challenging.134
Prior to the advent of human -
caused global
warming in the 19th century, the
surface layer of Earth's
oceans had undergone 1,800 years of a steady cooling trend, according to a new study in the Aug..
Kevin C's excellent trend tool shows us what the new data mean for the
surface temperature trend since 1970: it's about +0.17 C per decade, but there's a range in that because short term wiggles are
caused by things like the El Nino - La Nina cycle in the Pacific which
warm or cool the atmosphere by storing or releasing heat from the
oceans.