Yet Another Failed Global
Warming Prediction of Extinction Main New Study: Hottest Temperatures For Arabian Sea Recorded During Roman & Medieval Periods»
This is in sharp contrast to the standard global
warming predictions of events 80 + years from now.
Glad to see you admit that the global
warming predictions of Svante Arrhenius made in 1896 have been confirmed.
They absolutely need that positive feedback to create those preposterous
warming predictions of theirs.
While perhaps failing to observe the irony of its own reporting, the Times juxtaposed the thoroughly discredited population explosion theories of the 1970s with the (equally alarmist) global
warming predictions of our day.
Not exact matches
If meteorologists»
predictions of a
warmer - than - normal winter are correct, a stockpile glut to the five - year average will persist into next year.
... A number
of scientific studies indicate that most global
warming in recent decades is due to the great concentration
of greenhouse gases (carbon dioxide, methane, nitrogen oxides and others) released mainly as a result
of human activity... Doomsday
predictions can no longer be met with irony or disdain.
Of course, climate
predictions will also guide adaptation to a
warmer globe, and even potentially provide early warnings for natural disasters.
«These creatures are already living at their physiological limits, so a two - degree change — a conservative
prediction of the
warming expected over the next 80 years or so — can make a big difference,» said Kordas.
By improving the understanding
of how much radiation CO2 absorbs, uncertainties in modelling climate change will be reduced and more accurate
predictions can be made about how much Earth is likely to
warm over the next few decades.
Some climate change deniers have taken encouragement from the pause, saying they show
warming predictions are flawed, but Mann, a co-author on the study, notes that «there have been various explanations for why [the slowdown is happening], none
of which involve climate models being fundamentally wrong.»
Carbin,
of the Storm
Prediction Center, said a
warmer climate might play a role.
Even in the moderate
warming scenario, there are
predictions of big changes in the delta habitat as this century unfolds.»
He does point out that
predictions of the impact
of global
warming made back in the 1970s named the Wordie and James Ross shelves as the first to go.
The statement is more pessimistic than other estimates
of how
warming could affect African agriculture, including
predictions in the British Stern Review.
If carbon dioxide in the atmosphere doubled from its pre-industrial level, the graph suggested, global
warming would rise far above the widely accepted
prediction of between 1.5 and 4.5 °C.
Predictions that a major El Niño
warming event — and the coming solar maximum — would help make next year the
warmest on record now seem wide
of the mark.
People who claim we can stop worrying about global
warming on the basis
of a cooler year or a cooler decade — or just on questionable
predictions of cooling — are as naive as a child mistaking a falling tide, or a spring low tide, for a real long - term fall in sea level.
«The overall
predictions for the future
of the area is
of a more maritime climate, particularly
warmer temperatures and increased precipitation during winter,» Høye says.
October 26, 2007,
Prediction of Global
Warming High May Be Impossible, by Karen Hopkins.
El Niño, a periodic
warming in the waters
of the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, will probably emerge in the coming months, according to a forecast issued yesterday by the Climate
Prediction Center (CPC)
of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
«You have scenarios assuming very strong decisions, very quick and sharp reduction
of greenhouse gases, and you have other scenarios with business as usual, where you end up with
predictions of additional
warming of 5, 6 degrees, maybe even more.
Neither
of these
predictions takes into account two massive
warm zones in the mantle, 2800 kilometres beneath Africa and the south Pacific.
The
prediction, based on computer modeling
of published studies, blames
warming of the planet's oceans (ScienceNOW, 22 January, 2001).
As can be seen your graph, our climate models make a wide range
of predictions (perhaps 0.5 - 5 degC, a 10-fold uncertainty) about how much «committed
warming» will occur in the future under any stabilization scenario, so we don't seem to have a decent understanding
of these processes.
This might indicate that smaller (and
warmer) dust grains are responsible for the 100 μm emission than at the longer wavelengths, in agreement with the theoretical
predictions of van Marle et al. (2011).
These
predictions are limited by a poor understanding
of the recent changes observed in the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets, and a lack
of knowledge about the variability
of ice sheet behaviour under a
warming climate.
Remember also that (IIRC) one
of the
predictions of climate models is that
warming is likely to result in more extremes
of weather?
By working on the still - not - fully - cracked nut
of estimating changes in hurricane frequency and intensity in a
warming climate, Gabe and his colleagues ended up with a modeling system with seasonal skill in regional hurricane
prediction.
In no models or
predictions of future
warming scenarios does the Antarctic ice mass melt to any significant extent.
After a general trashing
of various things including surface observations and climate models, he admitted that his
prediction for the globally - averaged
warming (
of ~ 1.5 C by 2100) is within the IPCC range... albeit at the low end.
In fact, this is a good example
of climate models making a
prediction (
warmer nights), and then having the
prediction born out by the data.
I find it confusing that the NWS Climate
Prediction Center issues «climate» outlooks which have nothing to do with the subject
of climate change or global
warming.
Research presented in a special journal issue explores new
predictions of what might happen if we fail meet our Paris Agreement target
of restricting
warming to well below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.
The accessibility
of a large numbers
of tidewater glaciers, subject to
warming conditions, provides a unique opportunity to observe processes and enable more accurate
predictions of sea level response to ocean
warming around Antarctica.
It explains the findings
of the 4th IPCC report: «Dire
Predictions: Understanding Global
Warming — The Illustrated Guide to the Findings
of the IPCC.»
Now the question is, can the real climate scientists come forward and present the truth about global
warming, or are we in for more ridiculous
predictions about an ice free arctic by 2013 and the extinction
of polar bears?
«The authors clearly demonstrate that a human influence on wildland fire as a consequence
of global
warming isn't just a
prediction for the future — it's happening now,» said Kevin Anchukaitis, a University
of Arizona scientist who was not involved with the study.
Those relationships are then applied to the observed values
of the predictor variables to derive an observationally - constrained
prediction of future
warming.
Using that relationship for 2016 predicts a
warming above the long - term trend
of 0.14 degrees Celsius and, when the short - and long - term
predictions are combined, gives 1.16 degrees Celsius (plus or minus 0.13 degrees Celsius, with 95 percent confidence) net
warming above the late - 19th century baseline.
NOAA's 2008 State
of the Climate report said 15 or more years without global
warming would indicate what was delicately described as a «discrepancy» between
prediction and observation, we've achieved that length
of time now.
More research work is therefore required to improve the reliability
of predictions of ice - sheet response on global
warming.
Any way you look it, from the Climate
Prediction Center Outlook through May, to the ongoing
warm anomalies in land and sea surface temperatures, much
of the United States is likely to find above average temperatures in the coming months.
You've got the radiative physics, the measurements
of ocean temperature and land temperature, the changes in ocean heat content (Hint — upwards, whereas if if was just a matter
of circulation moving heat around you might expect something more simple) and
of course observed
predictions such as stratospheric cooling which you don't get when
warming occurs from oceanic circulation.
According to the NOAA Climate
Prediction Center (CPC), the next couple
of weeks are likely to be
warmer and drier than normal — ideal conditions for expanding and worsening the drought.
The Pacific Northwest should brace for a colder and wetter than average winter, while most
of the South and Southeast will be
warmer and drier than average through February 2011, according to the annual Winter Outlook released today by NOAA's Climate
Prediction Center.
Now they finally run a major story on the devastating drought sweeping the nation, one they compare to «the Dust Bowl
of the 1930's,» but again, no mention
of global
warming — even though increased risk
of drought is a well - known
prediction from climate scientists.
This
prediction means that global
warming is entirely overlooked and that blame for the end
of the world is shifted away from the excesses
of humankind and out into the cosmos instead.
Climatologist Jack Hall (Dennis Quaid) finds his dire
predictions about global
warming and the future
of the world falling on deaf ears — until the forecasted weather changes begin happening in a matter
of hours instead
of the anticipated years or decades.
More that a hundred years have passed since the first
predictions of global
warming and other climate changes caused by increasing concentrations
of CO 2.