Warming of the atmosphere drives energy accumulation in the oceans through changing net IR up — until a new equilibrium is reached.
Not exact matches
«The widespread loss
of Antarctic ice shelves,
driven by a
warming ocean or
warming atmosphere, could spell disaster for our coastlines — and there is sound geological evidence that supports what the models are telling us,» said Robert M. DeConto
of the University
of Massachusetts Amherst, a co-author
of the study and one
of the developers
of the ice - sheet model used.
Now, research from the University
of Missouri suggests that even as rising carbon dioxide levels in the
atmosphere drive the climate toward
warmer temperatures, the weather will remain predictable.
That region, he says, is susceptible to even small amounts
of warming and cooling from the
atmosphere — and how cold the water gets influences how much or how little it sinks, thereby
driving or delaying, respectively, the ocean conveyer belt.
Increased cooling means increased consumption
of electrical power and therefore higher emissions
of greenhouse gases into the
atmosphere,
driving global
warming even faster.
By analyzing global water vapor and temperature satellite data for the lower
atmosphere, Texas A&M University atmospheric scientist Andrew Dessler and his colleagues found that
warming driven by carbon dioxide and other gases allowed the air to hold more moisture, increasing the amount
of water vapor in the
atmosphere.
While a strong El Niño has given global temperatures a boost, the bulk
of that heat comes from the manmade global
warming driven by increasing amounts
of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere.
Another process knows as a «runaway greenhouse» occurs due to the increased greenhouse effect
of water vapor in the lower
atmosphere, which further
drives evaporation and more
warming.
«There is an event documented in sediments from 55 million years ago called the Paleocene Eocene Thermal Maximum, during which (allegedly) several thousand Gton C
of methane was released to the
atmosphere and ocean,
driving 5 ° C
warming of the intermediate depth ocean.
In an ensemble
of fully coupled
atmosphere - ocean general circulation model (AOGCM) simulations
of the late Paleocene and early Eocene, we identify such a circulation -
driven enhanced intermediate - water
warming.
However, reams
of peer - reviewed research, basic physics, the ability to track the specific chemical fingerprint
of fossil fuel -
driven carbon, and the fact that no models can replicate this century's
warming without pumping up carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere give scientists confidence that human carbon emissions are
driving the globe's temperature higher.
Global
warming in the modern era is being
driven by increasing concentrations
of greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere, which leads to an enhanced greenhouse effect.
Such changes are
driven in large part by the greenhouse effect, the trapping
of greenhouse gases in Earth's
atmosphere and consequent
warming of the planet.
This
warming has been linked to a similarly rapid increase in the concentration
of greenhouse gases in Earth's
atmosphere, which acted to trap heat and
drive up global temperatures by more than 5 °C in just a few thousand years.
In the oceans,
warmer weather is
driving stronger winds that are exposing deeper layers
of water, which are already saturated with carbon and not as able to absorb as much from the
atmosphere.
The poles being white reflect heat which is why its critical that we do nt melt the poles more or have black roads) this * is * causing more gloabal
warming, white roads would be COOL literally helping to act like the poles... for those
of you that understand this PLEASE help promote this idea and you can help now by coating your old tarmac
drive with bonded white chippings, start a business doing it, easy cheap startup, loads
of demand, you can make as much money doing this as you like, the demand is immense and will grow as the idea catches on) Going back to our oil scenario: These pipelines carry oil to fuel dirty inefficient engines machines that for their 15 year lifespan spew poison gases into our limited
atmosphere.
With its spacious front porch, huge stone fireplace and artful use
of fine woods and stained glass, Blackbird Inn creates a
warm, welcoming
atmosphere and is just a short
drive to world renowned Napa Valley wineries.
The
warming trends in looking at numerous 100 year temperature plots from northern and high elevation climate stations... i.e.
warming trends in annual mean and minimum temperature averages, winter monthly means and minimums and especially winter minimum temperatures and dewpoints... indicate climate
warming that is being
driven by the accumulation
of greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere — no visible effects from other things like changes in solar radiation or the levels
of cosmic rays.
[1] CO2 absorbs IR, is the main GHG, human emissions are increasing its concentration in the
atmosphere, raising temperatures globally; the second GHG, water vapor, exists in equilibrium with water / ice, would precipitate out if not for the CO2, so acts as a feedback; since the oceans cover so much
of the planet, water is a large positive feedback; melting snow and ice as the
atmosphere warms decreases albedo, another positive feedback, biased toward the poles, which gives larger polar
warming than the global average; decreasing the temperature gradient from the equator to the poles is reducing the
driving forces for the jetstream; the jetstream's meanders are increasing in amplitude and slowing, just like the lower Missippi River where its
driving gradient decreases; the larger slower meanders increase the amplitude and duration
of blocking highs, increasing drought and extreme temperatures — and 30,000 + Europeans and 5,000 plus Russians die, and the US corn crop, Russian wheat crop, and Aussie wildland fire protection fails — or extreme rainfall floods the US, France, Pakistan, Thailand (
driving up prices for disk
drives — hows that for unexpected adverse impacts from AGW?)
Extrapolating from their forest study, the researchers estimate that over this century the
warming induced from global soil loss, at the rate they monitored, will be «equivalent to the past two decades
of carbon emissions from fossil fuel burning and is comparable in magnitude to the cumulative carbon losses to the
atmosphere due to human -
driven land use change during the past two centuries.»
In both cases, if you really care about cutting risks
of the kind
of human -
driven warming that could last centuries, if not millennia, you also would do well to support research in technologies or practices that could suck carbon dioxide out
of the
atmosphere (See Cao and Caldeira's paper for relevant background).
This would actually not be true at sufficiently high latitudes in the winter hemisphere, except that some circulation in the upper
atmosphere is
driven by kinetic energy generated within the troposphere (small amount
of energy involved) which, so far as I know, doesn't result in much
of a global time average non-radiative energy flux above the tropopause, but it does have important regional effects, and the result is that the top
of the stratosphere is
warmer than the tropopause at all latitudes in all seasons so far as I know.
It's clear, too, that many ecosystems are already feeling the effects
of warming driven substantially by the buildup
of greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere, and more is coming.
It's worth spending some more time on the National Academy
of Sciences reports on geoengineering prospects and concerns — the concerns mainly being about adding sun - blocking particles to the
atmosphere to counteract global
warming driven by the buildup
of heat - trapping greenhouse gases.
Is the rather definitive statement that «The increased activity since 1995 is due to natural fluctuations (and) cycles
of hurricane activity
driven by the Atlantic Ocean itself along with the
atmosphere above it and not enhanced substantially by global
warming» at all supportable?
Other particles such as soot (black carbon) absorb the sunlight and
drive temperature rise, leading to local
warming of the
atmosphere level where the soot particles circulate.
The ongoing
warming trend — as well as the increasing frequency and severity
of high - humidity heat waves — is ultimately
driven by rising concentrations
of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere.
Though hurricanes strenthen when moving over
warmer water, this is merely due to the fact that the horizontal temperature gradient
of the
atmosphere is not as steep, i.e. the temperature differential between the water and the
atmosphere increases as the storm hits tropical waters; it is not the ocean temperature per se that
drives the hurricane.
East Coast winter storms, known as «nor» easters» because
of the unusual northeasterly direction
of the winds as the storm spirals in from the south, are unusual in that they derive their energy not just from large contrasts in temperature that
drive most extratropical storm systems, but also from the energy released when water evaporates from the (relatively
warm) ocean surface into the
atmosphere.
The global average temperature is continuing to rise as a consequence
of warming driven by ever higher greenhouse gas levels in the
atmosphere, in response to the profligate global consumption
of fossil fuels.
What is happening here is that the two (Hansen and Trenberth) whom you describe as «not, in fact, fanatics blinded by dogma» were surprised by the recent «lack
of warming» (i.e. slight cooling)
of the
atmosphere as well as the upper ocean, despite CO2 increase to record levels, as this does not provide much support for the premise that human CO2 is
driving our climate.
Claiming that human CO2 causes global
warming now means that only 0.117 %
of Earth's greenhouse gases
drive the other 99.883 %
of Earth's greenhouse gases, which
drive the other 99 %
of Earth's entire
atmosphere.
Agriculture must feed 7bn people, and to do this already emits somewhere between 25 % and 33 %
of all greenhouse gases into the
atmosphere, to
drive global
warming and put future food supplies at hazard.
While the computer climate models exaggerate the
warming effect
of atmospheric carbon dioxide, they plausibly simulate that greater economic development
driven by growing use
of fossil fuels will add more carbon dioxide to the
atmosphere.
... «When you hear a phrase like he said, «the highest ever,» you know, «off the charts,» «record setting,» that's a good sign that on top
of a whatever local weather patterns there are or regional like El Nino, global
warming, fossil fuel
driven climate change is putting its finger on the scale and juicing the
atmosphere and causing the even bigger weather event than you would have otherwise seen.»
The critical element is the principle that the
warming is
driven primarily by what happens at the top
of the
atmosphere (TOA) rather than the surface.
Last week, a team
of 19 top climate scientists from government labs in the United States and Europe reported that the buildup
of human - induced greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere appeared to be the primary
driving force behind
warmer oceans that fuel more powerful hurricanes.
This empirical finding contradicts Spencer's hypothesis that cloud cover changes are
driving global
warming, but is consistent with our current understanding
of the climate: ocean heat is exchanged with the
atmosphere, which causes surface
warming, which alters atmospheric circulation, which alters cloud cover, which impacts surface temperature.
Global
warming is
driven by emissions
of heat - trapping gases, primarily from human activities, that rise into the
atmosphere and act like a blanket,
warming the earth's surface.
While it is true that most
of the CO2 - caused
warming in the
atmosphere was there before humans ever started burning coal and
driving SUVs, this is all taken into account by computerized climate models that predict global
warming...
Much
of the harm these events cause in Europe comes from physical damage to its industrial life support system, as the global average temperature continues to rise as a consequence
of warming driven by ever higher greenhouse gas levels in the
atmosphere, in response to the profligate global consumption
of fossil fuels.
Both disclosures are consistent with what scientists had expected from climate change,
driven by global
warming as a consequence
of the profligate combustion
of fossil fuels that dump ever greater levels
of greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere.
The conclusion is not new: other teams have already proposed that global
warming linked to increases
of carbon dioxide in the
atmosphere as a consequence
of fossil fuel combustion could
drive tropical cyclones to higher latitudes and that the most destructive hurricanes could happen increasingly often.
Next year, I expect sea ice free conditions in the Arctic based on heat transport via water vapor in the Arctic
atmosphere, storm conditions
driven by latent heat in the
atmosphere, and a good deal
of snow this fall that insulates sea ice and permafrost from the cold, thereby allowing them to remain
warm and weak.
In draft versions
of the report, scientists said they are «virtually certain» that humanity's fossil - fuel - related emissions
drove the
warming of the Earth's
atmosphere by about 1.44 degrees Fahrenheit (0.8 degrees Celsius) from 1901 to 2010.
The big problem is that
warming is
driven not by annual emissions but by the accumulation
of greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere.
These overlooked, shorter - term pollutants — mostly from burning wood and kerosene and from
driving trucks and cars — cause more localized
warming than once thought, the authors
of the report say.They contend there should be a greater effort to attack this type
of pollution for faster results.For decades, scientists have concentrated on carbon dioxide, the most damaging greenhouse gas because it lingers in the
atmosphere for decades.
But the suspicion is that the long - term trend in global
warming driven by human combustion
of fossil fuels that dump vast quantities
of greenhouse gases into the
atmosphere must be playing a part.
Santa's elves got fed up freezing their asses off in slavish servitude to the jolly elf, and so they all went out and bought heaters, fired»em up, and started the polar ice melting,... which scared the crap out
of the reindeer — LITERALLY, more crap, which caused more greenhouse gases to enter the
atmosphere, which caused more polar
warming, which caused more ice to melt, which caused wind patterns to change, thus,
driving the wee cloud -
warming fairies out
of their
warm clouds, creating colder temperatures, transferred by the changing wind patterns, intercepted by all Northern Hemisphere unicorns that inhaled it and exhaled it about the continent to produce record cold temperatures.
Although it is important to reduce the remaining climate uncertainties, such as the magnitude
of the impacts
of short - lived pollutants, it does not change the fact that CO2 is very likely the
driving force behind the current global
warming, or that if we double the amount
of CO2 in the
atmosphere from pre-industrial levels, the planet will likely
warm in the range
of 2 to 4.5 °C.