You have to wonder
when margin debt is high — short - term investors chasing the market, and Warren Buffett, Seth Klarman, and other valuation - sensitive investors with long horizons sitting on piles of cash.
When margin debt spikes, it's sometimes followed by a sharp market decline.
There have only been four times since the turn of the century
when margin debt pulled back by 6.7 % or more — April 2000, August 2007, May 2010 and August 2011.
When margin debt peaks and then begins reversing itself, though, severe stock declines have followed.
Look how the market immediately crashed nearly 23 %
when margin debt went vertical in 1987.
Not exact matches
This would sharply enhance growth rates during the expansion phase, much like
margin borrowing enhances returns
when market prices are rising faster than the
debt servicing costs, but at the expense of sub-par performance once conditions reverse.
It is difficult to understand why the record burden of consumer
debt will be impervious to a rising unemployment rate, particularly
when companies are facing a substantial acceleration in wage inflation in recent months as they try to shore up profit
margins - making substantial new layoffs inevitable.
«Whether it is a company running up
debt to pay for expenses, or a person borrowing to buy stocks on
margin, the borrower is giving someone else the right to say
when the game is over» Chris Browne
When times are good, sales ticking higher,
margins expanding and cash flows strong, only the advantages of leverage are visible - higher returns on equity, faster growth rates and an enhanced benefit to stock holders as
debt is repaid.
Taking into consideration the fact that there is just two other circumstances
when the
debt / GDP NYSE
margin had increased by about 30 basis points or more in a period of only three months — that happened
when the ration had reached its two major secular bull market highs — the likelihood is highly probable that the NYSE
margin debt / US GDP, is once more at its peak of all time high of 2.87 %!
Before 2007, the increase of 35.9 or higher basis points had occurred
when the NYSE
margin debt / USGDP peaked at its all time highs of 2.78 % in March of 2000 after having risen by 47.4 basis points in just three months!
Ignore the
Margin Debt Alarm The margin debt alarm has seemingly been sounded every few months when investors realize absolute levels of margin debt has reached new all - time highs (inferring that risk taking has too reached all - time high levels and stocks are at
Margin Debt Alarm The margin debt alarm has seemingly been sounded every few months when investors realize absolute levels of margin debt has reached new all - time highs (inferring that risk taking has too reached all - time high levels and stocks are at ri
Debt Alarm The
margin debt alarm has seemingly been sounded every few months when investors realize absolute levels of margin debt has reached new all - time highs (inferring that risk taking has too reached all - time high levels and stocks are at
margin debt alarm has seemingly been sounded every few months when investors realize absolute levels of margin debt has reached new all - time highs (inferring that risk taking has too reached all - time high levels and stocks are at ri
debt alarm has seemingly been sounded every few months
when investors realize absolute levels of
margin debt has reached new all - time highs (inferring that risk taking has too reached all - time high levels and stocks are at
margin debt has reached new all - time highs (inferring that risk taking has too reached all - time high levels and stocks are at ri
debt has reached new all - time highs (inferring that risk taking has too reached all - time high levels and stocks are at risk).
When she was finally considerate enough to die, and Schopenhauer saw the notice in the morning obituary, his only reaction was to reach for his pen and write in the
margin: «Anus obit, onus abit» (the old woman dies, the
debt departs).
«
When you start to look at what's controllable by the mayor and what's healthcare expenses,
debt service, fringe benefits — there's not a lot of
margin to play with there,» Skyler said.
When the
debt / equity ratio is greater than 25 percent it starts to erode the
margin of safety that is important to me as a net - net investor.
This is especially true
when using
margin debt.
Value investing works best
when investors understand why a company is promising, based on things like its assets, revenues, earnings, profit
margin, and
debt levels.
History tends to punish bull markets
when speculative frenzies hover around a narrowing list of stand - outs (e.g., Netflix, First Solar, etc.), an increasing number of initial public offerings (e.g., Twitter, Container Store, etc.) and / or a dramatic rise in
margin debt.
The reason is that there are so many risks: government regulations of short - selling (SEC Rule 204), special government regulations put in place during market panics (e.g. the 2008 SEC ban on short selling financials), forced buy - ins, unlimited losses,
debt to the brokerage, interest one is charged for being short which can vary arbitrarily, brokerages could change
margin requirements to any arbitrary amount, arbitration clauses, you agree to indemnify the brokerage for anything it did even if it did the wrong thing, some brokerages also do market - making and thus have further incentive to fleece the client, and all the other «screw you» legal language that you agreed to
when opening an account.
But
when there is a lot of
margin debt, that's a problem.
Now, it's one thing
when there isn't much
margin debt, because the
margin debt won't influence the likelihood or severity of a crisis.
If
debt and income put you on the
margins when it comes to qualifying for a mortgage, a VA loan's compensating factors can be a valuable benefit and bring you that much closer to loan approval.
By paying down
debt (and therefore reducing interest costs) and by slashing operating expenses: gross
margin actually increased which is very rare
when revenues decline, as fixed costs are spread out across fewer sold units.