The total area (land and ocean)
where precipitation decreases is also larger in the high - end models than in the non-high-end models, by 14 per cent in DJF and 7 per cent in JJA.
Yellow colour indicates areas
where precipitation decreases, and at least 66 % of the models agree on the sign of the change.
The yellow areas in figure 4 indicate those regions
where precipitation decreases by 10 per cent or more, at least 66 per cent of the models agree on the sign of the change and all models project a temperature rise of 6 °C or more.
Where precipitation decreases were projected, the results were more complex due largely to interactions between plant biomass, runoff, and erosion, and either increases or decreases in overall erosion could occur.
Not exact matches
In western states
where snowpack is critical, we found
decreases in the percent of winter
precipitation falling as snow at elevations between sea level and 5,000 feet.
North and northwest China,
where the average annual
precipitation has
decreased by one third between the 1950s and the 1980s, 2 has been experiencing just such a desiccation process.
This is projected to occur even in regions
where total
precipitation is projected to
decrease, such as the Southwest.1, 7,2
Even in areas
where precipitation does not
decrease, these increases in surface evaporation and loss of water from plants lead to more rapid drying of soils if the effects of higher temperatures are not offset by other changes (such as reduced wind speed or increased humidity).5 As soil dries out, a larger proportion of the incoming heat from the sun goes into heating the soil and adjacent air rather than evaporating its moisture, resulting in hotter summers under drier climatic conditions.6
Efforts to offset declining surface water availability due to increasing
precipitation variability will be hampered by the fact that groundwater recharge will
decrease considerably in some already water - stressed regions (high confidence)[3.2, 3.4.2],
where vulnerability is often exacerbated by the rapid increase in population and water demand (very high confidence)[3.5.1].
The larger
decrease seen when ERA - Interim has complete coverage must be viewed with some caution, as the drying comes from areas for which HadISDH does not find suitable station data and for a region
where ERA - Interim
precipitation has a questionable
decrease over time.
Another aspect of these projected changes is that wet extremes are projected to become more severe in many areas
where mean
precipitation is expected to increase, and dry extremes are projected to become more severe in areas
where mean
precipitation is projected to
decrease.
Widespread increases in heavy
precipitation events have been observed, even in places
where total amounts have
decreased.
Over Europe and the adjacent parts of central western Asia, the areas with enhanced warming in the high - end models are similar to the areas
where the
precipitation has
decreased.