While hurricane landfall is a crapshoot, the threats associated with hurricanes are definitely changing in a warming world.
Not exact matches
While Texas and Louisiana recover from the damage wrought by Harvey, Florida and the southeastern United States deal with the aftermath of Irma's
landfall, next week,
Hurricane Jose could impact the east coast of the country.
Landfalling typhoons have become more intense in the northwest Pacific
while Hawaii has seen a string of
hurricanes and tropical storms swing dangerously close to the island in recent years.
Hurricane Irma is headed toward the Dominican Republic and Haiti today,
while the likelihood of a Florida
landfall continues to increase.
While at first sight that might appear to be the more relevant statistic, it actually is a case like rolling the dice only twelve times: as Emanuel's calculations showed, the number of
landfalling storms is simply far too small to get a meaningful result, as those data represent «less than a tenth of a percent of the data for global
hurricanes over their whole lifetimes».
While many studies of the effects of global warming on
hurricanes predict an increase in various metrics of Atlantic basin - wide activity, it is less clear that this signal will emerge from background noise in measures of
hurricane damage, which depend largely on rare, high - intensity
landfalling events and are thus highly volatile compared to basin - wide storm metrics.
Just before making
landfall in the record
hurricane season of 2005, Katrina intensified to a category 5
hurricane while passing over a warm core ring in the northern Gulf of Mexico.
Florida's last
landfall was Wilma more than a decade ago,
while Texas hasn't had a
hurricane make
landfall since 2008's Ike, a category 2 storm when it hit.
While there has been a recent increase in the number of
landfalling US
hurricanes, the increase in tropical cyclone - associated heavy events is much higher than would be expected from the pre-1994 association between the two, indicating that the upward trend in heavy precipitation events is due to an increase in the number of heavy precipitation events per system.
Thus
while we can already detect trends in data for global
hurricane activity considering the whole life of each storm, we estimate that it would take at least another 50 years to detect any long - term trend in U.S.
landfalling hurricane statistics, so powerful is the role of chance in these numbers.
Since
hurricane paths don't always hit the same city, having an identical population, likewise buildings and economic infrastructure, it is incorrect to make
hurricane financial impact assessments
while looking at a long time spans, an analysis without nearly identical
landfall scenarios doesn't mean much.
RE # 84 - 86, as mentioned before
while natural causes may go into creating the largest part of
hurricane intensity, we have to figure GW's part as an add - on at the upper level — and it is that last bit of intensity that might do the most damage, more than the first incrememts (assuming the
hurricane make
landfall in a populated / built area).
While global mean temperature and tropical Atlantic SSTs show pronounced and statistically significant warming trends (green curves), the U.S.
landfalling hurricane record (orange curve) shows no significant increase or decrease.
While there have been increases in U.S.
landfalling hurricanes and basin - wide
hurricane counts since the since the early 1970s, Figure 4 shows that these recent increases are not representative of the behavior seen in the century long records.
Richards and O'Brien (1996) showed that the probability of 2 or more
hurricanes making
landfall on the U.S. coast during El Niño is 21 %,
while the probability of 2 or more U.S.
hurricanes during neutral conditions is 46 %.
Hurricane landfalling frequency is much less common than basin - wide occurrence, meaning that the U.S. landfalling hurricane record, while more reliable than the basin - wide record, suffers from degraded signal - to - noise characteristics for assessin
Hurricane landfalling frequency is much less common than basin - wide occurrence, meaning that the U.S.
landfalling hurricane record, while more reliable than the basin - wide record, suffers from degraded signal - to - noise characteristics for assessin
hurricane record,
while more reliable than the basin - wide record, suffers from degraded signal - to - noise characteristics for assessing trends.
Hurricane Harvey made
landfall in Texas yesterday, and
while the storm has been downgraded to a tropical storm, it's expected to drop up to 40 inches of rain in the area, which is leading to catastrophic flooding in the area.