While sea ice loss in 2012 had some atmospheric conditions supporting loss at the beginning of summer, the loss in 2012 probably was the result of thin sea ice initial conditions.
Not exact matches
«
While more research should be done, we should be aware that an increasing number of studies, including this one, suggest that the
loss of Arctic
sea ice cover is not only a problem for remote Arctic communities, but could affect millions of people worldwide.»
For example,
ice loss in far - off West Antarctica will have more profound impacts in Scandinavia than it will in nearby Australia,
while right now melting Alaskan glaciers contribute more to
sea - level rise in the Baltic than the Greenland
ice sheet.
While a 14 %
loss is not an insignificant amount, it's smaller than some of the changes in Antarctic
sea ice recorded during the middle of the 20th century, as estimated from whaling ship logbooks, the paper says.
While some earlier studies, using different approaches, have posited that Antarctic
ice sheets could add as much as a metre to
sea levels by 2100, this new evidence suggests
ice loss on this scale is «implausible», the paper says.
While methane is short - lived, all it has to do is shift the global energy balance for a while, to trigger irreversible loss of tundra methane, loss of Arctic sea ice cover and more calthrate loss, then loss of ice sheets and everything else Hansen et al pro
While methane is short - lived, all it has to do is shift the global energy balance for a
while, to trigger irreversible loss of tundra methane, loss of Arctic sea ice cover and more calthrate loss, then loss of ice sheets and everything else Hansen et al pro
while, to trigger irreversible
loss of tundra methane,
loss of Arctic
sea ice cover and more calthrate
loss, then
loss of
ice sheets and everything else Hansen et al promise.
These unknown mechanisms for some reason reverse the
sea ice loss in the Antarctic,
while accelerating it in the Arctic.
Specifically «
While natural chaotic variability remains a component of mid-latitude atmospheric variability, recent
loss of Arctic
sea ice, with its signature on mid-latitude atmospheric circulation, may load the dice in favor of snowier conditions in large parts of northern mid-latitudes.»
While the report urges urgent policy changes, it also concludes that such changes may have a limited effect, regardless: «Aggressive reductions in greenhouse gas emissions,» it says, «may substantially reduce but do not eliminate the risk to California of extreme
sea - level rise from Antarctic
ice loss.»
That study, also detailed in Geophysical Research Letters, suggests that
while the Pacific heat set the atmospheric pattern in motion, Arctic
sea ice loss in a particular region made the warm / cold difference so extreme, said Jennifer Francis of Rutgers University.
But in the meantime,
while we are still uncertain that AGW is causing the warming and Arctic
sea ice loss, let's do more work to reduce uncertainties, but hold off on any costly mitigation actions that may be a total waste of resources and effort.
A classic case in point was the discovery that field observations of the
loss of arctic
sea ice showed that by 2007 it had advanced to a level predicted by the mean of models of that
loss as occurring in the 2100s,
while that mean was used as the consensus projection in AR4.
Results show that the globally and annually averaged radiative forcing caused by the observed
loss of
sea ice in the Arctic between 1979 and 2007 is approximately 0.1 W m − 2; a complete removal of Arctic
sea ice results in a forcing of about 0.7 W m − 2,
while a more realistic
ice - free - summer scenario (no
ice for one month, decreased
ice at all other times of the year) results in a forcing of about 0.3 W m − 2, similar to present - day anthropogenic forcing caused by halocarbons.
There are, however, caveats: (1) multidecadal fluctuations in Arctic — subarctic climate and
sea ice appear most pronounced in the Atlantic sector, such that the pan-Arctic signal may be substantially smaller [e.g., Polyakov et al., 2003; Mahajan et al., 2011]; (2) the sea - ice records synthesized here represent primarily the cold season (winter — spring), whereas the satellite record clearly shows losses primarily in summer, suggesting that other processes and feedback are important; (3) observations show that while recent sea - ice losses in winter are most pronounced in the Greenland and Barents Seas, the largest reductions in summer are remote from the Atlantic, e.g., Beaufort, Chukchi, and Siberian seas (National Snow and Ice Data Center, 2012, http://nsidc.org/Arcticseaicenews/); and (4) the recent reductions in sea ice should not be considered merely the latest in a sequence of AMOrelated multidecadal fluctuations but rather the first one to be superposed upon an anthropogenic GHG warming background signal that is emerging strongly in the Arctic [Kaufmann et al., 2009; Serreze et al., 200
ice appear most pronounced in the Atlantic sector, such that the pan-Arctic signal may be substantially smaller [e.g., Polyakov et al., 2003; Mahajan et al., 2011]; (2) the
sea -
ice records synthesized here represent primarily the cold season (winter — spring), whereas the satellite record clearly shows losses primarily in summer, suggesting that other processes and feedback are important; (3) observations show that while recent sea - ice losses in winter are most pronounced in the Greenland and Barents Seas, the largest reductions in summer are remote from the Atlantic, e.g., Beaufort, Chukchi, and Siberian seas (National Snow and Ice Data Center, 2012, http://nsidc.org/Arcticseaicenews/); and (4) the recent reductions in sea ice should not be considered merely the latest in a sequence of AMOrelated multidecadal fluctuations but rather the first one to be superposed upon an anthropogenic GHG warming background signal that is emerging strongly in the Arctic [Kaufmann et al., 2009; Serreze et al., 200
ice records synthesized here represent primarily the cold season (winter — spring), whereas the satellite record clearly shows
losses primarily in summer, suggesting that other processes and feedback are important; (3) observations show that
while recent
sea -
ice losses in winter are most pronounced in the Greenland and Barents Seas, the largest reductions in summer are remote from the Atlantic, e.g., Beaufort, Chukchi, and Siberian seas (National Snow and Ice Data Center, 2012, http://nsidc.org/Arcticseaicenews/); and (4) the recent reductions in sea ice should not be considered merely the latest in a sequence of AMOrelated multidecadal fluctuations but rather the first one to be superposed upon an anthropogenic GHG warming background signal that is emerging strongly in the Arctic [Kaufmann et al., 2009; Serreze et al., 200
ice losses in winter are most pronounced in the Greenland and Barents
Seas, the largest reductions in summer are remote from the Atlantic, e.g., Beaufort, Chukchi, and Siberian seas (National Snow and Ice Data Center, 2012, http://nsidc.org/Arcticseaicenews/); and (4) the recent reductions in sea ice should not be considered merely the latest in a sequence of AMOrelated multidecadal fluctuations but rather the first one to be superposed upon an anthropogenic GHG warming background signal that is emerging strongly in the Arctic [Kaufmann et al., 2009; Serreze et al., 20
Seas, the largest reductions in summer are remote from the Atlantic, e.g., Beaufort, Chukchi, and Siberian
seas (National Snow and Ice Data Center, 2012, http://nsidc.org/Arcticseaicenews/); and (4) the recent reductions in sea ice should not be considered merely the latest in a sequence of AMOrelated multidecadal fluctuations but rather the first one to be superposed upon an anthropogenic GHG warming background signal that is emerging strongly in the Arctic [Kaufmann et al., 2009; Serreze et al., 20
seas (National Snow and
Ice Data Center, 2012, http://nsidc.org/Arcticseaicenews/); and (4) the recent reductions in sea ice should not be considered merely the latest in a sequence of AMOrelated multidecadal fluctuations but rather the first one to be superposed upon an anthropogenic GHG warming background signal that is emerging strongly in the Arctic [Kaufmann et al., 2009; Serreze et al., 200
Ice Data Center, 2012, http://nsidc.org/Arcticseaicenews/); and (4) the recent reductions in
sea ice should not be considered merely the latest in a sequence of AMOrelated multidecadal fluctuations but rather the first one to be superposed upon an anthropogenic GHG warming background signal that is emerging strongly in the Arctic [Kaufmann et al., 2009; Serreze et al., 200
ice should not be considered merely the latest in a sequence of AMOrelated multidecadal fluctuations but rather the first one to be superposed upon an anthropogenic GHG warming background signal that is emerging strongly in the Arctic [Kaufmann et al., 2009; Serreze et al., 2009].
While worries about rising
sea levels are focused on the massive
ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica, the
loss of small mountain glaciers comes with its own consequences.
The
loss of
sea ice coverage is expected to negatively impact its annual migration and winter survival
while projected heavier snowfall could reduce the suitability of nest sites.
Satellite pictures (below) clearly show that the recent
loss of winter Arctic
ice has occurred along the pathway by which warmer waters enter the Barents
Sea, deep inside the Arctic Circle,
while simultaneously air temperatures far to the south remain cold enough to maintain a frozen Hudson Bay.
The subpolar
sea ice loss is mostly in the Sea of Okhotsk and Bering Sea, while the polar sea ice loss is mostly in the Barents - Kara Seas region (Fig.
sea ice loss is mostly in the
Sea of Okhotsk and Bering Sea, while the polar sea ice loss is mostly in the Barents - Kara Seas region (Fig.
Sea of Okhotsk and Bering
Sea, while the polar sea ice loss is mostly in the Barents - Kara Seas region (Fig.
Sea,
while the polar
sea ice loss is mostly in the Barents - Kara Seas region (Fig.
sea ice loss is mostly in the Barents - Kara
Seas region (Fig. 2).
While alarmists predict total
loss of
ice by 2030 (and earlier predictions have already failed), believers in the power of natural cycles expect Arctic
sea ice to rebound by 2030.
While the dramatic
loss of weight has not led to a decline in the population of polar bears, that could change as a warming Arctic continues to melt away
sea ice.
But the major TV news outlets have largely ignored the record
sea ice loss this summer,
while making ample time to cover Republican vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan's physical fitness.
Thus,
while there has been persistence of low summer
ice conditions the last few years, model results suggest we can not rule out short periods of increased
sea ice cover, but that this in no way contradicts the long - term
sea ice loss.