And
will Academy voters go for them or not.
Will Academy voters finally notice?
Will Academy voters go for Lady Bird's mixture of smart charm and exceptional filmmaking?
Not exact matches
The
Academy's membership demographics have changed more in the last four years than in the previous 20, and as a result, we know less about what
voters will or won't do than we ever have.
The performances are that undeniable, and I think they
will resonate strongly with the actors» branch, the biggest group of
voters in the
Academy.
The New York
Academy of Sciences Environmental Sciences Section and Green Science and Sustainability Program, the Sallan Foundation and the New York League of Conservation
Voters Education Fund
will host an address by a senior member of Governor Spitzer's team about his strategic approach to the environmental, energy and climate challenges facing New York.
If Boyhood captures this year's best picture trophy as widely expected, it
will mark the second year in a row that
Academy voters have opted for the year's best - reviewed film.
Of course, what stands out the most when looking at past years is that
Academy voters and film critics appear to be two very distinct groups, and there is no predicting when their tastes
will overlap.
That means the studio
will have to work hard making sure
Academy and industry
voters see all three movies.
If the above scenario plays out, presumptive Best Picture winner «La La Land»
will be the biggest casualty, as
Academy voters shunt aside the popular throwback musical starring Emma Stone and Ryan Gosling for something less frothy.
Among the many biopics swarming
Academy voters this year (much like every other year), few
will take you as much by surprise as Trumbo.
Academy voters, being old - timers and grownups, likely won't go for those movies but remember, they nominated Up and Toy Story 3 for Best picture.
The only stick in the spokes could be Song of the Sea and The Tale of the Princess Kayuga but I'm
willing to bet that both went too under - seen by
Academy voters to be serious contenders.
Franco's nomination
will be decided solely by fellow members of the actors branch, which, with 1,218 active
voters, is by far the largest group within the
Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.
But it's possible that some
Academy voters who missed the summer hit
will make sure to catch Girls Trip on - demand (or on a screener) after seeing Haddish's comedic stylings on S.N.L. Haddish already seems like a lock for a Golden Globe nomination — given the show's separate categories for comedy performances — but this S.N.L. appearance could be the beginning of a very smart Oscar campaign as well.
It
will connect with
Academy voters» conscious thinking.
It maintains the uneasy front of a redemptive fairy tale and
will connect with
Academy voters» unconscious.
I think Bullock is tremendous in «Gravity,» but
academy voters will think of her performances as Sandra in outer space, so she's out.
We don't know how the
Academy ranking is going to go but there is the possibility that a large number of
voters will block vote for women to help women, to show the world that they care about women in the industry, to make up for Hillary's loss; for all of those reasons it's possible we could see wins, like we saw at the DGA in the television categories.
And if that doesn't haunt
Academy voters, we don't know what
will.
That, of course, means that it
will be included in next year's Oscar race, testing the very limits of
Academy voter's memories and securing its spot on various bloggers «Top 10 Oscar - Worthy Films That Didn't Come Out in The Same Two Months Every Other Oscar - Worthy Film Does» lists.
Many pundits rely on what
Academy voters are talking about but no one knows if that
will pay off or not.
Brooklyn's score
will only get in if the movie has some broad strength with
Academy voters — the jury is still out on that.
But maybe
Academy voters will find the subject more endearing than the Average Joe.
Whether all four could make it a full sweep remains to be seen;
Academy voters from its 17 branches
will decide on the 24 categories Feb. 20 — 27.
«And my answer to that,» said one
academy member, recalling the conversation with a fellow
voter, «was, «When
will you be?»
Mike Leigh, meanwhile, must be content with chalking up his sixth vain nomination —
will the general
Academy voters ever get his genius?
However, I should explain that my prediction is led less by any conviction that the milquetoast
Academy voters will get the thrilling formal invention and conversational artistry of «The Class» — and believe me, if they do, you
'll hear my cheers from across the Atlantic — than by an instinctive suspicion that they
will not get the avant - garde visual stylings and bleak anti-narrative of presumed frontrunner «Waltz With Bashir.»
Though Southpaw may not be the kind of movie that
Academy voters will deliver accolades to, it's a masterful performance for Gyllenhaal, in a role originally intended for left - handed rapper Eminem (no joke), who breathes a great deal of life to a role that could easily have been deemed underwritten if left to someone who didn't add more to what had been on the written pages of the old - fashioned script.
Academy voters still lean into the senior demo, despite recent younger and more diverse additions to their ranks; I predict they
will relate.
Ezra Miller might sneak into Best Supporting Actor if
Academy voters share Joey's sentiment, and maybe some technical nods for Ramsay's visual and sonic flair, though it's doubtful that such a morbid film exploring a dark subject
will be Best Picture material.
The winter holidays
will be a very busy time for
Academy voters, squeezing in time for screening of the films, ever since the nominations are going to be revealed five days prior on January 10th 2013.
In other words, they are catnip for
Academy voters, who probably
will reward them with nominations in January.
The question the
Academy voter will ask is, «What do these movies make you feel?
I hope this Logan nomination in the screenplay category means that the
Academy voters will start recognizing not only the artistry it takes to make these movies look spectacular, but also the care and talent the writers, directors, and actors put into these pictures.
Does that mean the make - up of
Academy voters has pivoted so much that future Best Picture winners won't look like previous ones either?
Academy voters will back the movie that allows them to send a message about who they are and what they value, one that either forthrightly pushes back against the president, or one that defends the industry itself as an important artistic community and not just a cesspool of male privilege run amok.
by John Villeneuve Generally, it is difficult to surmise what the
academy voters will choose amongst the foreign films submitted to them, because, more often than not, they pick films without controversy, without edge, and without...
Academy voters» choice of best picture March 4
will be scrutinized for attributes well beyond its artistic merits.
They can still end up with strong constituencies among awards
voters — but if so, those constituencies
will more likely be among guild and
Academy members than critics.
Time
will tell if the
Academy's newest rule adjustment
will throw off the mojo of latecomers like Les Misérables, but it's sure to benefit a movie like The Master, which has graciously offered
voters several months to see it before casting their ballots.
Studios, PR firms, independent producers and their mothers
will go to great lengths to gain the attention of
Academy voters.
It manages to humanize a historical figure without diminishing him in any way, thanks to director Ava DuVernay's sure hand, a superior screenplay by Paul Webb, and an incredible performance by David Oyelowo in the leading role (why was he snubbed by
Academy voters I
'll never know).
Obviously, we now know perhaps more than we want to about the more human side of the
academy, but because the
voters can be unpredictable I continue to be curious about what they
will choose.
However, most
Academy voters are just like you and me, and they
'll choose the film because silly - looking pirates and talking polar bears don't stand a chance against giant f ****** robots!
Each time there is an advance in technology there is always the question of whether the older
voters in the
Academy will be able to deal with it.
Since the Critics Choice miss one title from their nominations that the
Academy voters pick, like Philomena or The Blind Side or American Sniper — you have to wonder what films are missing from the Critics Choice and whether that
will be the case this year.
Can't help but feel, in spite of the sweep impulse, that
Academy voters will do the cooler thing here.
Though the N.B.R. Awards Gala tends to diverge from the Oscars when it comes to winners, perhaps Gerwig
will be making a similar speech on a much bigger stage just a couple months from now — provided
Academy voters love Lady Bird as much as every industry gala does.
«Open - minded
Academy voters — the kind
willing to consider a wide variety of genres and filmmaking approaches, not to mention sit through a lot of screeners — are what make that happen.»