While bonds are less volatile than stocks, the risks associated
with financial repression (such as inflation risk) can be more damaging to the former.
When you get the financialization of the economy all of these issues that you and I have talked about for years now associated
with financial repression have become front and centre of the government trying to manage the economy at the best that it can do.
Not exact matches
Because low - risk investments return roughly 20 % on average in a country
with 20 % nominal GDP growth,
financial repression means that the benefits of growth are unfairly distributed between savers (who get just the deposit rate, say 3 %), banks, who get the spread between the lending and the deposit rate (say 3.5 %) and the borrower, who gets everything else (13.5 % in this case, assuming he takes little risk — even more if he takes risk).
FRA Co-Founder Gordon T. Long sits
with BCA Research Chief Economist, Martin Barnes, a highly decorated and well renowned economist of 40 + years to talk
Financial Repression and Barnes most recent work, Low Growth and High Debt:
Financial Repression is Here to Stay.
In other words,
financial repression is the inevitable result of a world
with low growth and stubbornly high debt.»
FRA Co-Founder Gordon T. Long talks
Financial Repression and current economic developments
with Don Rissmiller, a founding partner and chief economist of Strategas Research Partners.
It's a graphical insight into the havoc that
financial repression and inflation can wreak upon bond investors — a topic
with particular resonance today.»
You recently had a discussion
with our co-founder, Gordon T. Long, and I'm just wondering if you can relate that in terms of how
financial repression has caused the trade wars.
And so in terms of
financial repression, perhaps the one key sector that we need to look at is student loan debt because so many millennials are carrying student loan debt, and you know a small student loan debt is like $ 25,000 - $ 30,000 if someone can escape
with a bachelor's diploma and only have $ 30,000 in debt they're considered to have done quite well, but when you think about it that's a pretty large debt for somebody who doesn't even have a full - time job yet.
All these people really wanted was 10 % annual returns, which was achievable strictly
with fixed income in the high - inflation 1970s but has become impossible in this modern era of
financial repression.
China steals from its consumers (
financial repression) to aid its producers, who in turn give money to the Party,
with whom the producers are in league.
Putting all this together, looking at available income / risk alternatives, considering historic preference yields, and
with some anticipation of continued QE &
financial repression, I was pretty hopeful the current yield could eventually compress to around 8 %.