This sea ice feedback at 18K is consistent with the smaller fsnow / ice ∼ 1.1 in the So and CO2 experiments, which applied to a warmer earth
with less sea ice.
With less sea ice, storms can also kick up stronger waves that pummel and erode coastlines, the scientists said.
It's still cutting - edge research and there's no smoking gun, but there's evidence that
with less sea ice, you put a lot of heat from the ocean into the atmosphere, and the circulation of the atmosphere responds to that... We've seen a tendency for autumns with low sea ice cover to be followed by a negative Arctic Oscillation.
Some scientists have reported larger salp populations there in warmer years
with less sea ice.
With less sea ice many marine ecosystems will experience more light, which can accelerate the growth of phytoplankton, and shift the balance between the primary production by ice algae and water - borne phytoplankton, with implications for Arctic food webs.
With less sea ice, the refrigerator door is left open - darker open water is exposed, which readily absorbs the Sun's energy in summer, heating the ocean and leading to even more melt.
With less sea ice there is also less insulation, so that heat from the ocean escapes to warm the atmosphere in the autumn and winter.
The only two years
with less sea ice were 2007 and 2008.
Simple physics dictates that
with less sea ice there is magnified warming of the Arctic due to powerful albedo feedback; this in turn reduces the equator to pole temperature gradient which slows the jet stream winds causing them to become more meridional; this combined with 4 % more water vapor in the atmosphere (compared to 3 decades ago) is leading to much more extremes in weather.
This is far from a settled story, but most of the scientists I know now have the feeling that in a high CO2 world
with less sea ice, the chill from a THC shutdown would be a lot less.
It's also possible that feeding opportunities are actually better for belugas in an ocean
with less sea ice.
Not exact matches
With a shorter season of
sea ice, polar bears have
less access to marine mammals.
«We can also combine that data
with projections of
sea ice, to predict how much more or
less it will cost these animals to make a living over the next century,» Fischbach says.
Political divisions are
less apparent
with factual questions that do not infer climate change, such as whether the melting of Greenland and Antarctic land
ice, or of Arctic
sea ice, could potentially do the most to raise
sea levels.
The recent string of record - low winter maximums could be a sign that the large summer losses are starting to show up more in other seasons,
with an increasingly delayed fall freeze - up that leaves
less time for
sea ice to accumulate in winter, Julienne Stroeve, an NSIDC scientist and University College London professor, previously said.
The global mean temperature rise of
less than 1 degree C in the past century does not seem like much, but it is associated
with a winter temperature rise of 3 to 4 degrees C over most of the Arctic in the past 20 years, unprecedented loss of
ice from all the tropical glaciers, a decrease of 15 to 20 % in late summer
sea ice extent, rising sealevel, and a host of other measured signs of anomalous and rapid climate change.
With increasingly
less multi-season
ice, rebuilding previous
sea ice extent gets harder and harder.
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Ice Age: Collision Course,» «The Peanuts Movie» Jericca Cleland — «Ratchet & Clank,» «Arthur Christmas» Andrew Coats — «Smash and Grab,» «Borrowed Time» John Cohen — «The Angry Birds Movie,» «Despicable Me» Lindsey Collins — «Finding Dory,» «WALL - E» Devin Crane — «Megamind,» «Monsters vs Aliens» Ricardo Curtis — «The Book of Life,» «Dr. Seuss» Horton Hears a Who» Richard Daskas — «Turbo,» «Sinbad: Legend of the Seven
Seas» Kristof Deák — «Sing,» «Losing It» Jason Deamer — «Piper,» «Monsters University» David DeVan — «Finding Dory,» «Brave» Walt Dohrn — «Trolls,» «Mr. Peabody & Sherman» Rob Dressel — «Moana,» «Big Hero 6» Stefan Eichenberger — «Heimatland (Wonderland),» «Parvaneh» David Eisenmann — «Pearl,» «Toy Story 3» Patrik Eklund — «Seeds of the Fall,» «Instead of Abracadabra» Steve Emerson * — «Kubo and the Two Strings,» «The Boxtrolls» Lise Fearnley — «Me and My Moulton,» «The Danish Poet» Mathias Fjellström — «Seeds of the Fall,» «Instead of Abracadabra» Arish Fyzee — «The Pirate Fairy,» «Planes» Juanjo Giménez — «Timecode,» «Maximum Penalty» Andrew Gordon — «Monsters University,» «Presto» Jinko Gotoh — «The Little Prince,» «9» Eric Guillon — «Sing,» «The Secret Life of Pets» Lou Hamou - Lhadj — «Borrowed Time,» «Day & Night» John Hill — «Turbo,» «Shrek Forever After» Steven «Shaggy» Hornby — «How to Train Your Dragon 2,» «Rise of the Guardians» Steven Clay Hunter — «Brave,» «The Incredibles» Alessandro Jacomini — «Big Hero 6,» «Tangled» Christopher Jenkins — «Home,» «Surf's Up» Sean D. Jenkins — «Wreck - It Ralph,» «Bolt» Phil Johnston * — «Zootopia,» «Wreck - ItRalph» Oliver Jones * — «Kubo and the Two Strings,» «ParaNorman» Mohit Kallianpur — «Frozen,» «Tangled» Max Karli — «My Life as a Zucchini,» «Victoria» Michael Kaschalk — «Big Hero 6,» «Paperman» Karsten Kiilerich — «Albert,» «When Life Departs» Timothy Lamb — «Trolls,» «Mr. Peabody & Sherman» Gina Warr Lawes — «Zootopia,» «Kung Fu Panda 2» Sang Jun Lee — «Rio 2,» «Epic» Meg LeFauve — «The Good Dinosaur,» «Inside Out» Jenny Lerew — «Mr. Peabody & Sherman,» «Flushed Away» Brad Lewis — «Storks,» «Ratatouille» Carl Ludwig — «Rio,» «
Ice Age» Andrew Okpeaha MacLean — «Feels Good,» «Sikumi (On the
Ice)» MaryAnn Malcomb — «Free Birds,» «Spirit: Stallion of the Cimarron» Anders Mastrup — «Albert,» «When Life Departs» Moon Molson — «The Bravest, the Boldest,» «Crazy Beats Strong Every Time» Dave Mullins — «Cars 2,» «Up» Michelle Murdocca — «Hotel Transylvania,» «Open Season» Christopher Murrie * — «Kubo and the Two Strings,» «Coraline» Ramsey Naito — «The Boss Baby,» «The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie» Damon O'Beirne — «Kung Fu Panda 3,» «Rise of the Guardians» Hyrum Virl Osmond — «Moana,» «Frozen» Greg Pak — «Happy Fun Room,» «Super Power Blues» James Palumbo — «
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Ice Age: Continental Drift» Christine Panushka — «The Content of Clouds,» «The Sum of Them» Pierre Perifel — «Rise of the Guardians,» «Kung Fu Panda 2» Jeffrey Jon Pidgeon — «Monsters University,» «Up» David Pimentel — «Moana,» «Big Hero 6» Elvira Pinkhas — «
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Ice Age: Continental Drift» Brad Schiff * — «Kubo and the Two Strings,» «The Boxtrolls» William Schwab — «Frozen,» «Wreck - It Ralph» Gina Shay — «Trolls,» «Shrek Forever After» Jeff Snow — «Over the Hedge,» «The Road to El Dorado» Peter Sohn — «The Good Dinosaur,» «Partly Cloudy» Debra Solomon — «My Kingdom,» «Getting Over Him in 8 Songs or
Less» David Soren — «Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie,» «Turbo» Cara Speller — «Pear Cider and Cigarettes,» «Pearl» Peggy Stern — «Chuck Jones: Memories of Childhood,» «The Moon and the Son: An Imagined Conversation» Michael Stocker — «Finding Dory,» «Toy Story 3» Arianne Sutner — «Kubo and the Two Strings,» «ParaNorman» Ennio Torresan — «Turbo,» «Till Sbornia Takes Us Apart» Géza M. Toth — «Mama,» «Maestro» Anna Udvardy — «Sing,» «Deep Breath» Wayne Unten — «Frozen,» «Tick Tock Tale» Theodore Ushev — «Blind Vaysha,» «Gloria Victoria» Robert Valley — «Pear Cider and Cigarettes,» «Shinjuku» Timo von Gunten — «La Femme et le TGV,» «Mosquito» Gil Zimmerman — «How to Train Your Dragon 2,» «Puss in Boots» Marilyn Zornado — «Old - Time Film,» «Mona Lisa Descending a Staircase» Sound Peter Albrechtsen — «The Happiest Day in the Life of Olli Mäki,» «The Girl
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There have been substantial, sometimes rancorous, debates among polar bear researchers about this predator's prospects in a warming climate
with less summer
sea ice.
My take is that the tug of war over what's causing today's telegenic heat waves, floods, tempests — and even Arctic
sea -
ice retreats — distracts from the high confidence scientists have in the long - term (but
less sexy) picture: that more CO2 will lead to centuries of climate and coastal changes
with big consequences for a growing human population (for better and worse in the short run, and likely mostly for the worse in the long run).
It is that more CO2 will lead to a warming world
with less ice, higher
seas and changing climes.
Even as the long - term trend in the Arctic is toward
less sea ice in summers, for decades to come — and routinely in other seasons — any nation
with interests in the far north will need to be able to navigate in heavy
ice.
The good news is that even
with a reduction to
less than 50 % of the current amount of
sea ice the
ice will not reach a point of no return: a level where the
ice no longer can regenerate itself even if the climate was to return to cooler temperatures.
A scenario
with this rate of
ice reduction suggests that the Arctic
Sea will be completely
ice - free in summer time in
less than two decades.
Beluga has two other ships carrying goods along the northern
sea route this summer, and the expectation is that such trade will expand given projections of Arctic summers
with ever more open water and
less sea ice.
Following this summer's new record
ice loss, the Arctic will enter a winter
with even
less ice than ever before, leading to even thinner
ice, which barring any monumental external events like a major volcanic eruption, will likely perpetuate the trend in
sea ice decline.
A related alternative metaphor, perhaps
less objectionable while still making the most basic point, comes to mind in connection
with an image of crashing of massive
ice sheets fronts into the
sea — an image of relevance to both climate tipping points and consequences (
sea level rise).
As intriguing a concept as it is, a «tipping point» is
less useful if poorly defined quantitatively or largely unknown, as apparently is the case
with two key examples that you cite: thermohaline circulation and substantial melting of
ice sheets leading to «dangerous»
sea level rise.
Sea ice less than one year old was somewhat thicker than has been observed in recent years,
with a modal thickness around 1.8 m, after one of the coldest North American winters in recent years.
Compared to spring 2011, the old
ice in the Beaufort
Sea in May 2012 appears to be somewhat more consolidated and older overall (which typically implies thicker
ice),
with more
ice of three years of age or greater and
less first - year
ice mixed in.
We know that
sea level is rising at between 2.5 mm and 3 mm per decade - which is a nonissue - so what is the net problem
with less ice in the arctic?
«The good news,» said Sven Funder, a co-author of the Science study, «is that even
with a reduction to
less than 50 % of the current amount of
sea ice the
ice will not reach a point of no return.»
If either
ice sheet were to lose mass at a rate
with doubling time of 10 years or
less, multi-meter
sea level rise would occur this century.
With impacts on Arctic coastal communities and increases in maritime activities, both observations of changes underway and predictions at the scale of
less than a week to several months out are of importance to the research community and those living and operating in
ice - covered
seas.
As one goes further north toward the North Pole, the length of the shortwave radiation season is shortened
with less ability to melt out multi-year
sea ice (D. Perovich, personal communication).
1 it is
less than 1m sq km of
Sea Ice EXTENT so, suppose your best instrument is a satellite
with a 25 sqkm footprint.
The July 2008 pattern was consistent
with the shift in
sea ice conditions with more ice on the Siberian side and less in the Beaufort Sea than in 20
sea ice conditions
with more
ice on the Siberian side and
less in the Beaufort
Sea than in 20
Sea than in 2007.
«Time periods
with less than twice the modern global
ice volume show almost no indications of
sea level rise faster than about 2 metres per century,» said Dr Grant.
Peak abundances of the small subpolar planktic foraminifer species Turborotalita quinqueloba found in MIS 5e sediments from the southern Lomonosov Ridge close to the Greenland continental margin (Site GreenICE, Fig. 1), a region
with a modern perennial
sea ice cover, may indicate
less sea ice than today45.
(4) Last Interglacial (MIS 5e / Eemian)
with a more or
less closed
sea ice cover situation over Core PS2757 - 8, preventing phytoplankton and
sea ice algae productivity, and probably
ice - free conditions towards the East Siberian shelf.
I do however completely disagree
with her «50 % or
less» assessment of the role of anthropogenic forcing in
sea ice decline and Arctic changes in general.
Heat from Arctic amplification over normal conditions in these regions is much smaller than on the other side of the pack because the
ice covered these
seas longer this year; The heat added due to Arctic amplification probably
less than 6... and
with most of that in the Beaufort, and not in the Chukchi and E. Siberian.
Comparison of
sea ice age during the second full week of September reveals that the Arctic will enter the winter
ice growth season
with less multiyear
ice (bright colors), but far more first - year
ice (dark blue) this year than it did in 2007.
In forcing the model
with these winds, only the case of using winds from 2007 to project 2008
sea ice extent produce
less sea ice than the observed 2007
ice extent (Ensemble member 7).
Lukovich and Barber: The results from an investigation of stratospheric circulation in winter and spring, and comparison of summertime surface winds and SLP
with vortex splitting and minima in
sea ice extent composites suggested that the September, 2009
ice extent would be comparable to or
less than the September
ice extent minimum in 2008, based on dynamic considerations.
One member's 2008 outlook (Kalaeschke) went from
less sea ice to more
sea ice compared to 2007; this was based on applying a different method
with a stronger weighting for initial conditions.
Taylor also debunked the notion that
less sea ice means
less polar bears by pointing out that southern regions of the bears» home
with low levels of
ice are seeing booming bear populations.
A Cool Ocean
with frozen Arctic
Sea Ice delivers
Less Snow.
Polar bears are one of the most sensitive Arctic marine mammals to climate warming because they spend most of their lives on
sea ice.35 Declining sea ice in northern Alaska is associated with smaller bears, probably because of less successful hunting of seals, which are themselves ice - dependent and so are projected to decline with diminishing ice and snow cover.36, 37,38,39 Although bears can give birth to cubs on sea ice, increasing numbers of female bears now come ashore in Alaska in the summer and fall40 and den on land.41 In Hudson Bay, Canada, the most studied population in the Arctic, sea ice is now absent for three weeks longer than just a few decades ago, resulting in less body fat, reduced survival of both the youngest and oldest bears, 42 and a population now estimated to be in decline43 and projected to be in jeopardy.44 Similar polar bear population declines are projected for the Beaufort Sea region
sea ice.35 Declining
sea ice in northern Alaska is associated with smaller bears, probably because of less successful hunting of seals, which are themselves ice - dependent and so are projected to decline with diminishing ice and snow cover.36, 37,38,39 Although bears can give birth to cubs on sea ice, increasing numbers of female bears now come ashore in Alaska in the summer and fall40 and den on land.41 In Hudson Bay, Canada, the most studied population in the Arctic, sea ice is now absent for three weeks longer than just a few decades ago, resulting in less body fat, reduced survival of both the youngest and oldest bears, 42 and a population now estimated to be in decline43 and projected to be in jeopardy.44 Similar polar bear population declines are projected for the Beaufort Sea region
sea ice in northern Alaska is associated
with smaller bears, probably because of
less successful hunting of seals, which are themselves
ice - dependent and so are projected to decline
with diminishing
ice and snow cover.36, 37,38,39 Although bears can give birth to cubs on
sea ice, increasing numbers of female bears now come ashore in Alaska in the summer and fall40 and den on land.41 In Hudson Bay, Canada, the most studied population in the Arctic, sea ice is now absent for three weeks longer than just a few decades ago, resulting in less body fat, reduced survival of both the youngest and oldest bears, 42 and a population now estimated to be in decline43 and projected to be in jeopardy.44 Similar polar bear population declines are projected for the Beaufort Sea region
sea ice, increasing numbers of female bears now come ashore in Alaska in the summer and fall40 and den on land.41 In Hudson Bay, Canada, the most studied population in the Arctic,
sea ice is now absent for three weeks longer than just a few decades ago, resulting in less body fat, reduced survival of both the youngest and oldest bears, 42 and a population now estimated to be in decline43 and projected to be in jeopardy.44 Similar polar bear population declines are projected for the Beaufort Sea region
sea ice is now absent for three weeks longer than just a few decades ago, resulting in
less body fat, reduced survival of both the youngest and oldest bears, 42 and a population now estimated to be in decline43 and projected to be in jeopardy.44 Similar polar bear population declines are projected for the Beaufort
Sea region
Sea region.45
Apparently, since data such as the all time record HIGH Antarctic
sea ice, advancing Arctic
sea ice, slowing to non existent GMSL at
less than 2 / mm annual (and negative in some recent years), flat to lower global temps for almost 2 decades, and all the myriads of other associated data... flatly, empirically, REFUTE this cadre of AGW grant leaching con artists pretending to do science
with grossly false models....