Not exact matches
It
only keeled over when the Fed was deliberately trying to slow down the economy and had jacked up its rates until they surpassed long - term rates (inversion in the
yield curve).
The
only way to attract more domestic buyers is with higher
yields - which will ultimately result in rising rates across the
curve.
Federal reserve will not notch them rates until next year (this is consensus, i think), additionally they are
only targeting short term rates, not long term rates, we could end up with a flatter
yield curve, meaning short term rates equal long term rates.
Our bottom line: Persistent risk aversion not
only suppresses rates across the
yield curve but raises the premium on assets seen as the most safe and liquid.
Gross also observed that «Economists / investment managers are aware of the potency of a flattening
yield curve (shown in Chart above)...
Only [former Fed Chair] Volcker, with his need to strangle inflation out of the system, persisted into negative
yield curve territory for longer than a few months.»
There was
only one that was accurate all the time, and that was an inverted
yield curve of a particular length and depth.
We are watching the
yield curve, but it serves as
only one input into our business cycle analysis.
If anything, the Swiss
yield curve is a clear sign that demand for the franc is
only getting stronger.
This is
only the third time the bank has used this tool since it adopted a «
yield -
curve - control» policy in September 2016, targeting a 10 - year
yield of around zero.
I do know that the FOMC has
only 1 % of tightening to play with before the
yield curve gets flat.
This is
only one day, but the
yield curve slope, measured by the difference in
yields between 10 - year and 2 - year Treasuries, widened 10 basis points today.
If you purchased the IEF fund in 2003 you would be speculating on the change in the 7 - 10 year section, and
only the 7 - 10 year section, of the
yield curve (by the way, you would have done well since bond prices move inversely to bond
yields).
Despite a typical hiking cycle causing a flattening of the
yield curve, we are potentially embarking on a path where
yield curves may steepen significantly, as the Fed may be concluding that financial conditions (i.e. stock prices) can
only be impacted by engineering a steeper
yield curve and higher term premium.
The
only time we've observed an inverted
yield curve and a P / E at or above 18 times record earnings was at the 2000 market top.
With fears about inflation now subsiding, many market observers believe that the
yield curve will steepen
only after the federal funds rate is lowered.
The flattening of the bond
yield curve in recent years meant you might pay
only 1 % or 1.5 % more to lock in a long - term rate, and that made the stability of fixed rates much more attractive than it was five years earlier.
But keep in mind that a
yield curve is
only a prediction, and the trend it indicates is not guaranteed.
Not
only were short - term interest rates lowered to either zero or close to zero, but quantitative easing was also adopted in places such as the U.S., the U.K., the eurozone, and Japan to flatten the
yield curve and keep long - term interest rates low.
The following day, the
yield curve increased, but
only by an average of 2 bps.
This would decrease interest rates for further out on the
yield curve as opposed to
only the overnight rate.
Historically, the Fed sought to target
only the short - end of the
yield curve by targeting different overnight lending rates.
Thus, for
yield curve inversion to be a market signal it is important that the inverted
yield curve not
only lead the economic turn but also the turn in the stock market.
Pre-2008, the Fed controlled
only the short end of the
yield curve, which, with time, is a pretty powerful tool for making the economy rise and fall.
We can offset some of those costs by pushing out the
yield curve a little bit, but this
only pushes the needle so far.
The
only reliable predictor four quarters out was the
yield curve spread.
With Samsung being the
only vendor to successfully develop sustainable
yields of
curved AMOLED panels, it is possible Xiaomi is partnering with the South Korean company over the display.
While that
only has a direct impact on the short end of the
yield curve, global and domestic economic forces, which have been keeping downward pressure on long - term rates, may be starting to loosen.