Not exact matches
Investors awaited the U.S. Federal Reserve's remarks from its two - day meeting
at 2 p.m. EDT (1800 GMT) for clues
about the outlook for interest
rate hikes.
«The fact that they stuck with the three
rate -
hike forecast sends a signal that
at this point they're not ready to adopt a potentially more aggressive stance that a number of people have been talking
about for next year,» said Craig Bishop, lead strategist for U.S. fixed income
at RBC Wealth Management.
In his job as an activist
at the Center for Popular Democracy, Barkan led a successful effort to get Fed officials thinking more
about low - income Americans as they conduct monetary policy, often arguing against interest
rate hikes in the face of high underemployment and weak wage growth.
«I'm convinced that the «plan» is to go «lower» in terms of pace of buying, for «longer» in the hope of pushing out expectations
about rate hikes,» Kit Juckes, an analyst
at Société Générale, said.
And as if traders didn't have enough to worry
about, the Federal Reserve reiterated on Wednesday its commitment to
hiking interest
rates at least twice more in 2018.
That certainly was the market reaction this morning, as the 10 - year bond yield spiked on the report, suggesting concerns
about future inflation and a more aggressive
rate -
hike schedule
at the Fed.
Either way, we are not going to see a 5 % environment any time soon, so worrying
about a massive
rate hike is a bit delusional
at this point.
Fed fund futures are currently putting the odds of one more
rate hike at about 50 %.
At the same time, with US and European growth
rates expected to remain relatively modest, and with the Fed very transparent
about its policy intentions, we would not expect a dramatic
hike in base yields.
The
rate hike has arrived
at a critical time for the banks with many speculating that the chief banking regulator the Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority is
about to introduce a new series of macroprudential measures designed to slow the property market.
Market prices in March Fed move The week began with markets pricing in
about a 50 % chance of a
hike in the federal funds
rate at the Federal Open Market Committee meeting this month but ended with markets almost fully pricing in a quarter - percent
hike.
It seems that there is a big question
about more
rate hikes this year after the jobs report which could keep the REITs
at loftier levels.
ANALYST TAKE: «Markets never have been convinced
about a
rate hike this year but these reports have once again tipped the balance back in favor of a March 2017 move, rather than December, while September is only 15 percent priced in,» said Craig Erlam, chief market analyst
at OANDA.
According to the CME's FedWatch tool, Fed Funds futures traders are pricing in
about an 85 % chance of a
rate hike at the central bank's June meeting, so the scope for a recovery in the greenback may be limited, especially with two more NFP reports and CPI readings ahead of that meeting.
At least, that's what 96 % of Wall Street economists, analysts, and fund managers said when surveyed
about the possibility of a December
rate hike.
The incoming data from the US has been choppy
at best and hence it would be difficult for the Fed to think
about accelerated
rate hikes at this point of time but that is also something that the investors would wait for the Fed to confirm before pushing the prices higher again.
Market expectations for a
rate hike in December were
at about 54 percent Tuesday, up from just 37 percent on Monday, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.
Most ratepayers slammed PSEG Long Island and LIPA's planned 4 percent, 3 - year
rate hike at a public hearing in Riverhead last night, saying
rates were already too high and left uncertainties
about costs soaring even higher.
There's definitely one major con
about these products that since they don't come with a printed price tag, they are sold
at different and usually
hiked rates.
We've spoken
at length over the last few weeks
about how the Bank of Canada's («BOC») interest
rate hike will impact Canadians.
Combining the current pace of the QE taper, Yellen's comments
about when
rate hikes would be likely to follow that, and Rosenberg's article on how bull markets have typically responded to Fed
rate hikes, it's not
at all hard to build a case for this bull market continuing to run for quite some time — easily another year or more.