In his Financial Post column, Tom walks through nine things you need to know
about bearish markets to help ensure they work in your favour.
Not exact matches
Far from being perma -
bearish, our present methods of classifying
market return / risk profiles encourage a leveraged long position
about 52 % of the time in
market cycles across history, encouraging a partially - hedged stance
about 12 % of the time, fully - hedged
about 31 % of the time, and hard - defensive as we are today
about 5 % of the time.
When that didn't work, they forbade corporations and investment funds from selling at all and made it clear that
bearish public comments
about the stock
market would not be tolerated.
Noting the larger trends, if this comes
about it could just be a counter trend move in the still bullish stock
market and still
bearish gold sector.
The primary mistake that those who were
bearish on profit margins made in earlier phases of the current
market cycle — and I would have to include myself in that group, at least for a time — was not the mistake of having «wrong» beliefs
about the subject, but rather the mistake of assigning too much confidence to those beliefs.
The last time
bearish sentiment was below 20 %, at a 4 - year
market high and a Shiller P / E above 18 (S&P 500 divided by the 10 - year average of inflation - adjusted earnings — the present multiple is 23) was for two weeks in May 2007 with the S&P 500
about 1525.
Binary options traders hear the words «bullish» and «
bearish» being bandied around all the time in conversations
about the stock
market, but not every trader knows the meaning and history behind these
market condition analyses.
2) The data is showing that the mass affluent are extremely bullish
about the economy and the stock
market, or they are extremely
bearish about the bond
market, which has been rising for 30 + years in a row.
This data can provide information
about whether the bullish or
bearish trend is likely to continue and keep traders and investors on the right side of the broader
market's direction.
You will like to educate yourself
about some vital terms such as share price, dividend yield, price yield, earning per share (EPS), Price Earnings Ratio (P / E), Price to Book Value, Bullish and
Bearish markets etc..
Under these circumstances it was very reasonable to be if not
bearish, then at least pragmatic
about future stock
market returns.
But on a less depressing note — and this is purely a gut feeling — I'm really not that
bearish about the
markets at this point... [Damn, I really should be more oriented towards (regular) equities in my portfolio!?].
As 2017 drew to a close, investors were largely split across bullish,
bearish, and neutral views
about the stock
market.1 Since then, there has been a notable spike in bullish sentiment with the majority of investors now envisioning good things for the
markets.
Market players worry
about policy, and whether it will be inflationary (bullish) or deflationary (
bearish).
A few days ago in the post on
Market Timing I wrote that I'm feeling rather
bearish right now
about US and AA miles.
«I'm
bearish about the contemporary art
market,» James Chanos, president and founder of hedge fund firm Kynikos Associates LP, said at a Dec. 1 beach party organized by White Cube gallery.
While some described the
market to CoinDesk as
bearish overall, other observers offered a more optimistic stance
about the prospects for future price developments.
«Still optimistic
about Ethereum, but at the moment the entire
market is
bearish.
Even so, industry experts are not too worried
about the current
bearish market.