We can opine
about changes in sea level, salinity, ocean currents, weather patterns, etc..
By comparing several years of measurements, climate researchers and oceanographers can now draw conclusions
about changes in sea level and ocean currents.
Not exact matches
Inadequate flood protection infrastructure, which right now might not contain high tides
in El Nino years; Lack of action on annual sediment removal from spring freshets, which each year move over 30 million m3 of sediment and leave
about 3 million m3 of silt
in the navigation and secondary channels of the lower reaches; and, By the end of this century
sea levels at the mouth of the river could potentially rise more than one meter due to climate
change overtopping the diking system.
His session allowed him to talk
about how human climate
change in national parks is melting glaciers, raising
sea level, killing trees, and causing other impacts.
In northwest Africa, where what Werz has called an «arc of tension» runs through Nigeria, Niger, Algeria and Morocco, he said the projected massive population growth combined with small - onset
changes brought
about by climate
change — like
sea -
level rise along the Niger Delta, the loss of hundreds of villages through desertification and the virtual disappearance of Lake Chad — is bad enough.
Climate
change projections that look ahead one or two centuries show a rapid rise
in temperature and
sea level, but say little
about the longer picture.
So I think it's very realistic, if we want to look at the adjustment to that big disequilibrium then that we have generated, to look at those sort of rates of
change that we will eventually achieve; and maybe not this century, we'll be working our way up to that, but certainly
in the next century, we need to think
about that as the rate of
sea -
level rise.
Sea -
level rise and coral bleaching often dominate discussions
about how climate
change affects the ocean, but a host of more subtle — and harder to research — trends also play a role
in reshaping the world's marine ecosystems.
Uncertainty
about rain, little uncertainty
about sea level rise Climate
change could also affect precipitation
in California, though the two models USGS used
in its research produced different results.
«I have concerns
about the ecological impact that climate
change has on our planet, especially as it relates to rising
sea -
levels,» Curbelo said
in a statement to ClimateWire.
«Based on the UN climate panel's report on
sea level rise, supplemented with an expert elicitation
about the melting of the ice sheets, for example, how fast the ice on Greenland and Antarctica will melt while considering the regional
changes in the gravitational field and land uplift, we have calculated how much the
sea will rise
in Northern Europe,» explains Aslak Grinsted.
The long - term average rate of
sea -
level rise
in Hampton Roads is
about one foot per century, but that pace has accelerated sharply recently, which makes it challenging to gauge future rates of
change.
The researchers used information
about these different components to project
changes in extreme
sea levels by 2100 under different greenhouse gas scenarios.
A new study by scientists at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL)
in Pasadena, California, and the University of California, Irvine, shows that while ice sheets and glaciers continue to melt,
changes in weather and climate over the past decade have caused Earth's continents to soak up and store an extra 3.2 trillion tons of water
in soils, lakes and underground aquifers, temporarily slowing the rate of
sea level rise by
about 20 percent.
When they factored
in a constant
level of CO2, they discovered a surprising development: The
change required a lower overall atmospheric pressure —
about one - sixth today's pressure at
sea level.
But roughly speaking, if you do an LGM run and only reduce
sea level, put
in the ice sheets,
change the vegetation, add some dust (though that one is still rough), then you get
about 50 % the way you want to go.
«They were questions
about how ice sheets relate to
sea level,
changes in the ocean,
changes in the atmosphere and also
changes in weather and long - term climate patterns,» says Dr Kennicutt.
We should be strengthening public health and environmental engineering defenses against tropical diseases even if we weren't worried
about the climate
change, we should be avoiding further development on flood plains at next to
sea level just because of storm damage even
in an unchanging climate.
On average, climate
change is causing
sea levels to rise
about 3 mm / year, but zoom
in any one location, and the rate might look very different.
About Blog - The Sink or Swim Project is an educational and advocacy organization focused on climate change and sea level rise in Miami and around the world Frequency - about 2 posts per month Since - Feb
About Blog - The Sink or Swim Project is an educational and advocacy organization focused on climate
change and
sea level rise
in Miami and around the world Frequency -
about 2 posts per month Since - Feb
about 2 posts per month Since - Feb 2015
For example, the other day, I heard (I think it was on NPR) a retired engineer with the Navy talk
about the impact of potential
changes in sea level in the Bay Area and Northern California.
This means that, e.g., if heat moves from the tropical surface water (temp
about 25C) to surface waters at lower temps, the net effect is a subsidence of
sea level — even without any
change in total heat content.
Kerry Emanuel, who's been studying Atlantic Ocean hurricanes
in the context of climate
change for decades, spoke on the Warm Regards podcast
about the mix of subsidized seaside development and rising
sea levels driven by global warming.
Mike's work, like that of previous award winners, is diverse, and includes pioneering and highly cited work
in time series analysis (an elegant use of Thomson's multitaper spectral analysis approach to detect spatiotemporal oscillations
in the climate record and methods for smoothing temporal data), decadal climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike
in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr
about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence
in both climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation
in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel
in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role
in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST
changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published
in Nature),
in showing how
changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO,
in examining the role of solar variations
in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate
changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global
sea level, and even a bit of work
in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measurements).
In what may prove to be a turning point for political action on climate
change, a breathtaking new study casts extreme doubt
about the near - term stability of global
sea levels.
For example, the latest (fifth) assessment report from the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) projects that the global average
sea level rise over the course of the 21st century would be
in the range of 10 to 32 inches, with a mean value of
about 19 inches.
As
in the past,
sea level change in the future will not be geographically uniform, with regional
sea level change varying within
about ± 0.15 m of the mean
in a typical model projection.
For instance, Milly et al., 2003 (Open access) used computer simulations and results from the CMAP reanalysis of precipitation
levels to calculate that climate - related
changes in water storage on land were causing a
sea -
level rise of
about 0.12 mm / year
in the period 1981 - 1998 (although, they admitted they couldn't calculate an error bar for that estimate).
Sea level changes have «nothing to do with melting ice» (melting ice is
in fact responsible for
about 40 % of the rise) and so on and so forth.
To learn more
about how
changes in the Antarctic Ice Sheet could affect
sea level, see State of the Cryosphere: Ice Sheets and State of the Cryosphere: Sea Lev
sea level, see State of the Cryosphere: Ice Sheets and State of the Cryosphere: Sea L
level, see State of the Cryosphere: Ice Sheets and State of the Cryosphere:
Sea Lev
Sea LevelLevel.
Paper I notes that human usage of terrestrial water (which does not account for all the ways
in which anthropogenic climate
change can result
in sea level rise; for example, it does not account for thermal expansion of water) accounted for
about 42 % of the
sea level rise.
The notion of temperature fluctuation and associated manifestations such as
sea level changes together with
changes in sea ice and glaciers, needs to underpin any narrative
about historic climate.
► Eustatic
sea -
level rise is a
change in global average
sea level brought
about by an increase
in the volume of the world ocean.
I noted (as I have previously
in this blog) the large number of states that are either divided on or hostile
about claims of human - caused global warming that are nonetheless hotbeds of collective activity focused on counteracting the adverse impacts of climate
change, including
sea level rise.
Responsible skepticism would not assert that an error
about the rate of Himalayan ice melt or the the amount of land
in the Netherlands below
sea -
level was proof that an enormous body of scientific literature on other climate
change issues was fraudulent.
I agree that the application of higher resolution model equipment does not help to reduce the uncertainty range of the
sea level in the Amsterdam harbours: assumptions
about changes in the heat storage, icecap melting and
changes in the gravity field dominate this uncertainty range (although some regiona features related to oceanic circulation and heat redistribution may be better resolved
in higher resolution models).
Sea - level projections by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), by our research group and by others indicate that global average sea level at the end of the century would likely be about 1 - 2.5 feet higher under the Paris path than in 20
Sea -
level projections by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC), by our research group and by others indicate that global average
sea level at the end of the century would likely be about 1 - 2.5 feet higher under the Paris path than in 20
sea level at the end of the century would likely be
about 1 - 2.5 feet higher under the Paris path than
in 2000.
«We have shown that this dramatic rise
in sea level is associated with an increase
in carbon dioxide
levels of
about 100 parts per million, a huge
change,» Tripati said.
Also after reading it the paper tends to focus on plate tectonic theory and how it can cause a cooling effect, I cant see from the paper any point
about up / down lift of the ocean floor causing a
change in sea level?
Implications include (i) the expectation of additional global warming of
about 0.6 °C without further
change of atmospheric composition; (ii) the confirmation of the climate system's lag
in responding to forcings, implying the need for anticipatory actions to avoid any specified
level of climate
change; and (iii) the likelihood of acceleration of ice sheet disintegration and
sea level rise.
In the latest Assessment Report about the effects of climate change one can read that % 55 of Netherland is located under the sea - level and that in this area % 65 of the GDP is produce
In the latest Assessment Report
about the effects of climate
change one can read that % 55 of Netherland is located under the
sea -
level and that
in this area % 65 of the GDP is produce
in this area % 65 of the GDP is produced.
In considering next steps, I think it's important to acknowledge that it is the consequences of climate
change we are concerned
about; ocean acidification,
sea level rise, drought, wildfires, health, crop losses, etc..
These include claiming that addressing climate
change will keep the poor
in «energy poverty»; citing the global warming «hiatus» or «pause» to dismiss concerns
about climate
change; pointing to
changes in the climate hundreds or thousands of years ago to deny that the current warming is caused by humans; alleging that unmitigated climate
change will be a good thing; disputing that climate
change is accelerating
sea level rise; and denying that climate
change is making weather disasters more costly.
Even while identifying some of the observed
change in climatic behaviour, such as a 0.4 C increase
in surface temperature over the past century, or
about 1 mm per year
sea level rise
in Northern Indian Ocean, or wider variation
in rainfall patterns, the document notes that no firm link between the do...
The climate shift of 1978 manifests as a strong lift
in 200hPa temperature globally with the most extreme
change at
about 30 ° of latitude
in both hemispheres, a pronounced fall
in sea level pressure
in the south East Pacific, a jump
in sea surface temperature
in the tropics, the transition between solar cycle 20 and 21 and a hike
in the aa index of geomagnetic activity that has slowly sunk along with 200hpa temperature from that time forward.
Sea levels are rising
in the Northeast at a faster rate than almost anywhere else on Earth, and climate
change is already adding
about a foot to each coastal flooding event, as it will with this one.
From a recent article
in the LA Times
about Big Oil's calculations, Mobil oil's engineers were calculating for climate warming
sea -
level rises
in Canadian drilling sites
in 1996: One year earlier, though, engineers at Mobil Oil were concerned enough
about climate
change to design and build a collection of exploration and production facilities along the Nova Scotia coast that made structural allowances for rising temperatures and
sea levels.
While you're over at Spiked, check out Eero Iloniemi's article on land prices
in places that are
about to be washed away by climate
change and
sea -
level rise.
In other words, there has been virtually no change in sea ice cover over the last 12 years, despite the fact that atmospheric CO2 has now surpassed 410 parts per million, a considerable and steady increase over levels in 2006 which were about 380 ppm (see below, from the Scripps Oceanographic Laboratory, included in the Washington Post story 3 May 2018
In other words, there has been virtually no
change in sea ice cover over the last 12 years, despite the fact that atmospheric CO2 has now surpassed 410 parts per million, a considerable and steady increase over levels in 2006 which were about 380 ppm (see below, from the Scripps Oceanographic Laboratory, included in the Washington Post story 3 May 2018
in sea ice cover over the last 12 years, despite the fact that atmospheric CO2 has now surpassed 410 parts per million, a considerable and steady increase over
levels in 2006 which were about 380 ppm (see below, from the Scripps Oceanographic Laboratory, included in the Washington Post story 3 May 2018
in 2006 which were
about 380 ppm (see below, from the Scripps Oceanographic Laboratory, included
in the Washington Post story 3 May 2018
in the Washington Post story 3 May 2018):
Since the
sea levels have been rising at
about the speed they are rising now for some time, I mean this: if
sea level rises are so insignificant that we continue to respond to them
in about the same way we do now, who gives a flip except hysterics or deluded people who think the climate did not
change prior to the CO2 obsession..