So trying to draw inferences
about global hurricane activity from these statistics just doesnâ t work.
Not exact matches
Climate change made
Hurricane Harvey more powerful and increased its deadly flooding, according to new research released as major storms may be driving more Americans to worry
about global warming.
I had thought there was a legitimate scientific debate
about the role of
global warming and
hurricanes, but it appears that the deniers, although they are legitimate scientists, seem to have fallen in with the think tank ideologues and PR lobbyists who masquerade as scientists.
«Sean Scully: Resistance and Persistence» complements Sean Scully's extraordinarily successful and ground - breaking exhibition «Follow the Heart: the Art of Sean Scully» which opened at Shanghai Himalayas Art Museum and moved to Beijing Central Academy of Fine Arts Museum (CAFAM) in 2015,
about which
Global Times said «there is a Sean Scully
hurricane blowing through China» and
about which the curator Wang Chunchen said «it is as important an exhibition as Rauschenberg's ’85 show in China».
Nevertheless, reinsurance companies, like Munich Re, are very concerned
about the impacts of
global warming, and I don't think you can even buy
hurricane insurance in some parts of Florida anymore.
It depends on the signal - to - noise ratio, so for
global temperature in recent decades 20 years has been
about enough, for CO2 concentration 4 years is more than enough while for
hurricane frequency 50 years is probably too short.
Kerry Emanuel, who's been studying Atlantic Ocean
hurricanes in the context of climate change for decades, spoke on the Warm Regards podcast
about the mix of subsidized seaside development and rising sea levels driven by
global warming.
As we have also pointed out in previous posts, we can indeed draw some important conclusions
about the links between
hurricane activity and
global warming in a statistical sense.
So in terms of near term impacts of
global warming, the risk of increased
hurricane activity is pretty high on the list of things that the public is worried
about.
As for your question
about hurricanes, the argument given for the
global mean hydrological cycle doesn't apply to the
hurricane because the
global mean argument assumes an equilibrium between radiative cooling and latent heat release.
It's great to see the Union of Concerned Scientists offering nonpartisan criticism of elected officials for distorting — in both directions — what's known
about the role of human - driven
global warming on several fronts, from tornado ferocity to
hurricane losses.
My reading of this statement is that you are saying that the likelihood that
global warming is increasing the destructive potential of
hurricanes (and is likely to do so increasingly in the future) is irrelevant to the policy debate
about hurricane damage.
But the new work did seem a lot more scientifically rigorous than most previous arguments against a link between
global warming and
hurricanes; which simply state we don't know enough
about past
hurricane activity to determine whether modern
hurricane activity is unprecedented.
and we readers are then linked to his April, 2008 article
about «reassessing» the relationship between
hurricanes and
global warming.
Nature is kicking back on us because we're just slow learners
about hurricane infrastructure preparations as well as not paying enough attention to the real world consequences of human - induced
global warming and climate change.
It draws no conclusions
about the effect of AGW on
hurricanes (neither «climate change» nor «
global warming» occurs in the paper).
It also goes without saying that Atlantic
hurricanes are only one part of
global cyclones, so even if more wind shear from El Nino's counter rising SST there, what
about typhoons in Japan and China and India.
Speaking / fantasising
about the possibility of a second event such as
Hurricane Katrina to hit the USA, regardless of whether or not
global warming is the cause (and it seems, regardless of whether or not humans caused it), Casico writes on his blog,
In 2006, Salon.com reported that the Bush administration sought to have Landsea speak to the media
about hurricanes and
global warming while stifling another NOAA researcher, Tom Knutson, whose research did suggest a link.
Since
hurricanes don't seem to care
about global warming in the least either way, why should we?
Pielke has been quoted in the mainstream media voicing concerns
about the IPCC, as in today's Wall Street Journal, as well as questioning sloppy logic on the part of some environmentalists, for instance objecting to overstatements
about hurricanes being linked to
global warming.
Because I know something
about the subject — and because of the recent records set by Category 5
Hurricanes Dean and Felix — I decided to have a look at how Lomborg applies this argument to the issue of
hurricanes and
global warming in particular (p. 72 - 81 of his new book).
Zachary Jarjoura of the Virginia chapter of the Sierra Club said his group has organized two busloads of residents who are concerned
about the local effect of rising seas, more intense
hurricanes and higher storm surges that climate scientists predict
global warming will inflict.
Mooney then wrote another excellent book Storm World,
about the
hurricane and
global warming debate.
Earlier today, I posted an article
about how — and even if —
global warming is currently affecting the formation, development, and strength of tropical cyclones (
hurricanes and typhoons).
The e-mail centered on an October 2005 request from CNBC television to interview NOAA scientist Thomas Knutson
about the link between
hurricanes and
global warming.
(By Meteorologist Jim Clark of Florida's WZVN - TV ABC 7)-- Excerpt: It was
about this time (1990's) that Dr. Bill Gray, the famed
hurricane climatologist, began speaking out against the global warming crisis at the National Hurricane Con
hurricane climatologist, began speaking out against the
global warming crisis at the National
Hurricane Con
Hurricane Conferences.
And I don't know
about you, «Justtellthetruth», but in my view characterizing Roger Pielke Jr. as a «
hurricane expert» when Peike doesn't even hold a science degree while moreover also not mentioning the fact that Pielke is a prominent
global warming «skeptic» does not constitute reliable and balanced reporting.
I knew Obama's campaign had linked Sandy to
global warming so I assumed the title «Doha delegation using
hurricane Sandy as a call to action,» was
about the U.S. delegation.
P.S.: Judith Curry v. oilprice.com, 8/22/14, says, The impact of extreme weather events in raising concern
about global warming became apparent following
Hurricane Katrina.
But, what
about global warming — is man - made
global warming causing more
hurricanes?
They were going on
about hurricanes and 70 dead in Houston, laying the blame on Trump and
global fill in the blank.
Thus only
about 2» (50 mm) of
Hurricane Harvey's peak amount of 60» (1525 mm) can be linked to manmade
global warming.
droughts, floods,
hurricanes, tornadoes,
global ice cover, and rainfall are
about the same (maybe a slight increase in total rainfall); forests and all other vegetation that has been studied are growing faster; actual effects of putative ocean pH change are negligible to non-existent.
Since we've had all the wild predictions
about global warming causing more
hurricanes, I've become interested.
They weren't just anyone making claims
about hurricanes and
global warming — they were UN-recognized experts.
While much of the world has reacted with shock and sympathy to the damage caused by
Hurricane Katrina, senior government leaders in Germany warned the United States to expect more natural catastrophes if it did not get serious
about global warming.
It is no longer just a conversation
about the divide between
Global North and South, loss and damage has now become evident within the
Global North through
hurricane Katrina, extreme droughts in California, and destructive wildfires throughout the Pacific Northwest.
In February, New Republic magazine published a story
about NOAA's insistence both in news conferences and on its Web site that
global warming has no effect on
hurricanes.
We estimate that
global hurricane damage will
about double owing to demographic trends, and double again because of climate change.
THe UK - based Scientific Alliance takes issue with claims of links between Atlantic
hurricanes and so - called «man - made
global warming» (aka climate change): «But no amount of moral blackmail will enable us to tune the climate to our liking when long term natural processes are underway,
about which we understand very little and can not control.»
Living with
Global Warming: A selection of the «best bits» from four years of articles about the scientific evidence between hurricanes and global wa
Global Warming: A selection of the «best bits» from four years of articles
about the scientific evidence between
hurricanes and
global wa
global warming.
I would argue that prior to
hurricane Katrina, papers
about hurricanes and
global warming would not have received such inappropriate reviews.
For a discussion of what can and can not be concluded
about possible relationships between recent
Hurricane activity and climate change, please see our post on Hurricanes and
Global Warming: Is There a Connection?.
But we don't need any amputations to figure out some things that we can indeed say
about hurricanes and
global warming.
«Thinking
about the increase in the number and strength of
hurricanes in recent years, do you think
global warming has been a major cause, a minor cause, or not a cause of the increase in
hurricanes?»
In addition, it has been well - documented that the measured
global warming of
about 0.5 C during the 25 - year period of 1970 - 1994 was accompanied by a downturn in Atlantic basin
hurricane activity over this quarter - century period.»
Data on U.S. landfalling storms is only
about 2 tenths of one percent of data we have on
global hurricanes over their whole lifetimes.
Finally, I think what the media really want to know when they ask
about Katrina and
global warming is whether the connection is «significant», and I don't think there's consensus there, partly as Gavin says, that's a matter of semantics, partly it's a genuine disagreement as to how important
global warming is where
hurricanes are concerned compared to other factors, and how «significant» an argument the influence of
global warming on
hurricanes is for deciding energy policy.
There are those who theorize
global warming will lead to more frequent El Ninos (and the evidence suggests El Ninos became more frequent in recent decades)-- and, hence, fewer Gulf and Atlantic
hurricanes to worry
about assuming everything else stays the same.