Not exact matches
«I can at most venture a personal judgment, based on some examination of the historical evidence, that the initial effects [on employment] of a higher and unanticipated rate of
inflation last for something
like two to five years; that this initial effect then begins to be reversed; and that a full adjustment to the new rate of
inflation takes
about as long for employment as for interest rates, say, a couple of decades.»
Groups
like the New Brunswick Food Security Action Network have raised concerns
about the impact of food
inflation on low - income and fixed - income households.
However, when we look at valuations and compare them to periods of low and stable
inflation, it only looks
like it's
about 20 % overvalued.
Author Kelly Shue, of the University of Chicago, says boards» apparent mistake is a common one, highlighted by years of research in the field of behavioral economics, and much
like the way workers get confused
about the effect of
inflation on the real value of their paychecks.
Gold bugs
like Sprott have long warned
about the impact of
inflation, central bank policy measures and government spending on the value of fiat national currencies.
«Ten years past the financial crisis and we could see a period where, instead of talking
about «secular stagnation» as our mutual friend Larry Summers
likes to do, we're going to be seeing growth upgrades that we haven't seen, we're going to see investment
like we haven't seen and we might see
inflation in a way we haven't seen,» Rogoff said.
In its statement, the Fed upgraded its view of the economy and labor, but left questions
about the course of
inflation, which is tracking weaker than the Fed would
like.
I write I'm all
about capital preservation + beating
inflation, but it looks
likes I'm slightly more conservative in the way I actually invest.
This means that the Fed only has to worry
about inflation the broad indices
like the Dow, SPX and Nasdaq.
But around 1980, central banks got religious
about inflation and started to do drastic things,
like raising interest rates.
It is this latter subject I would
like to examine in more detail because I think it tells us something
about how we are adjusting to low
inflation.
This graph also illustrates that when
inflation is sporadic or negative (called deflation),
like it often was from 1871 to
about 1931, the nominal and real stock returns aren't that different.
The most important policy priority with respect to the Fed is protecting it from stone age monetary ideas
like a return to the gold standard, or turning policymaking over to a formula, or removing the dual mandate commanding the Fed to worry
about unemployment as well as
inflation.
I suspect, for reasons I will write
about in the next few days, that moving away from
inflation targeting to something
like nominal gross domestic product - level targeting would be a better idea.
If Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is true to form during his two congressional appearances this week, look for him to continue speaking forthrightly
about things
like inflation and deficits.
Now, they «re mainly talking
about commodity
inflation around metal prices
like aluminum and steel and oil prices, which translates to the higher packaging costs for many companies.
The bottom line for you is that even if you are worried
about growth or
inflation, stick with the companies
like these three that have idiosyncratic growth.
Later, rather as a relief from the heavy questions
about Iran,
inflation and the
like, Moyers had asked the president whether or not he had in fact himself made decisions — as had been reported —
about the use of the White House tennis courts.
It is certain that
inflation from the TV money (and added oil money) has made the market for the best players very difficult, and from his words it sounds
like Wenger is simply not willing to pay the increased figures and will not be buying anyone else in this window despite our current nett spend only coming in at
about 25m so far, and we will probably recoup a bit more of that once we get rid of some deadwood.
Ask any astronomer what
inflation is, and you'll hear
about the moment when the universe's primordial fireball expanded
like a balloon on steroids, smoothing and flattening its initial wrinkles before it grew into the cosmos seen today.
Inflation also revitalized cosmology, giving theorists
like Vilenkin plenty to think
about — and a bit more respectability to boot.
I really feel
like the amount of shock value has risen almost
like inflation, when talking
about prices of things from long ago.
A concern some educators have expressed
about showing students previous grades is that it could lead to students choosing what look
like easier courses in order to get higher grades, resulting in grade
inflation.
When the yield curve looks
like this, with short - term rates
about the same as long - term rates, it's generally a signal that there's a lot of uncertainty
about the outlook for the economy, interest rates, and
inflation.
In a low
inflation period,
like we have been in for the last 10 years, it is easy to forget
about factoring in
inflation to your investing portfolio.
Also, think
about inflation, what seems
like a big payment now will not be so big toward the end of the mortgage.
(But
inflation is
about nil, so if you're used to normal 2 %
inflation or so, these yields are
like 13 % or so.
Talk
about slow economy growth,
inflation, lack of investment intelligence, and the
likes.
When we spoke with him holistically at Rebalance IRA, we talked to him and we said «you can look at this pension and social security and the income that's throwing off almost
like a bond portfolio, which would mean that the IRA account is really to protect you from
inflation and so that holistic approach we're finding, evades people many times when they're thinking
about it.
At present the standard returns for investments
like bank certificates of deposit is only
about 4 %, while the anticipated
inflation rate is predicted to be 5 % for the next twenty years or more.
For example, real estate in North America looks
like a good total
inflation hedge (beta
about +2), but with a huge range of uncertainty (from
about +6 to -2) just for that one time and place.
Better
inflation hedges (
like gold) probably exist, but they come with the cost of sacrificing substantial long - term returns just to make you feel better
about short - term
inflation gyrations.
In this second excerpt, Leithner discusses the Grahamite approach to investment in an uncertain world (as it ever is), and why Grahamites pay no heed to mainstream economists» forecasts
about macroeconomic aggregates such as
inflation, exchange rates, joblessness, trade and budget deficits and the
like:
@JohnFX - He's asking
about inflation, but it's
like a credit card - the monthly interest rate corresponding to a 12 % APR would not simply be (12 % / 12 = 1 %).
This graph also illustrates that when
inflation is sporadic or negative (called deflation),
like it often was from 1871 to
about 1931, the nominal and real stock returns aren't that different.
This morning's CPI report for June looked
like the last few reports showing
inflation at
about one percent in the last 12 months.
Then all of the quantitative easing by the Federal Reserved failed to ignite hyper -
inflation,
like the Chicken Little TV tards have been screaming
about for a decade, so direct gold and silver investing had to be abandoned too.
Since governments and their central banks are the agents responsible for the
inflation believing them
about the rate of
inflation is
like believing a thief when you ask him how much he stole.
Economists would benefit from the book, and also those that
like reading
about the history of
inflation.
The update to the question
about «nearing retirement age» makes a well structured ladder of
inflation - indexed bonds sound
like a good fit for someone with a low tolerance for volatility who is willing to sacrifice the possibility of growth in exchange for stability and predictability.
Some people
like the guarantees that life insurance provides and are not worried
about inflation and don't want to worry
about investing.
If you're concerned
about how other variables
like inflation will affect your family's protection plan, try looking for a life insurance calculator that includes an
inflation calculator.
Obviously,
inflation will play a part, and
like the stock market, the fact that insurance costs have gone down over the last five years could mean they're poised for an
about - face.
I used to do a lot of business in these buzz areas
like West End, but I got tired of all the external issues, equity skimming, scam artists, false
inflation, and false prophets talking
about how rich they will become by investing in these areas.
«Signs point to the Fed raising rates at least three times next year, and just
like we've seen in the last month, mortgage rates will likely move proportionately in anticipation of those increases, as clear data emerges
about stronger economic growth and
inflation,» says realtor.com ® Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke.
Economists
like to say
about inflation that prices are determined by how much money is chasing how many goods.